We are recommending Todd Gurley as he has the highest floor and will not
have a bye week until week 12! But David Johnson is also tempting…
2024-25 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings
Beating the NFL Pointspread with AI and ML
We are recommending Todd Gurley as he has the highest floor and will not
have a bye week until week 12! But David Johnson is also tempting…
The key to winning fantasy football often has to do with the break out
running backs. For example, Alvin Kamara last year, Devonta Freeman the previous year. This video reveals five you should be targeting in 2018!
Here are some sleepers to watch out for. It is always a good idea to
target the top offenses and to understand that some running backs lower in the depth chart will become fantasy superstars.
Although I don’t agree with everything in this video – it definitely should help you think about the important issues!
There are many ways to use artificial intelligence and machine learning to enhance one’s sports betting and gaming results. This article may give you some ideas:
While Week 4 featured another string of memorable, exciting games, several of them came at a cost, as numerous big-name fantasy stars suffered injuries. Fortunately, a few of those players will head …
Source: http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000855040/article/week-5-fantasy-football-waiverwire-targets
Who knew that fantasy football could be so complicated? Up to thirty running backs selected in the 2017 NFL Draft season are expected to make a noticeable impact in fantasy football in the immediate future, and you can only imagine what that will do for the NFL betting picks for the 2018 season.
Rookies like Christian McCaffrey, Leonard Fournette, and Joe Mixon were selected in the first fifteen rounds of the ten-team NFL.Com draft. If that wasn’t enough, there is no end to the level of hype analysts are raising over Jamaal Williams, Kareem Hunt and Joe Williams.
It is hardly surprising that everyone expects depth charts to be dominated by these youngsters and more. And you would be hard-pressed to make a solid argument suggesting that this hype isn’t warranted.
Then again, does it make sense to overvalue players that haven’t even run a lap on an NFL gridiron? And it isn’t like this sort of hype has produced notable results in the past. Prognostications about rookies, especially the optimistic kind, rarely end well. Just look at DeMarco Murray. Everyone thought that his time with the Tennessee Titans was over after Derrick Henry, a Heisman winner was drafted. Murray went on to dominate that season.
If that sounds like it could be an isolated case, consider this; of all the rookie runners that have risen in the last decade, only two dozen have appeared in the top 25 in fantasy points. If those numbers do not make sense to you, that means only three rookie runners a year ranked in the top 25.
Whenever the draft season comes around and the hype surrounding rookies begins to rise, analysts and fans like to throw out names like Matt Forte, Chris Johnson and Jonathan Stewart from 2008. Those guys made it to the top 10 and it was a big deal. But one cannot ignore the fact that Rashard Mendenhall, Jamaal Charles and other high profile runners performed well below expectations.
Looking at the 2012 class, you can point to Doug Martin, Trent Richardson, and Alfred Morris as standouts. However, anyone who is anyone knows that 2012 didn’t have many talented options. The point is this: every rule has a few exceptions, and it seems a like a lot of analysts and fans in fantasy football are making their picks based on the exceptions instead of the rule.
Think about this. There have been 108 running backs in the NFL that have been selected in the first four rounds of the football draft over the previous decade. And among those running backs, only twenty-one have ever finished in the top 10.
Think about how demoralizing that figure should be, and then ask why rookie running backs are still being overvalued today.
Some rationale should be applied during the draft. And do not use the anxiety spreading online about rookie runners as an excuse to avoid rookie runners. That isn’t the take away here. The point here is this: be smart. Do not overreach for rookies. There are picks like Mixon that, while clearly impressive, should be saved for the third and the fourth rounds rather than the second. You do not want to miss on a player in the top fifty.
So, be smart.
We’re only weeks away now, from the start of training camp for the 2017-2018 NFL season. That also means we’re also weeks away from many fantasy football leagues holding their draft. Given the influx of new talent in a star-studded 2017 NFL Draft, we wanted to provide a breakdown of the top two rookies at each offensive fantasy football position, so you can keep an eye on them in your draft.
Quarterback:
Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans — It’s not entirely out of the question that Deshaun Watson could actually beat out incumbent quarterback Tom Savage, and win the starting job under center for the Texans. It’s not exactly like Savage lit the world on fire in his few starts last year. Watson is easily the most talented quarterback on the roster, and would have an offense filled with highly capable weapons around him to help him succeed.
Mitchell Trubisky, Chicago Bears — Sure, Mike Glennon is currently listed as the starting quarterback in Chicago right now, and the plan is for Mitchell Trubisky to have something of a “redshirt” year in 2017. But the Bears didn’t take Trubisky with the second overall pick in the draft to keep him on the bench. Chicago is only one bad game by (or one injury to) Glennon away from declaring “the future is now” for Trubisky, and installing him as the full-time starter.
Running Back:
Leonard Fournette, Jacksonville Jaguars — In 2015, when the Jaguars offense enjoyed a breakout season of sorts, it came as a result of high-flying passing attack that challenged defenses vertically. The addition of Leonard Fournette will give defensive coordinators headaches, as they’ll be forced to choose between keeping more guys near the line of scrimmage to stop Fournette, or risking him running wild through the second level of the defense. Fournette is a borderline superhuman combination of power, speed, balance, agility and vision. He’ll only limited by the imagination of the Jaguars’ offense.
Christian McCaffrey, Carolina Panthers — Simply put, Christian McCaffrey is going to add a brand new dimension to the Panthers offense. He’ll be an electric change-of-pace running back to Jonathan Stewart, and he’ll provide a receiving option out of the slot — with a lethal ability to produce yards after the catch — which quarterback Cam Newton hasn’t had at any point in his career. He could easily break 1,500 combined yards (rushing and receiving) his rookie season.
Wide Receiver:
Corey Davis, Tennessee Titans — The Titans raised a few eyebrows when they selected Corey Davis with the fifth overall selection in the draft, especially considering Davis couldn’t work out during the pre-draft process, due to injury. But Davis finished college as the all-time leader in major college football in receiving yards (with 5,285 in four years), and was drafted to be the #1 receiving weapon for the emerging Marcus Mariota.
John Ross, Cincinnati Bengals — The Bengals already have a superstar wide receiver in AJ Green, but offenses did everything they could to clamp down on Green last season, and force the Bengals to beat their defense with anyone else besides Green. That could open up a lot of opportunities for Ross to catch passes from quarterback Andy Dalton. Ross clearly has big play ability, as evidenced by his record-setting 4.22 time in the 40 yard dash at the 2017 NFL Combine.
Tight End:
O.J. Howard, Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Talk to any NFL draft analyst, and they’ll tell you two things: 1) O.J. Howard might have been one of the 8-to-10 best players in the 2017 NFL Draft at any position; and 2) the Tampa Bay Buccaneers got themselves one hell of a steal. He’s going to have the middle of the field wide open to himself, as defenses try to figure out how to stop Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson.
Evan Engram, New York Giants — Evan Engram might be listed as a tight end, but he’s one of the new-age tight ends who moves more like an enormous wide receiver. With legitimate 4.4 speed, he’s going to provide a target down the middle of the field for the Giants, of the likes they haven’t seen in a long time.
Kicker:
Zane Gonzalez, Cleveland Browns — Zane Gonzalez, whom the Cleveland Browns selected in the 7th round of the draft, left Arizona State University as the the all-time leader in field goals made in a college career. Incumbent Cody Parkey hit only 80 percent of his field goals in 14 games with the Browns last year, and they would be more than happy to see someone beat him out for the job.
Jake Elliott, Cincinnati Bengals — If a team selects a kicker in the draft, they’re usually doing so for a reason. The Bengals want Jake Elliott to come in and at least compete with — if not replace — incumbent Randy Bullock, who cost them at least one win last season.
FF-Winners.com Releases 3 Players to Avoid Like the Plague in 2017!
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