FILM STUDY: Randy Moss: 23 TDs in One Season!

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Film Study Highlights Tom Brady  study season randy  This was one of Tom Brady’s best seasons.

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WATCH: Worst Refereeing of the 2019-2020 NFL Season

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Refereeing Videos  worst watch season refereeing  Sigh……………

Get disgusted here!

15 Games in the NFL 2020 Season You Do Not Want To Miss!

Statistical Keys to Winning Bets in the 2020 NFL Season

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings NFL Office Sports Betting  winning season  This guide should be on every bettor’s bulletin board:

Josh Appelbaum (VSIN.COM) writes:

Week 1 provides several profitable edges that bettors should be aware of. According to Bet Labs Sports, Week 1 divisional underdogs have gone 51-32 ATS (61.4%) since 2003. This is due to the built in familiarity between divisional opponents, which levels the playing field and benefits the team getting points. Big Week 1 dogs getting 6.5 points or more have also been a smart bet, going 38-22 ATS (63.3%).

Another profitable opportunity in Week 1 is backing teams that missed the playoffs the previous year against teams that made the playoffs. They’ve gone 59-46 ATS (56.2%). This is the ultimate buy-low value play because you’re capitalizing on recency bias. The public will be inclined to blindly back teams who made the playoffs because that’s the last thing they remember from the previous year. In turn, they’ll blindly fade non-playoff teams. This creates a contrarian spot where you’re taking advantage of shaded numbers.

Aside from studying the Week 1 lines, another key aspect of the 2020 schedule is focusing on bye weeks and Thursday Night Football matchups. These unique scheduling spots have provided a significant edge to bettors in the past.

NFL teams coming off a bye are 254-228 ATS (52.7%) since 2003. However, we see a massive difference between underdogs and favorites. Dogs are just 105-125 ATS (45.7%). However, favorites are an impressive 148-103 ATS (59%). Road favorites are even better, going 62-28 ATS (68.9%). This is likely due to the fact that the betting public overvalues home field advantage, providing road favorites an increased contrarian edge.

Why are favorites off a bye so profitable? Because the extra week off disproportionally benefits the “better” team. Not only do they have more time to rest and rehab injuries but the coaching staff has two weeks to game-plan for the next opponent.

Bye weeks start in Week 5 and run through Week 13. Here are the bye weeks for all 32 teams.

Week 5: Lions, Packers

Week 6: Raiders, Patriots, Saints, Seahawks

Week 7: Colts, Jaguars, Vikings, Titans

Week 8: Cardinals, Ravens, Broncos, Texans, Steelers, Redskins

Week 9: Bengals, Browns, Rams, Eagles

Week 10: Falcons, Cowboys, Chiefs, Chargers

Week 11: Bills, Bears, Dolphins, Giants, Jets, 49ers

Week 12: No bye teams

Week 13: Panthers, Bucs

After bye weeks, the next scheduling spot to look out for is Thursday Night Football. The short week provides another pronounced edge bettors should be aware of. Since 2003, Thursday Night favorites have gone 113-83 ATS (57.7%). Home favorites are even better (73-50 ATS, 59.3%). Just as the extra time off benefits the “better” team, so does the short week. With both teams on a quick turnaround, the team with better players and a superior coaching staff has the advantage, especially if they’re at home at don’t have to travel.

Here’s the complete list of Thursday Night games this season

Week 2: Bengals at Browns

Week 3: Dolphins at Jaguars

Week 4: Broncos at Jets

Week 5: Bucs at Bears

Week 6: Chiefs at Bills

Week 7: Giants at Eagles

Week 8: Falcons at Panthers

Week 9: Packers at 49ers

Week 10: Colts at Titans

Week 11: Cardinals at Seahawks

Week 13: Cowboys at Ravens

Week 14: Patriots at Rams

Week 15: Chargers at Raiders

Week 12 is Thanksgiving. The three games on Turkey Day include Texans at Lions (12:30 p.m. ET), Redskins at Cowboys (4:30 p.m. ET) and Ravens at Steelers (8:20 p.m. ET).

Historically, favorites have crushed it on Thanksgiving. Since 2003, they’ve gone 31-13 ATS (70.5%).

NFL Players Who Will Kill Their 2020 Season!

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings NFL Forecasting Player News Podcasts  their season players  OMG, What if we knew which players are about to have their best NFL seasons ever! 

Crystal Ball Here!

WATCH: Every NFL Safety from The 2019 Season

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Highlights Videos  watch season safety every  The Safety is one of the most awesome plays to watch in an NFL Game.

                             Tackle them here!

WATCH: Top 50 Passes of the NFL 2019 Season

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Highlights Quarterbacks Videos  watch season passes  Catch Them Here!

Workout Guide: Football Season Edition

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Football Health & Fitness  workout season guide football edition

The 2019 NFL season is finally here. And that means instead of hitting the gym like usual, you’re going to be spending a lot more time on couch with your buddies in front of your flat screen, rooting for your favorite teams and fantasy players. The face-stuffing, beer-drinking, sedentary lifestyle that comes with every football season might leave you feeling a little heavier than pre-season. But the guys who follow winning teams might have an unfair advantage. And no, we’re not talking about Tom Brady’s balls and Deflategate.

A new study has shown that fans of losing NFL teams are more likely to be fat. According to a study from the Journal of Psychological Science, after a loss, losing fans eat 16 percent more saturated fats and 10 percent more calories, while fans of winning teams are more likely to eat healthy. If your team’s coach is in the hot seat this year, like the Eagle’s Chip Kelly or Jeff Fisher from the Rams, you better hide chips and dip. If you’re all about college football, prepare for this season’s biggest matchups. Whatever the outcome, win or lose, you should still be getting in some reps and staying fit this season. Here’s how:

Commercials: Push Ups

When it comes to hanging with the guys, even the littlest things can turn into a competition. Who can pick up that girl? Who can drink more beers? Who has the nicest car? A little competition is healthy, so bring that same competitive spirit to your living room while you’re watching the game with your bros. During each commercial break, challenge your friends to a push-up contest. See how many you can do. Whoever does the most reps wins. There’s not exactly a prize, just bragging rights.

Halftime: Touch Football

If you’ve got a crowd at your place, take everyone outside during halftime and toss-around the ol’ pigskin during halftime. Split everyone up into even teams and play a game of touch football. Moving a little bit, getting your heart rate up and breathing in some fresh air after two long quarters of sitting inside is good for you. Just don’t go too hard, you don’t want to pull something.

Timeouts: Planks

Work your core and pass the time during each timeout of the game. Like pushups, this exercise will spark a little competition between all the guys. See who can hold the pose for the longest time, with proper form, until play resumes. A little ab work never hurt anybody. Exercising during time out breaks will also help you cut back on snacking

Catch the Game at the Gym

For fitness junkies who are serious about breaking a sweat on game day, head to the gym and flip on the TV. Whether you’re using your home gym or you belong to a member’s only club, breaking a sweat and getting some cardio in while watching TV actually makes the exercise feel easier. A study from the University of North Carolina found that people who watched a video while working out had perceived less exertion. And, another study from the Journal of Behavioural Science showed that people who worked out in front of a TV actually exercised longer than people who weren’t watching. 🙂


Six Tips for an Awesome Tailgate Season

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Fandom Foods & Culinary  tailgate season awesome

You already take your tailgating seriously. It’s not like you’re someone who would show up on game day with a bag of chips and a six pack of beer and think you’re prepared. But there is a difference between holding a good tailgate that has the basics covered and hosting the tailgate people are still talking about after the game.

All great tailgates excel in three main areas: food, drinks and setup. Check out these six tips for taking all aspects of your party to the next level — and get ready for a winning tailgate season.

The Food

A great tailgate takes typical game day food and turns it up a few notches. You don’t need a five-star tasting menu. Nope, just add some flair to the normal hamburger and chip-dip selection.

1. Make Your Food Portable.

Your tailgate guests don’t want to be stuck hovering over the food table, so set them free by making most of your food easy to hold with one hand. Think wax paper sleeves for your burgers (in team colors, of course) as well as kettle corn and other snacks already packaged in mini-brown paper bags. Oh, and don’t forget a cupcake tier of bite-sized desserts.

2. Pick Out a Themed Recipe.

Make one item on your spread themed to your team. Are you a Bills fan? Then you’ll need some Buffalo chicken bites. Baltimore Ravens tailgaters will love your Edgar Allen Poe-boy sliders. The more creative, the better.

The Drinks

Like your food, you don’t need to have a fully stocked bar to throw a great party (although we’re not stopping you). In addition to a variety of beer, wine, water and soda on ice, offer at least one fun drink option to help your tailgate stand out.

3. Create a Bloody Mary Bar.

For early morning tailgates, a decked out Bloody Mary bar can serve as both drink and food. Load mason jars with pickled vegetables, cheese cubes, bacon, olives and lemon wedges, and let your guests make their own skewers. Provide pitchers of your favorite Bloody Marys (spicy and non-spicy), along with celery salt-rimmed glasses.

4. Strongly Consider Ice Pops.

Frozen drinks become essential for proper hydration and enjoyment, especially for those early season games. The night before the game, add sangria, screwdriver or cosmo mix into Popsicle molds and break out your boozy treats when the sun starts beating down the next day. Just be sure not to go too heavy on the alcohol or your ice pops will be too slushy to freeze.

The Setup

Any seasoned tailgater will tell you that people will stay for your food and drinks, but they’re initially attracted to the party you’ve set up. In addition to ample seating, a few party games and shade, invest in one big thing that will make your setup stand above the rest.

5. Go Big on Your Ride.

The bigger you can go, the better. What other kind of party gives you an excuse to trick out your vehicle? If you have a truck, :wbump up your tire size and outfit your rims. If you have an RV, get that custom team paint job you have always been dreaming about.

6. Throw in Some Tech.

Bring a mobile Wi-Fi hub and a few external batteries to use as mobile charging stations and your guests will hail you as a genius (particularly when it’s time to go to the game and their phone has 5 percent battery life).

 


WATCH: Top 100 Plays of the 2018 NFL Season

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Football games Highlights Videos  watch season plays  FUN TO WATCH!

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PODCAST: How the NFL 2019 Season will Play Out

Colin Cowherd can be annoying, but we find him to be a very sensible  NFL analyst – much better than those who get caught up in hype or create hype. To bet profitably – stay cool!


WATCH: Baker Mayfield’s Impressive Rookie Season Highlights

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Highlights Player News Quarterbacks Videos  watch season rookie mayfield impressive highlights baker  Mr. Mayfield proved me wrong. I have never seen a rookie quarterback be able to throw the ball so accurately and confidently into tight windows – a measure of excellence at QB!

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WATCH: The Trickiest Plays of the 2018 NFL Season

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Highlights NFL Strategy Videos  watch trickiest season plays  Should they use these plays more often?

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WATCH: Every “Pick Six” Play of the 2018 NFL Season

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Highlights Lowlights Videos  watch season every

The Pick 6 is the most Game-Changing Play in All of Football! Pow!  CLICK HERE!

 

WATCH: Top 100 Plays of the 2017 NFL Season

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Highlights Videos  watch season plays

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WATCH: Jimmy Garapollo 2017 Season Highlights

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Highlights Player News  watch season jimmy highlights garapollo

Mr. Garapollo has a lightning quick release and has been making it look easy.

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Top 10 Pick-6 Interceptions of the 2017 season.

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Highlights Videos  season interceptions

Pick-6 interceptions are the most thrilling plays in NFL football!

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WATCH: Best Plays of the 2017 NFL Season!

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Fandom Videos  watch season plays

Enjoy!

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VIDEO: All of Tom Brady’s 2016 Regular Season Touchdowns

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Player News Tom Brady Videos  video touchdowns season regular brady

Deflated football or deflated opponents? LOL.

 

Watch Here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pEKKlV5ojIQ&feature=player_embedded

PODCAST: Statistical Insight into the 2017-8 NFL Season

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings NFL Forecasting Podcasts Team News  statistical season podcast insight

On this episode of The Football Analytics Show, Ed Feng talks with Aaron Schatz, founder of Football Outsiders, on the following topics:

  • How Aaron got on the Late Show with Seth Myers
  • The surprising truth about passing and rushing in the NFL, and how it’s been that way for 30 years
  • The coach that defies the odds and makes his team better
  • Why the Rams won’t be as bad as you think in 2017
  • The NFL team due for a steep decline in 2017 due to their defense