11/23/20 Betting Preview: Rams at Bucs: SMACKDOWN!

8:15 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Football games Gambling NFL Forecasting Uncategorized  style smackdown preview color betting 013369  Bettors are in for a treat with this Monday Night Football showdown as it features two of the NFC’s top playoff contenders. The Rams (6-3 SU, 5-4) are coming off an impressive 23-16 win over the Seahawks, covering as 3-point home favorites. Meanwhile, the Bucs (7-3 SU, 5-5 ATS) rebounded from a 38-3 beatdown by the Saints in Week 9 with a resounding 46-23 win over the Panthers last week, easily covering as 6-point road favorites. The Rams are + 48 in point differential. The Bucs are + 70.

This line opened with Tampa Bay listed as a 3.5-point home favorite. The public is split and doesn’t know who to take. On the one hand, they love getting points with a good team like the Rams. But they are also wary of betting against Tom Brady laying a short spread. Despite this even betting, we’ve seen the Bucs move from -3.5 to -4. Some shops are even hanging -4.5. In a vacuum, a line shouldn’t move at all if the tickets are split. So we know this adjustment toward Tampa Bay was caused by respected pro money backing the Bucs. Jerome Boger is the lead ref tonight, which also favors Tampa. Home teams are 56% ATS when Boger is the head official.

Despite the line move against them, the Rams fit a pair of profitable systems this season. Short road dogs + 6 or less are 38-24 ATS (61%) this season and primetime dogs are 21-12 ATS (64%).

We’ve also seen some wiseguy money hit the under, dropping the total from 48.5 to 48. Primetime unders are 21-12 (64%) this season. The Rams are a big under team (7-2) while the Bucs have been profitable to the over (6-4).

Professor MJ Releases 6 NFL Picks For 2020 Week 11

Colin “Cow Heard”‘s Blazing 5 Picks for NFL 2020 – Week 11

Colin’s Last Week’s Blazin’ 5 record: 4-1

2020 Blazin’ 5 record: 24-25-1

FF-Winners AI agrees with Colin on 3 of 5 picks. In Game 5,Colin recklessly bets on a 43 year old quarterback and is bold enough to give 4.5 points on top of that! Tampa simply winning (let alone, “cover”) is merely a 50-50 proposition given the Rams are 16-9 versus Tampa Bay historically.

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Last Week’s Blazin’ 5 record: 1-4.


2020 Blazin’ 5 record: 20-24-1

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Colin’s picks are 15-19-1 ATS this year. FF-Winners AI agrees with him on two of his five picks this week.

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2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Highlights Player News Videos  watch waller vegas style darren color 013369  Darren Charles Waller is an American football tight end for the Las Vegas Raiders of the National Football League. He played college football at Georgia Tech. He is the great-grandson of jazz pianist Fats Waller. Wikipedia

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BETTING PREVIEW: Thurs. Night 10/28/2020: Falcons at Panthers: Smackdown!

VSIN:

Both of these NFC South rivals are below .500 and desperate for a victory. It’s been a putrid season for the Falcons. Atlanta has already changed coaches and is coming off a heartbreaking 23-22 last-second loss to the Lions last week, losing straight up as 1-point home favorites. On the flip side, the Panthers are riding a two-game losing skid and just fell to the Saints 27-24, although they managed to keep it close and cover as 7-point road dogs. This Thursday Night showdown opened with Carolina listed as a 3-point home favorite. The public wants nothing to do with the listless Falcons and Average Joes are all over the Panthers at home. However, despite two-thirds of bets laying the points, we’ve seen this line fall from Carolina -3 to -2.5. Some books are even down to 2. This sharp reverse line movement signals clear wiseguy action on the Falcons, who are the unpopular play tonight but still see the line move in their favor. Atlanta has value as a contrarian dog in a heavily bet primetime game and a buy-low bad ATS team (ATL 2-5 ATS) against a good ATS team (CAR 4-3 ATS). Atlanta is also a divisional dog and short road dog + 6 or less (27-12, 69% ATS this season). Keep an eye on the weather here. We’re looking at 10-15 MPH winds, which would benefit the under. The total opened 51 and dropped to 49 before rising back to 51. Essentially all liability has been under, despite the public hammering the over.

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