Projections of NFL 2014-5 Numbers

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Sports Betting  projections numbers

It is always refreshing to read scientific analysis:

 

See: http://grantland.com/features/nfl-stats-predicting-success/

4 Horse Race Betting Tips

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Horse Race Betting Sports Betting  horse betting   Betting is one of the most common past time activities for people all over the world. As such, people want to ensure that they derive some pleasure from this activity as well as make some money in the process. Horse racing is one of the most common sports that people bet on. This is more so in the United Kingdom and the United States than any other country. One of the reasons why many people watch horse racing is that they place bets on it and the race is exciting because there is a monetary investment at stake. As such, they end up enjoying the thrill of the race as they wait to either win or lose! However, there are many tips that one can follow so that they can win in horse racing bets. You can visit https://www.besthorseracingtips.uk to learn more.
Here are 4 horse racing tips to help you:

1. Do your homework properly
It is true that thousands of people place bets worth millions of dollars on horse racing. However, among all these, only a small percentage will win. This is because most people do not do research before they place their bets. You should at least throw a cursory glance at the horse racing and betting program to be sure of what you are doing. You should know something about the form guides, also known as the racing guides to help you know the horses that are racing and their related information. Get to know more about the type of track that the horses are racing on. Form guides have many aspects and it would be good that you familiarize yourself with the guides to understand horse racing and horse race betting.

2. Understand the different kinds of bets
There are many types of horse racing wagers. Rather, you can place the various types of bets. You do not have to rely only on the win bets. You need to learn how you can place the various types of bets in a strategic way and benefit from them. Many countries have different wagers and rules that govern horse racing betting.
Learn the different betting systems that are used in horse race betting. There is a fixed -odd system of betting. Here, your winning will be determined by the odds you placed multiplied by the amount you have staked. Then there is the exchange betting. Here, one bets not against a bookmaker but against another person. It is also possible to place multiple horse bets.

3. Shop the odds
This works much better for the people who are placing fixed odd bets. Here, you could get the best value for your money if you can check with many online gambling sites and even the on-course bookmakers to learn the odds they have assigned a specific bet. Here, you will need to choose the odds that give you a better chance of winning.

4. Multiple race betting
This is a better way of increasing your chances of winning. However, one should be a much smarter gambler for them to place bets on many races. Remember that the chances of winning are higher if you stake in more than one race.


NFL Wagering and Money Management

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Sports Betting  wagering money management

Any sports bettor, expert nfl handicapper, and sharp gambler recognize the value of just how money management plays into having a successful season. It’s not all about taking your best NFL picks from a solid nfl handicapper and going for the win. Bankroll administration is important when betting on the NFL, and in this blog post I’ll cover a few finance pointers when counting on the NFL for profits.

You can never have sufficient education and learning about money management and investing or betting on sports. If you can practice good financial discipline in sports betting, you will certainly go a long ways. Just as you would with a sensible financial investment strategy in your 401K, IRA or the securities market and balance your risk. You may use a money manager or financial investment consultant for your investment profile, and the very same for your sports investing. However,  both you personally need to still have an understanding of the fundamentals.

The concept of bankroll management appears very easy and obvious, but numerous NFL gamblers and sports bettors do not get it. Here we cover basic principles to help you.
Even the best market nfl handicapper can enter a rough stretch. Recognizing your limits and recognizing when to take a break will always help.

Rough Patches

If the cash you’re losing is earmarked for buying sports or social sports betting, cash you could afford to lose, then you will not be ruining your finances. Conversely, putting money aside for investing in sporting activities that you can afford to lose will keep you from difficult and awkward financial circumstances.

Just what is your bankroll?

If you establish a $1000 account , assigning a wagering approach based on your comfort level and the number of systems you’ll spend, will aid in maintaining a consistent strategy. Don’t just go for one shot to win big, or lose big. That’s gambling! Diversifying your money on the systems you’ll invest on various wagering or investing possibilities, will help you in the long run. We generally advise using a conventional 1 % money management philosophy, even though others may be much wilder ; just as those Wall Street investors who could invest smaller sized allocations into mutual fund into equities gradually, vs. the recreational investor who might go crazy and go full into an huge investment in the gold futures market.

Bankroll accessibility

You likewise need to have the bankroll where it is available. If you are wagering online, you need to be funding your account prior to betting, making the cash readily available when you need it. And not simply at one sportsbook , a number of sportsbooks. Sportsbooks will offer different lines on games, and searching those possibilities to obtain even more return with one sportsbook over another. Having your money spread at a few reliable online sportsbooks will allow you to spend and play at anytime.

Sorts of sporting activities spending or wager types

Understanding the various type of sporting activities wagers and sports investments is essential. Never ever simply opt for the one time shot. Know the wagers rules and the appropriate bankroll for that.

Betting longshots indicates having deeper pockets considering that you will have a lower winning percentage with statistical certainty. Other gamblers will need a smaller bankroll given that they can expect a higher winning percentage.

For instance, understanding the basic NFL bet types as spread (ATS), cash lines and totals (over/under), teasers, parlays etc.

Portfolio track record

Treat your NFL betting activities spending as managing an equity financial investment collection (stocks,  401K, and so on), and keep a document of each bet or financial investment in addition to the most essential variables.

With time you’ll find situations where you executed flawlessly, and other areas you did not. For instance, you might discover you made the very best ROI or yield in the NFL preseason versus regular season. Or perhaps better performance with a particular NFL handicapper over another NFL handicapper, or at specific odds and bet sizes.
Keep a track record of your performance. Record-keeping is as crucial in sports wagering as the bet itself.
You need to keep your documents up to date date with all the pertinent information such as bet dimension, condition of your money in the past and after the game, and wager types (ATS, money line, total amounts, etc.). Recording these crucial portfolio metrics will assist you in identifying the precise size and type of your future bets and assist you in making incremental profits over time!

Bankroll money management and applying it can be tiresome initially, but once you begin doing it, you will know the value it produces in your NFL portfolio, and boost your profits! 🙂


Start Thinking Like a Professional NFL Bettor Now!

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Sports Betting  thinking start professional bettor
Being an expert handicapper needs full dedication. It’s generally a full time task. It’s not for everyone. Yet that does not indicate that even the casual bettor wouldn’t gain from adopting some qualities that are shared by the best in the business. You may not need to match their proficiency, devotion, and abilities, however knowing how they act and doing the same will improve your bottom line!
One thing the pros do is play the value game. There are point-spreads and total amounts and a lot of folks attempt to ride winners and that’s it. The pros are definitely handicapping the games, but they’re just as obsessed with the movement of lines. One attribute discussed by all leading pros is that they have better value on bets compared to everyone else. You have the Patriots -14 and they have it at -12. You have under 47 and they have under 49.5.

It’s vital to be discerning the winning sides and total amounts– make no mistake. However the pros understand that when they are constantly getting the best value on a wager, they will have an edge that reaps huge returns over time. In order to regularly extract the finest value out of a wager, you have to become expert at knowing line movement.

You additionally have to be aggressive! The huge dogs pull the trigger without concern. They see a team they like at -2, they don’t hang around for it to head to -3. Or if they pick up a total that will certainly be bet up and they like the over, they catch it. They’ll be resting there with over 41 besides bettors in the publi with over 43. Over the long run, that amounts to additional success.

Pros do not emphasize unimportant information. Every little thing they take into accounts applies directly to what a spread or total could be based on. They do not pour over stats and play the quant game. They examine specific match-ups, take into consideration emotional parts of the game, and other things that do not show up in the normal statistics.

Ever notice that near a listing of games at the sportsbook , they have statistics detailed there? You know they would never provide you with data that could possibly offer you a better opportunity to beat them. You could believe that’s wonderful of them to offer you those numbers. Yet that’s because they want you to be preoccupied with pointless stats and figures. The pros look behind the surface and obvious. The understanding they establish doesn’t arise from the stats the book gives you to make use of.

The pros have a situational feel for games. It’s not about having an encyclopedic understanding of team rosters or being able to state where a team ranks in passing defense. Additionally, they do not jump to quick verdicts of teams based on watching one or two games. A casual bettor may watch a game and believe he has a great understanding of both teams. However that game might have been a whole lot worse or far better than the productivity that team generally has.

A great bettor might view a team control a Monday Night Football game. Every person is yapping concerning about how good that team is. So the pro knows whoever they play next week, especially if it’s an ignored kind of team, will certainly have good wagering value. They watch the opening line move in their favor. So they strike late and nail down a great number. And the exact same applies to the team that may have lost a large televised game. Folks will undervalue them because that team’s failure is so fresh on everybody’s mind.

Professional handicappers have a keen understanding of the mental and psychological elements of a football game. They will keep in mind points like Buffalo passing into the endzone late in 4th quarter up 28 points on Cleveland, and then they figure that into their evaluation the next time they play. Cleveland might be pissed off and all set to dish out punishment. Or possibly a team is playing a weak team the week prior to a large game versus a long time competitor and will be emotionally distracted. The pros can notice the psychological assortment of a group, which is never a constant. The pro can anticipate the peaks and valleys.

So, if you can start thinking out of the stat box, and into the psychological and value boxes, you will
definitely improve your bottom line! Maybe one day you will even yourself turn pro!!


Shocking NFL Betting System

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Football Sports Betting  system shocking betting   When it comes to NFL wagering systems, there is one that stands apart above everything else. The bitter truth, however, is that it typically just offers one play a year, and has actually had many years without a single play.

The system is merely to bet against any NFL team that has scored 30 or more points in two straight games, while permitting 10 or fewer points in its last 2 games and the team is playing a non-divisional opponent. That’s all there is to it.
Considering that since 1989, the system is 15-1, being defeated only in 2008. The record tells you that there aren’t many plays, however you most definitely want to observe when they do occur.

There was just one play in 2012, which was the New York Giants +7 against the 49ers. San Francisco was coming into the game off a 34-0 clunk of the New York Jets and followed that up with a 45-3 pasting of the Buffalo Bills.

The 49ers were never ever in the game against the Giants, getting crushed 26-3!


Do You Obey the Fundamental Law of NFL Betting?

There is no “inside info” when it concerns Pro football wagering as the info age has just made it impossible to keep information secret. Once we understand this fact we can consider only one main NFL wagering statistic above all others and that is the pointspread. The oddsmaker is going to base his NFL betting line on just how the public is going to bet. This can offer you valuable insight without doing other work! You can check out the Pro football betting line which side the oddsmaker wants to win. Often that will be the underdog considering that the oddsmaker understands the favorite is usually getting pounded with public money in NFL wagering. This is not always the situation, yet it occurs typically. You could look purely at the pointspread and base your bet on which party the oddsmaker wishes in NFL wagering. Specifically, this will be side of the bet that is drawing least money!

Most impulsive NFL bettors will take the favorite. The main herd of gamblers lose at NFL wagering due to the fact that they decline to think about the underdog at all!. That is a significant mistake. If you really want the best NFL tip it is to behave  like the oddsmaker. Typically the sportsbooks make easy cash with NFL betting so if you could determine what teams they would like to win and then wager those groups, you have a likelihood of gaining consistent  profits in Pro football wagering! Just watch which way the pointspread moves during the week and bet contrary to the movement!

 


 

 

 

Introduction to the NFL Over-Under Bet

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Sports Betting  under introduction

 

In sports wagering with top sportsbooks, there are  a few bets that are thought  to be routine bets and the over-under is  one of them. The over-under is a straightforward wager where the bettor makes a decision whether the final score of a certain NFL game will be  more than or less than a posted limit. The limit  stands for the sum total points  scored by both teams. Hence, you either bet on the over or the under.

 

The over-under is noted in the following  way with the visiting team first:

Cleveland Browns
o/u 39.5
Denver Broncos

In this game, the over-under is specified with a decimal, which is an impossible  result. That’s done to stay clear of a push, meaning that the overall points for this game will wind up either above or shown below the number posted. If the over-under were 39 or 40, then the teams could possibly wind up with 39 or 40 points. Then there could be a tie and all bets would  be returned.

In our instance if the  total amount is under 40, the under wins, of if more than 39, the over wagers gain the cash. It’s that simple.

In NFL sports wagering, the over-under is not merely chosen out of thin   air. Like the pointspread, moneyline and all other wagers, it’s based on a variety of aspects, including particular statistics related to scoring offense and defense.

Prior to wagering on the over-under check out the pointspread. This will  tell you how close the experts believe the score will be. Compare that to the over-under number! That will provide you a good scenario of just how the scoring is anticipated to go.

In other words, if the pointspread on the game listed above has Denver favored at

-10.5 that would  suggest that the score  when taken into consideration versus the over-under is anticipated to be something like:.

Cleveland 14.5

Denver 25.

These numbers are approximate, yet they offer you a great idea of exactly what 39 total points would certainly resemble if they play out in reality.  If you assume Cleveland  will score less, however Denver will still rack up 25 points, then you may intend to go with the under. Similarly, if after doing your research you think Denver  will certainly score an additional TD and Cleveland will also score at least 14 than you should go with the over bet.

But, what if the pointspread has Cleveland at -3.5? Exactly how would  that appear  with the same over-under?

Cleveland 21.5
Denver  18.

Once more, checking out that probable outcome based on coordinating the pointspread with the over-under, you would ask yourself if the point total for each  team makes sense. If the totals don’t, then based upon your evaluation,  you would choose the appropriate over-under bet.

If you have the ability to make use of all information at your fingertips, using numbers offered by the handicappers, you can fairly  easily determine how exact the over-under might be. Use this device to assist you in making winning bets!


Video Lecture: Computer Power Rankings and Football Analytics

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Artificial Intelligence NFL Forecasting Sports Betting Videos  video rankings power lecture football computer analytics

This video covers the basics and some of the nuances of developing and using computer models to forecast football games.

 


FF-Winners.com Reveals: Top Wagers for 2018 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings NFL Forecasting Player News Sports Betting  winners wagers rookie reveals offensive   There’s no question that the 2018 NFL Draft will be defined by the five quarterbacks who were taken in the first round. But, it’s hard for most quarterbacks to see immediate success, given the steep learning curve they face when transitioning from the college game to the NFL.

Given that, who are the favorites to win the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award after this season? Here are three names to consider:

Ronald Jones (+3300) – They say the best gamblers aren’t so much looking at who’ll win, as much as they are looking for the best value for their wager. If you happen to be among the latter group, then running back Ronald Jones of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers might be right up your alley. Somewhat overlooked as the fifth running back taken in the 2018 NFL Draft, Jones was one of the most explosive running backs in the nation last year, finishing with 1,550 yards and 19 rushing touchdowns (both of which were top 10 among all running backs in college football). Playing within an offense that features skill position guys like Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson (and young talents on the cusp of breaking out, like O.J. Howard and Chris Godwin), there is plenty of space for Jones to gash defenses. It’s just a matter of time before he assumes the full-time job as the Buccaneers’ starting running back.

Sam Darnold (+1600) – Baker Mayfield was the surprise and Josh Allen was the prototype, which led to everyone forgetting the fact that Sam Darnold was the guy that most teams had declared as the best quarterback in the 2018 NFL Draft. The New York Jets – and their fans – should be thanking every religious being of their choosing for the fact that he fell to them at the #3 overall pick, because they might’ve finally solidified the position for the next decade. Darnold’s ability to scramble around the pocket and create big plays by delivering well-time darts down the field makes him eerily reminiscent of a bigger Tony Romo. Anyone paying attention to the happenings in the Tri-State area knows that Darnold looks like he has a stranglehold on the starting quarterback job for the Jets. If he has a good year, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him emerge as a surprise challenger for this award.

Saquon Barkley (+140) – In reality, everyone knows this award is Saquon Barkley’s to lose. The running back with the generational physical talents and well-rounded game is a virtual lock to accumulate at least 250 touches this year (if not substantially more), given the fact that the New York Giants invested the #2 overall pick in the draft on him. At 5’10 and 230lbs, with the strength of a linebacker and the speed of a cornerback, Barkley is like a human cheat code. An accurate comparison that many have made for him, given his talents as a runner and a pass catcher, as well as his size and his strength, is Todd Gurley – that’s the reigning NFL Offensive Player of the Year. Without any sense of hyperbole, Barkley possesses that level of talent.


A Beginner’s Guide: How to Get Into Sports Betting

 

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Sports Betting Web Resources  sports guide betting beginner

Sports betting has been around for centuries. It’s long been a beloved activity of sports fans worldwide, offering another way sports fans can engage with their favorite sports and other fans. But if you’re new to sports betting, you might not know much about it, how to place a bet, or even where to start. Consider this your beginner’s guide to sports betting.

Recent History of Sports Betting

In the long history of sports betting, the most important time to pay attention to is recent history. Specifically, what’s been happening over the last few decades. From 1992 to 2018, sports betting was illegal in the United States. Sports fans of course still placed bets, but it was a lot harder to do so.

In 2018, the U.S. Supreme Court decided that making sports betting illegal was unconstitutional and that states should have the right to choose whether or not sports betting should be legal. States like Pennsylvania, New Mexico, New Jersey, Nevada, and Rhode Island now have completely legalized sports betting. States like New York, Indiana, and Montana have legalized sports betting only in select areas, and many other states are working on bills right now to legalize some form of sports betting.

Although many professional sports leagues like the NFL were originally against the legalization of sports betting, they’ve now come around to the idea. Small taxes on bets can provide various leagues with additional income. Plus, it offers another way to keep fans engaged with their favorite sports and teams, which is the end goal of every team. The NFL, for example, recently signed a deal with Caesars Entertainment for exactly that purpose.

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Sports Betting Web Resources  sports guide betting beginner

Where Should You Place Bets?

This all depends on where you live. If sports betting is legal throughout your state, then you have nothing to worry about. The most convenient place for you is to place bets online through a reputable website or app. You might choose a site or app specifically known for placing sports bets, or one that offers a wide selection of gaming and betting options.

But if you live in one of the states with legal sports betting only in specific areas, then you’ll have to follow those rules. This might require you to place bets in a physical casino, whether in person or on a mobile phone. And if you think you can get around this, think again: Most sites or apps will verify your location before you can place a bet.

Additionally, it’s important to know that many betting sites will offer you a sign-up bonus or credit, or other perks like getting a refund if you lose your first bet. Do some research and find out which site best fits what you’re looking for. But before you place a bet, make sure to keep these three reasons new bettors often lose money in mind, and be sure to place your bets wisely!

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Sports Betting Web Resources  sports guide betting beginner

eSports Betting

There’s a lot of money in eSports, and eSports covers a wide variety of games, from first person shooters, to sports games, to fantasy games. The now billion-dollar industry is hugely competitive and popular, with prize pools for tournaments sometimes reaching into the millions. Just like with traditional sports, eSports fans will place bets on games and even travel long distances to watch their favorite gamers (who are often professional gamers) compete.

Similar to traditional sports betting, you can place bets on eSports tournaments on many general sports betting websites or else on eSports betting websites. The process of placing bets is exactly the same. The most popular eSports to bet on are usually League of Legends, Counter Strike GO, and Dota 2.

Between the legalization of sports betting in the U.S. and the arrival of eSports betting, this is certainly an exciting time in the world of sports betting — and an exciting time to get involved and place a bet.