SMACKDOWN!  AFC HAS 6 OF TOP 9 TEAMS. THE NFC HAS 5 OF THE WEAKEST 7 TEAMS!

LIKE AVERAGE TEAMS? Check out the Broncos and Raiders! SuperBowl Power-Rank Based – Forecast: Keep it Simple:Chiefs are 18.5 point overall strength  and the Eagles are 10.0 strength. Giving KC an average 4pts+ advantage. So take the free points with KC. Final Projection: KC:28 PH:24.

 

 Do you ever wonder about the “true strength” of your favorite NFL team? Power rankings by sportswriters often are hype-based and do not reflect statistical reality. It takes  an  unbiased  intelligent computer to do the job!


Our exclusive Artificial Intelligence generated NFL power  rankings are based on 5 proprietary  mathematical ranking systems developed  and optimized by our computer!  These  systems  are designed to:

   1. Determine the winner of the game

   2. Minimize difference between predicted margin and actual margin

   3. Minimize  squared difference between  predicted margin and actual margin

   4. Minimize difference between predicted total and actual total

   5. Minimize  squared  difference between predicted total and actual total


Scoring  machine learning performance along these 5 dimensions allows our AI system to  adapt to new information quickly and synergistically.  Observed over time we are able to get an accurate assessment of current and evolving team strengths and weaknesses.


Each AI  point separating teams below is worth 1.0 actual point. For a rough prediction, average offenses versus opponent defenses for home versus visitors.  The homefield (dis)advantage is already incorporated in the power numbers.

Another fun way to use the Power Rankings is to count 0.5 point for each ranking level. For example, if #3 is home versus #10. Favor home by (10-3)*0.5 + 2 (for home adv.) = 5.5.  This should give about 60 percent Win-Loss accuracy over a season. Another method is simply to compare “Overall Strengths”.

 

For  advanced accuracy and convenience, please consult the deep learning system’s game-specific predictions, which use additional learned factors and weights. 


 

NFL  AI  Power Rankings as of 2-3-23:

NOTE: Numbers in this table are neural network projections of performance versus an average NFL team. They are forward looking and not simple statistical averages. Last updated 1-31-23.
TeamHome Scoring PowerHome Defense PowerVisiting Scoring PowerVisiting Defense PowerOverall
Strength
Chiefs 35.5 16.5 35.0 17.0 18.5
Bills 32.0 13.0 31.0 19.0 15.5
Niners 28.5 11.5 25.0 15.0 13.5
Eagles 30.0 17.0 30.0 20.0 11.5
Cowboys 30.5 18.5 27.5 18.5 10.5
Bengals 28.5 17.5 26.0 18.0 9.5
Chargers 28.5 21.5 28.5 22.5 6.5
Dolphins 25.5 19.5 24.5 22.5 4.0
Ravens 24.0 17.0 20.5 20.5 3.5
Buccaneers 23.5 19.5 21.0 18.0 3.5
Packers 24.5 18.5 22.0 22.0 3.0
Patriots 20.5 17.5 20.5 19.5 2.0
Browns 21.5 16.5 21.0 24.0 1.0
Seahawks 24.5 22.5 23.0 23.0 1.0
Vikings 26.0 25.0 24.5 24.5 0.5
Broncos 18.0 16.0 16.0 18.0 0.0
Raiders 24.0 24.0 23.0 23.0 0.0
Saints 21.5 20.5 18.0 20.0 -0.5
Falcons 23.0 19.0 18.0 24.0 -1.0
Washington 19.5 19.5 18.5 22.5 -2.0
Jaguars 22.0 20.0 18.5 25.5 -2.5
Steelers 18.0 17.0 15.5 22.5 -3.0
Titans 19.5 21.5 17.0 22.0 -3.5
Cardinals 22.0 23.0 17.5 23.5 -3.5
Jets 17.5 23.5 18.0 20.0 -4.0
Lions 26.5 29.5 23.0 29.0 -4.5
Giants 19.5 21.5 17.0 25.0 -5.0
Colts 18.0 22.0 18.0 24.0 -5.0
Rams 18.5 21.5 14.0 22.0 -5.5
Panthers 13.5 22.5 15.0 25.0 -9.5
Bears 18.5 23.5 15.0 29.0 -9.5
Texans 14.5 28.5 13.0 27.0 -14.0
2022-23 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings