Niners and Eagles Look to Fight for the NFC Title Again. Bills will chase Chiefs in AFC. Note that the Jets, ranked #25 prior to Rodgers, are only better than 2 AFC teams. A Superbowl run seems unlikely – but if one unfolds you’ll see it evolve week to week in these rankings!
LIKE AVERAGE TEAMS? Check out the Broncos and Raiders!
Do you ever wonder about the “true strength” of your favorite NFL team? Power rankings by sportswriters often are hype-based and do not reflect statistical reality. It takes an unbiased intelligent computer to do the job!
Our exclusive Artificial Intelligence generated NFL power rankings are based on 5 proprietary mathematical ranking systems developed and optimized by our computer! These systems are designed to:
1. Determine the winner of the game
2. Minimize difference between predicted margin and actual margin
3. Minimize squared difference between predicted margin and actual margin
4. Minimize difference between predicted total and actual total
5. Minimize squared difference between predicted total and actual total
Scoring machine learning performance along these 5 dimensions allows our AI system to adapt to new information quickly and synergistically. Observed over time we are able to get an accurate assessment of current and evolving team strengths and weaknesses.
Each AI point separating teams below is worth 1.0 actual point. For a rough prediction, average offenses versus opponent defenses for home versus visitors. The homefield (dis)advantage is already incorporated in the power numbers.
Another fun way to use the Power Rankings is to count 0.5 point for each ranking level. For example, if #3 is home versus #10. Favor home by (10-3)*0.5 + 2 (for home adv.) = 5.5. This should give about 60 percent Win-Loss accuracy over a season. Another method is simply to compare “Overall Strengths”.
For advanced accuracy and convenience, please consult the deep learning system’s game-specific predictions, which use additional learned factors and weights.
NFL AI Power Rankings as of 5-12-23:
| Rank | Prior Rank | Team | Home Scoring Power | Home Defense Power | Visiting Scoring Power | Visiting Defense Power | Overall Strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chiefs | 34.5 | 18.5 | 34.5 | 17.5 | 16.5 |
| 2 | 2 | Bills | 32.5 | 14.5 | 31.0 | 19.0 | 15.0 |
| 3 | 3 | Niners | 29.5 | 12.5 | 24.5 | 15.5 | 13.0 |
| 4 | 5 | Eagles | 30.5 | 17.5 | 30.0 | 20.0 | 11.5 |
| 5 | 4 | Bengals | 28.5 | 17.5 | 28.0 | 17.0 | 11.0 |
| 6 | 6 | Cowboys | 30.0 | 18.0 | 28.0 | 19.0 | 10.5 |
| 7 | 7 | Chargers | 28.5 | 21.5 | 28.5 | 22.5 | 6.5 |
| 8 | 8 | Dolphins | 25.5 | 19.5 | 24.0 | 22.0 | 4.0 |
| 9 | 9 | Ravens | 24.0 | 17.0 | 20.5 | 20.5 | 3.5 |
| 10 | 11 | Buccaneers | 23.0 | 19.0 | 21.0 | 18.0 | 3.5 |
| 11 | 10 | Packers | 24.5 | 18.5 | 22.0 | 22.0 | 3.0 |
| 12 | 12 | Patriots | 20.5 | 17.5 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 1.5 |
| 13 | 13 | Browns | 21.5 | 16.5 | 21.0 | 24.0 | 1.0 |
| 14 | 14 | Seahawks | 24.5 | 22.5 | 23.0 | 23.0 | 1.0 |
| 15 | 15 | Vikings | 26.0 | 25.0 | 24.5 | 24.5 | 0.5 |
| 16 | 16 | Broncos | 18.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 18.0 | 0.0 |
| 17 | 17 | Raiders | 24.0 | 24.0 | 23.0 | 23.0 | 0.0 |
| 18 | 18 | Saints | 21.5 | 20.5 | 18.0 | 20.0 | -0.5 |
| 19 | 19 | Falcons | 23.0 | 19.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | -1.0 |
| 20 | 20 | Jaguars | 22.0 | 20.0 | 20.5 | 25.5 | -1.5 |
| 21 | 21 | Washington | 19.5 | 19.5 | 18.5 | 22.5 | -2.0 |
| 22 | 22 | Steelers | 18.0 | 17.0 | 15.5 | 22.5 | -3.0 |
| 23 | 23 | Titans | 19.5 | 21.5 | 17.0 | 22.0 | -3.5 |
| 24 | 24 | Cardinals | 22.5 | 23.5 | 17.5 | 23.5 | -3.5 |
| 25 | 25 | Jets | 17.5 | 23.5 | 18.0 | 20.0 | -4.0 |
| 26 | 26 | Lions | 26.5 | 29.5 | 23.0 | 29.0 | -4.5 |
| 27 | 27 | Giants | 19.5 | 21.5 | 18.0 | 25.0 | -4.5 |
| 28 | 28 | Colts | 18.0 | 22.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | -5.0 |
| 29 | 29 | Rams | 18.5 | 21.5 | 14.0 | 22.0 | -5.5 |
| 30 | 30 | Panthers | 14.0 | 22.0 | 15.0 | 25.0 | -9.0 |
| 31 | 31 | Bears | 18.5 | 23.5 | 15.0 | 29.0 | -9.5 |
| 32 | 32 | Texans | 14.5 | 28.5 | 13.0 | 27.0 | -14.0 |