11/23/20 Betting Preview: Rams at Bucs: SMACKDOWN!

8:15 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Football games Gambling NFL Forecasting Uncategorized  style smackdown preview color betting 013369  Bettors are in for a treat with this Monday Night Football showdown as it features two of the NFC’s top playoff contenders. The Rams (6-3 SU, 5-4) are coming off an impressive 23-16 win over the Seahawks, covering as 3-point home favorites. Meanwhile, the Bucs (7-3 SU, 5-5 ATS) rebounded from a 38-3 beatdown by the Saints in Week 9 with a resounding 46-23 win over the Panthers last week, easily covering as 6-point road favorites. The Rams are + 48 in point differential. The Bucs are + 70.

This line opened with Tampa Bay listed as a 3.5-point home favorite. The public is split and doesn’t know who to take. On the one hand, they love getting points with a good team like the Rams. But they are also wary of betting against Tom Brady laying a short spread. Despite this even betting, we’ve seen the Bucs move from -3.5 to -4. Some shops are even hanging -4.5. In a vacuum, a line shouldn’t move at all if the tickets are split. So we know this adjustment toward Tampa Bay was caused by respected pro money backing the Bucs. Jerome Boger is the lead ref tonight, which also favors Tampa. Home teams are 56% ATS when Boger is the head official.

Despite the line move against them, the Rams fit a pair of profitable systems this season. Short road dogs + 6 or less are 38-24 ATS (61%) this season and primetime dogs are 21-12 ATS (64%).

We’ve also seen some wiseguy money hit the under, dropping the total from 48.5 to 48. Primetime unders are 21-12 (64%) this season. The Rams are a big under team (7-2) while the Bucs have been profitable to the over (6-4).

WATCH: Professor MJ Releases Top DFS Lineups for NFL 2020 Week 11

NFL 2020 Week 10 – Betting Preview

Colin Cowherd’s Blazin 5 Picks for NFL Week 8 2020

Colin’s picks are 15-19-1 ATS this year. FF-Winners AI agrees with him on two of his five picks this week.

Colin Cowherd’s Blazing 5 Picks for NFL Week 7 2020

We only agree with Colin on two of his five picks this week!

Last Week’s Blazin’ 5 record: 2-3
2020 Blazin’ 5 record: 12-17-1

The Betting Profe$$or Releases Four Picks for NFL 2020 Week 7

Professor MJ gives  a shocking 5-STAR PICK!   Will he be right?

How to Find the Right Online Casino

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Gambling  right online casino  Throughout the years the online casino industry has been booming steadily. As a result, millions of players from all over the world have a growing number of casino sites that they can play on. But which one to play on? Not to worry, before you choose a site to play on have to do a few things. Here are some of them:

Look for a Licensed Casino Site

Licensed sites are the only ones that you should play on. The bottom of the web page is where the indication of a license is usually found on and if you see this then you’ll know that the site is regulated. If you’re looking for a licensed casino then you can try this website. If you scroll down you’ll see the commission regulating it. You will also find a selection of games and promotions that will make you enjoy your stay on this site.

Go Through the Selection of Games

A variety of games is what each casino site has on offer. They have the classic versions of table games like blackjack, roulette, poker, baccarat, and much more. Game developers also made sure that these games have several variants players can choose from.

This goes for the slot games as well. In the plethora of games, you should go for your favorite ones or ones you’re familiar with. On the other hand, if you’re feeling adventurous then you can learn some new games as some online casinos come with guides for beginners.

See What Kinds of Bonuses Are on Offer

In addition to the plethora of games, you’ll be presented with a sea of bonuses from each casino site. The most common ones that you’ll come across are the welcome bonus as well as the no-deposit bonus Naturally, there are many more bonuses you’ll come across.

If you stick with a site long enough then you’ll be invited to their loyalty program and receive more rewards just because you were royal. When it comes to picking bonuses then choose the ones that will be of use to you. Another thing, that’s important to remember is that all of them come with wagering requirements.

Find a Secure Site

In 2019, statistics of cybercrime victims worldwide numbered in the thousands, and that’s just the reported incidents. This means that the online world is exactly safe which is why you should look for a secure site. The first indication of this is that it has a license. Besides that other security measures are also taken as the need to provide a picture of your ID before a transaction.

Casino sites even offer payment and withdrawal methods that increase the security and anonymity of players. Cryptocurrency is the method in question and if a site has it on offer then you’ll know that it’s a safe place. Additionally, good customer service is also a sign of a secure site. If the service responds quickly and solves issues efficiently then you know you’re on a secure site.

Winning Tips to Managing (and Growing) Your Sports Betting Bank Roll

HINT: FLAT BET!

NFL Betting vs Online Casinos

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Gambling Gaming  online casinos betting  Thanks to the advances in mobile technology, online gambling has blown up. Nowadays you can place bets from your smartphone regardless of the time or the place. And, all of the platforms that offer the activity are vetted and financially stable, so payouts are guaranteed. You just need to bet wisely.

It’s been two years since the ban of betting on commercial sports in the US has been lifted. One that was in place due to a 1992 federal law. It was thought that it would open doors to legalizing more than $150 billion in illegal bets placed each year.

Of course, the industry didn’t even get close to these numbers. It also hasn’t gotten close to its other online gambling compatriot, digital casinos. These bring in annual revenues of $60 billion worldwide, and that number is projected to rise to $90 billion in 4 years. So, why is it that these platforms are so far ahead? Well, for one, they’ve been on the scene for over two and a half decades, and there are a ton of options. An exceptional choice is novibet.co.uk (non-USA), a platform that offers both, sports and casino betting.

Seeing as football is the most popular sport in the US, and enticing to bet on. It’s intriguing to see how gambling on it compares to doing the same at an online casino.

Odds vs House Edge

In sports betting the odds are calculated according to the probability of the result of a game. Who’s playing, where are they playing, the run they been on, and so on? All these play a factor in determining the odds. To win many times over your initial bet, you’d have to land a major upset.

With casinos, the platform always has a mathematical advantage over the player, who knows and understands the exact percentage. However, that number is valid in the long-term, and it states that over time you can’t beat the casino. But, in the short-term, anything is possible.

Availability of Bets

You can’t bet on NFL games whenever you feel like it. The first condition is that a game has to be scheduled and take place. So, if you get the itch and the season hasn’t started, you’ll have to bet on other sports or games from less popular leagues.

Casino betting, on the other hand, is a 24/7, 365 day a year thing. It’s also not bound by world-events, like pandemics.

Variety

Now, you may be thinking – “do you know how many different types of bets I can place on a football game?” There’s pass completion, the type of play the offense will call next, and so on. If you’ve never played a slot, then you don’t know that some of these games offer thousands of winning combinations that pay out different amounts.

Then, you can compare the 256 games that take place during one NFL season, to close to 5,000 available slot games online, and every single type of live table game ever created.

WATCH: NFL Betting 101 – What You Should Know.

NFL betting is fun and really not very complicated. If you have any questions,  just ask us at  customerservice@ff-winners.com.

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PODCAST: What is the Sports Betting Moneyline?

The money line allows you to bet on the winner of the game, ignoring
pointspread. The odds are adjusted to make them approximately equal.


The Best Sports for Betting

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Gambling Sports Betting  sports betting  If you are a sports enthusiast who loves to place bets on your favorite teams, you need to consider the following;

  • How many sports to bet on?
  • Which sports to bet on?

It is easier to make decisions if you are a sports fan first then a bettor. You can decide to wager on all of the sports that you are familiar with and love to watch. This approach proves logical since those are the sports that you understand best. It is easier to bet on those sports as it will give you a better opportunity of winning money.

However, it is not easier to make such decisions. It is normal for most people to follow diverse sports, and thus, not certain if they want to bet on them all or just select their favorite. There are others who only follow a single sport, and are therefore not sure if they need to limit themselves to just that one particular sport. There are also those who would like to try their luck in sports betting but rarely follow any sports closely.

Definitely, there are sports that we presume are better, though it may not be everyone’s opinion. Your best sport to bet on might be a terrible option for someone else. Therefore, one should consider a number of factors before you place that bet. You need to consider whether it’s perfect to wager on one sport, several sports, or diverse sports. 

The best sports for betting highly depend on what part of the world one is located. Some sports might be well-known in some regions, but not so favored in others. However, a few sports can be popular with bettors all around the world. In terms of the total number of people who bet on them, some sports definitely rank higher than others, these include soccer, American football, basketball, tennis, boxing, and formula 1. Therefore, you need to consider what’s best for you.

Those sports that regularly attract huge viewing audiences, are also the ones that people wager on the most. The reason why most bettors would consider placing their bets on these sports is that they offer many betting opportunities. Information on such sports is also easily accessible and widely available. Bookmakers also offer lots of betting options for these sports.

How to make the best decisions

The more information you have at your disposal, the better the chances of making good decisions. If you find making money more important to you than having fun, then you need to consider;

  • How much time are you willing to dedicate to your betting?
  • What will give you the best chance of making good money?
  • What are the best betting options?

 


2015 Super Bowl Point Spread : Early Movement (archival article)

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Archival Gambling NFL Forecasting Sports Betting  week 15 super spread point movement ff-winners week 2 early

The point spread for Super Bowl XLIX moved 3.5 points at MGM Resorts on Sunday night, as the Patriots pulled away from the Colts to secure the AFC title.

The Las Vegas sports book operator, along with many others in town, opened the Seahawks as 2.5-point favorites during the third quarter of New England’s 45-7 victory. By the late fourth quarter, the Pats were the 1-point favorite.

“We opened (Seattle) -2.5, but I knew it was the wrong side, and I just kept dropping it down little by little even though we didn’t get much action on it,” Jay Rood, MGM Resorts VP of race and sports, told The Linemakers’ Micah Roberts. “The more I was thinking about it, the more I thought New England should be favored, and the bulk of the action we took on it — about $10,000 — has been on the Patriots -1.”

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened Seattle -2.5, but the shop was dealing the game at a pick ‘em less than a half-hour later, according to assistant manager Jeff Sherman’s Twitter feed.

William Hill U.S. moved to a pick ‘em on Sunday night as well, director of trading Nick Bogdanovich told The Linemakers on Sporting News in a text message. The shop was offering an advanced line of Seattle -3 vs. New England last week.

Super Bowl XLIX is set for Sunday, Feb. 1 in Glendale, Ariz.

That the spread moved immediately in New England’s direction is not a surprise. Early line moves are typically prompted by money from professional bettors. But with Vegas books packed with public bettors for Championship Sunday, the cumulative smaller wagers have a greater impact. Public bettors, of course, tend to base their wagers on what they most-recently witnessed — and that was the Pats blowing out the Colts and the Seahawks coming away with a very fortunate win over the Packers.

“The books want to get to the right number as quickly as they can,” said The Linemakers’ Roberts. “This will be the biggest bet game of the year, where the public has more influence on the number than the wise guys. In most cases with the public, they go by what they saw last, and in this case, it was Seattle struggling at home and committing five turnovers and the Patriots rolling to a blowout win. I think the public will side with the Patriots early on.”

Early wagering on last year’s Super Bowl was similar, as Seattle opened as a short favorite but Denver was bet to a favorite within a few hours on Championship Sunday.

Said Tony Miller at the Golden Nugget, “We haven’t taken any big action on the game yet, just a bunch of guys putting some small parlays on it before they head out of town.”

Miller said he believes Seattle -3 is the proper number, but he adjusted to what he saw in the market.

“With -2s being out there and -1.5 at the Mirage, I opened -2.5 just to be at the highest number, but the (odds) screen is jumping right now,” Miller said. “I’m looking at a few books down to -1 right now, so I’m moving to -2 and I’ll still be high.”

Five minutes later, Miller took a bet large enough (not a limit wager) to drop even further, to -1, to put him in line with most of the other books around town. But the number would continue to drop, and pick ‘em was the consensus line by the time the AFC game ended.

The total opened between 48.5 and 49.5.

On sale: The Wynn is enticing bettors in Vegas with a special offer of -105 vigorish on side bets, exec VP for Race & Sports John Avello told The Linemakers on Sporting News in a text on Sunday night. Gamblers usually have to lay -110.

High bar: Nevada sports books handled a record $119.4 million in wagers on last year’s Super Bowl, which shattered the previous mark of $98.9 set the previous year. They also won $19.6 million, another record.


PODCAST: Week 2 Betting Preview or Fake News?

Seriously, would you trust these folks with your betting dollars?


Luck Retirement Shakes NFL Betting Markets

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Gambling NFL Forecasting Quarterbacks Sports Betting  shakes retirement markets betting  Market insights from Josh Appelbaum . . .
The dust has settled on Andrew Luck’s shocking retirement announcement from the NFL. The 29-year-old star quarterback unexpectedly called it quits over the weekend. Luck cited injuries and being “mentally worn down” as the main reasons he hung up the cleats. 

Colts’ fans aren’t the only ones who will miss Luck. Bettors will, too. 

Luck went 49-34 against the spread (59%), winning +12.52 units with a 14.6% return on investment (according to BetLabsSports.com). This means a $100 spread bettor made $1,252 riding every Luck start throughout his 7-year career. 

On the moneyline, Luck went 53-33 (61.6%), winning +21.13 units with a 24.6% ROI. This includes a 17-20 record (45.9%) but +15.65 units as a dog (42.3% ROI).

The fallout from Luck’s retirement has been swift. At Circa Sports, the Colts moved from -180 to make the playoffs to -210 to not make the playoffs. Indianapolis also plummeted from -120 to +350 to win their division, +700 to +2100 to win the AFC and +1500 to +4500 to win the Super Bowl.

Indy’s season win total was adjusted from 9.5 (over -115) to 8 (under -120). In other words, the Colts were expected to go 10-6 or better with Luck and now are likely to go 7-9 or worse with Jacoby Brissett. 

How much is Luck worth to the spread? After opening at +3.5 for Week 1 against the Chargers, the Colts are now +7.


Do You Obey the Fundamental Law of NFL Betting?

There is no “inside info” when it concerns Pro football wagering as the info age has just made it impossible to keep information secret. Once we understand this fact we can consider only one main NFL wagering statistic above all others and that is the pointspread. The oddsmaker is going to base his NFL betting line on just how the public is going to bet. This can offer you valuable insight without doing other work! You can check out the Pro football betting line which side the oddsmaker wants to win. Often that will be the underdog considering that the oddsmaker understands the favorite is usually getting pounded with public money in NFL wagering. This is not always the situation, yet it occurs typically. You could look purely at the pointspread and base your bet on which party the oddsmaker wishes in NFL wagering. Specifically, this will be side of the bet that is drawing least money!

Most impulsive NFL bettors will take the favorite. The main herd of gamblers lose at NFL wagering due to the fact that they decline to think about the underdog at all!. That is a significant mistake. If you really want the best NFL tip it is to behave  like the oddsmaker. Typically the sportsbooks make easy cash with NFL betting so if you could determine what teams they would like to win and then wager those groups, you have a likelihood of gaining consistent  profits in Pro football wagering! Just watch which way the pointspread moves during the week and bet contrary to the movement!

 


 

 

 

4 Top Professional Horse Racing Tips

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Gambling Horce Racing Horse Race Betting  racing professional horse  Racing on horseback feels great! Whether you are racing for money or to just pass time, it’s fun to compete with fellow riders. If you have never raced before, you might feel nervous, especially when you know other people will be monitoring your performance. In fact, the skills that are needed when racing are a bit different to those that are needed when walking the horse. For a start, you have to be prepared for the worst. Besides that, you must know how to control the horse. As a matter of fact, the control you will have over the horse will be determined by your sitting position. Here are some professional tips that can help you while racing on a horse back.

Wear the Right Outfits

Whether you will be racing on a course or an open field, it’s advisable you wear slim fit clothes. Loosely fitting clothes are actually a recipe for trouble. This is because they can get entangled on the horse or on the branch of a tree and cause to fall. You should also wear boots that cover your legs up to the knees. Such boots are ideal because they protect your legs from bruises and other injuries that might result from a fall. If you don’t have horse riding boots, you can just wear any closed shoes. However, the heel should be a low enough so that your feet can fit perfectly into the stirrups. Besides that, it’s advisable your wear a helmet before mounting on the horse. In fact, every coach that offers professional horse racing tips advises all jockeys to always wear their headgear. The helmet helps in protecting your head against severe injuries during an accident.

Sit Upright then Lean Forward

After mounting the horse, you should seat in an upright position while heading to the docks. This is because the horse will just be walking. Once the race has started, you should change your sitting position by leaning forward. The advantage of leaning forward is that it signals your horse that you want to move at a faster speed. In addition to that, it eases your body weight by shifting it forward. This enables the horse to run faster. Since you will be competing with other riders, it’s important you maintain this position all the way to the finish line. If you try to sit upright before the race is over, the horse will definitely slow down, giving your rivals an edge over you.

Focus on the Trail

If you have never competed before, you might easily get carried away by other things that are happening on the field. First there are fans that keep cheering because they have placed their bets and other riders. Whether they are betting on your horse or not, your primary concern should be your safety. You can’t ride safely when you keep looking at what’s happening around you. It’s advisable you keep your eyes on the trail because that’s when you will be able to avoid an accident. In fact, riding a horse is not much different from riding a car. Remember, your horse will go where you direct it.

Use the Reins to Control the Horse

The reins are normally reserved for controlling how the horse moves. However, most novice jockeys don’t know how to hold them the right way. Although the reins are usually long, they should be held at the level of your waist line. That way, you will not have to pull so hard when you want the horse to stop or make a turn. In fact, holding the reins high is a huge mistake. This is because your pulls will not have any impact on the horse. If you want to make a left turn, you should just pull the left reign and ease the pressure of your leg on the stirrups.

The NFL gets into gambling: what the exclusive casino sponsorship with Caesars will mean for football fans

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Advertising & Marketing Gambling Gaming NFL Office  sponsorship how to get into sport betting gambling football exclusive casino caesars  After years of outright contempt for gambling, the National Football League has brokered a deal with Caesars Entertainment Corp., which will impact football fans and casino players alike. Caesars is currently the largest casino operator in the US and the fans have long been awaiting to see the NFL enter the gambling world.

From rejection to golden deals

Until recently, the NFL famously avoided to get involved with gambling and sports betting. The NFL claimed that gambling was one of the biggest threats it could face, and it was one of the most vocal opponents to sports betting and its effects on the game. But the NFL surprised everyone earlier this year when it announced that Caesars Entertainment would be its first-everofficial casino sponsor“. Insiders expect an arrangement of $30 million-per-year for the next three years.

Last year, the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act allowed states to legalize sports wagering. The ruling directly resulted in the NBA, NHL and MLB partnering up with MGM Resorts International, Caesars’ biggest competitor, and in the more recent deal between Caesars and the NFL.

What does this deal mean for me?

Although the exclusive deal has not mentioned sports gambling as such, it certainly represents exciting opportunities for football and gambling enthusiasts. As of now, Caesars can use NFL trademarks so that fans can expect to find NFL branded items in casinos near them. Fans might also be able to witness NFL exclusive events in selected casinos and hotels. For instance, Caesars Rewards members can rejoice at the possibility to experience the unique NFL Draft Party, taking place at the famous Caesars Palace in Las Vegas. For the few unlucky ones unable to fly out to Vegas straight away, do not despair, Casinorange.com got you covered! You can try your luck at some of the best online casino games until NFL events come to your favourite casino.

Hopefully, the recent merger between Caesars and Eldorado Resorts Inc. will increase the NFL offerings for fans. Although both companies failed to mention the NFL sponsorship during the official deal announcement, we can already speculate on how the newly largest casino company in the US will make most of this partnership for gambling fans who love football.

PODCAST: 4 Surprisingly Profitable NFL Betting Angles

These “systems” may provide you some excellent  betting ideas this season.   They agree with the principal that “Parity” in the NFL can be exploited by astute bettors. Most of the public and sportswriters “overreact” to recent performance.  By definition, “recent performance” is only a small sample.  Even sadder is all the experts and pundits making bold predictions in the off season when NO football is even being played! If you do “Big Data” computer analysis, you will discover that there are many things about predicting the NFL which are systematic but not always intuitive.