WATCH: 6 NFL Betting Systems Evaluated!

Professor MJ’s Top 4 NFL Picks for Week 2 2021

How to Win Your NFL Survivor Pool

The odds of winning an NFL survivor pool are typically very slim.

This video shows you how to improve your winning chances.

Create Your Own NFL Power Rankings

Creating power rankings is one of the single most important skills to handicapping the NFL.

You’ll learn that the real trick is factoring in multiple different stats or numbers and weighing some more than others… that’s when it really becomes a model. But this video is perfect for teaching the CONCEPT of power ratings and modeling.

The Mathematical Approach To Sports Betting

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Introduction
Betting is all about chance. That said, there are mathematical approaches and numbers-based strategies that can tip the odds in your favor. They’re used by savvy and serious bettors who want to turn a profit consistently.
You’ll still be at the mercy of luck or circumstance but you can at least give yourself an edge when your money is on the line. Here you’ll find some common yet effective mathematical strategies for sports betting.

The House Sometimes Wins
When taking the numbers-based approach to sports betting, you need to first understand the underlying rule that makes betting profitable for casinos and sportsbooks – the house always wins. This means that the odds are slightly skewed so that, on a long enough timeframe, the establishment will always profit from the action.
Think of your wagers as being against the sportsbook, who want to earn as much cash as possible. The house always wins in the end but people often do beat them at their own game. That means the house sometimes wins and, if you do your homework, you can be one of those people who find profit in their wagers.

The House Edge
The house always wins because of the house edge, which is also called the vig or the juice in sports betting circles and is the primary way many bookmakers make back their money. The vig/juice is just the difference between the odds of the game and the odds that the bookmakers offer on wagers placed on that game.
A simple example that demonstrates this well is where two teams are evenly matched, so a 50/50 chance of winning. The bookmakers won’t offer the same odds. Instead, they’ll wait and see which team is the most popular with the betting crowd (typically the home-playing team for sports like baseball and football), and then they’ll slant the odds on that side so they pocket a small percentage of everybody’s winnings, often 4%-5% but it differs on the sports and the exact situation. The people who bet on that favorite team won’t win as much.
Yes, this means that the odds are literally stacked against you, but that’s how your favorite sportsbooks stay in business. To reiterate, the house edge guarantees profit over time, so your individual betting actions can still be profitable and take money away from the house.

Mathematical Betting Approaches

Fixed Profit Betting
This is a simple concept that demands you increase your net profit by a fixed amount with every consecutive bet. This is typically done by using the following equation:
Bet amount = Profit/(Odds – 1)
Or B = P/(O-1) for short.
As an example, let’s say you want to make $100 in profit and the given odds are 1.5.
That would be 100 divided by 1.4, so $71.4.
This method means that a bettor doesn’t lose too much of their bankroll in a short amount of time while constantly attempting to make profits, so it’s aggressive and defensive at the same time. You need to have a 3% to 5% yield on your bankroll for it to be sustainable.

Proportional Betting
Proportional betting (not to be confused with prop bets) is where a bettor decides on a fixed percentage to increase your bet after each win. This multiplies your winnings while keeping your loss rate at a minimum.

The Maria Staking Plan
This is a quite well-known staking plan named after a British woman who reported turning £3,000 to £100,000 on horse racing over just 300 days. It works by dividing potential bets into three groups depending on the odds given for any game.
The system was outlined as follows:
If the odds are lower than 3.5, you should bet 1% of your bankroll.
If the odds are between 3.5 to 7.4, place 0.6% of your bankroll.
If between 7.5 and 11, stake 0.4% of the bankroll.
If the odds are above 11, do not take the bet at all.
Then, once the day is over, recalculate using the increased bankroll. That means your percentage values stay the same but you wager more as you earn more, with an expected strike rate of 85% if you can mimic Maria’s success.

The Dynamic Mathematics of NFL Scheduling

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Kinematics: The Science of NFL Football

Today, science tells us that the essence of nature is curiosity.
We exist as molecular structures. The dreamtime is bursting with supercharged waveforms.
It is a sign of things to come.
We must learn how to lead non-dual lives in the face of greed. We must unify ourselves and unify others. This path never ends.

By flowering, we believe. The goal of transmissions is to plant the seeds of manna rather than desire. Presence is the driver of will.

Only a lifeform of the quantum soup may create this revolution of rebirth. Where there is selfishness, health cannot thrive. Yes, it is possible to destroy the things that can extinguish us, but not without growth on our side.

It is time to take flow to the next level.
Throughout history, humans have been interacting with the nexus via superpositions of possibilities. Our conversations with other warriors have led to an invocation of ultra-ethereal consciousness. Humankind has nothing to lose.

WATCH: How to Bet on Sports without A Model

Do you need a model or trusted system? Absolutely. IGNORE THIS VIDEO!!!!!!!!!!! Or be a  Loser!

Do You Pick Too Many March Madness Upsets?

This video has some great tips for filling out your bracket!

11 Things to Avoid in Your March Madness Bracket

Podcast: What Winning March Madne$$ Bracket$ Have in Common

WATCH: 20 NFL Teams with the Most Playoff Wins Ever!

CHRISTMAS NFL BETTING REPORT – Vikings Versus Saints

2021-22 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Sports Betting Statistics Team News  vikings versus saints report christmas betting  4:30 p.m. ET: Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints

This late afternoon Christmas Day showdown features a pair of NFC opponents looking to snap two-game losing skids. The Vikings (6-8 SU, 6-8 ATS) just fell to the Bears 33-27 last week, losing outright as 3-point home favorites. Minnesota is technically still alive for a playoff spot but would need to win their final two games and get some serious help in order to sneak in. Meanwhile, the Saints (10-4 SU 7-6-1 ATS) just lost to the Chiefs 32-29, pushing as 3-point home dogs. New Orleans has already clinched a playoff spot and is currently the 2-seed in the NFC. They could rise as high as the 1-seed or fall to the 3-seed depending on how the final two games play out. Minnesota is -28 in point differential this season. New Orleans is + 100.

This line opened with New Orleans listed as a 7.5-point home favorite. The public is all over the Saints, expecting a bounce-back cover against a struggling Vikings squad that just lost to the Bears at home. However, despite this lopsided support we’ve seen the line fall from Saints -7.5 to -7. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on the Vikings, with respected pro bettors grabbing the points, not laying them. Minnesota has heightened contrarian value as they are only receiving about one-third of bets in what will be an incredibly heavily bet game. The Vikings also have value as a road dog off a loss (56% ATS this season) and a dog with a line move in their favor (60% ATS). Despite both teams being profitable to the over this season (Vikings 9-4-1 and Saints 9-5), we’ve seen this total fall from 52 to 51. This signals some sharp money backing the under.

WATCH: Professor MJ Releases Top DFS Lineups for NFL 2020 Week 11

How To Convert Betting Odds to Winning Percentages

Astute bettors use posted odds to calculate their expected win or loss on a given bet – of course they only take bets with expected value (EV) that is positive…. Here is how it is done…

 

Colin Cowherd’s Blazin 5 Picks for NFL Week 8 2020

Colin’s picks are 15-19-1 ATS this year. FF-Winners AI agrees with him on two of his five picks this week.

FILM STUDY: How Atrocious Is the Dallas Cowboy Defense?

Please keep in mind that they have played Seattle, Los Angeles Rams, Falcons and Browns so far.

Statistics Professor Helps You Bet on 2020 NFL MVP

Professor MJ, a University Statistics Professor from Canada, talks about who will win the NFL’s MVP award in 2020. He compared the odds from 10 well-known online sportsbooks and unveils the best bargains available to you!

How to Use Nextgen Stats to Rank Fantasy Running Backs

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CLICK HERE!

The Golden Prime Integer Behind NFL Betting Success

2021-22 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings NFL Forecasting Sports Betting Statistics Videos  success prime integer golden betting behind  Can the mathematical and statistical relationships between moneyline, pointspread and totals be used to produce  winning NFL systems, without knowing anything about football or the teams playing?

Yes!

This video gives one method! Click Here!