How Randy Moss Earned All of His Superbowl Rings!


SIMPLE: How to Use Regression Analysis to Help Predict NFL Scoring

This video is rather basic – but should give you some idea how a simple statistical method, “regression”, can be applied to predict NFL outcomes”.

The 3 Main Reasons Most Amateur Sports Bettors Lose Money

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Financial and Small Business Gambling Sports Betting Statistics  sports money how to get into sport betting bettors amateur   Does the following scenario sound familiar?

“This guy Archie came into my book on the first week of September and bet about $1k on ten different NFL games. He ended up going 9-1, and turned his $10k into $18k. (n.b. we are ignoring vig for the sake of simple calculations) I knew he would be back though, and sure enough he was there the following week, betting $2k on nine different NFL games and totals. He got hot again, and went 7-2, and his $10k had now grown to $28k in just two weeks. I wasn’t worried though, because the story is always the same with these guys. In week three, he came in with 7 more ‘locks’ and put $4k on each game, only to go 1-6, losing three of the games in the last minute. Frustrated with his bad luck, he put all of his remaining $8k on the Monday Night Under, which busted when the Broncos scored a meaningless touchdown in the final minute. Three weeks after he started, Archie was broke.”

The 3 main reasons amateurs lose money:

          1.   They over bet.

         2.   They vary their bet size dramatically.

         3.    They fail to appreciate the amount of randomness in game outcomes and forecast accuracy.

                (the media contributes to this view by understating the luck factor).

For the correct mathematics:

 

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The Shocking Truth about the Kelly Betting System

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Financial and Small Business Sports Betting Statistics  truth system shocking kelly kelley betting system betting about   The Kelly System is designed to maximize your “betting edge” while minimizing your “risk of ruin”.
But is that true? Should you use it?

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PODCAST: How Mr. Whale Capper Uses Seismic Engineering to Predict Football Games

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings NFL Forecasting Podcasts Sports Betting Statistics  whale seismic predict podcast football engineering capper

Listen and Learn!

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MUST SEE: The Amazing Potential of Next Gen Stats

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Artificial Intelligence Statistics Technology  stats potential amazing   The  NFL Quantitative Revolution is Here!   Where Technology and Computation Meet the Gridiron!

CLICK HERE!


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The Statistical Power of Regression in Predicting Football

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Artificial Intelligence NFL Forecasting Statistics  statistical regression predicting power football   If you are interested in how data science may be applied to

predicting football outcomes, we recommend this new article

by Ed Feng:

CLICK HERE!

6 Weird NFL Streaks

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Statistics  weird streaks drew brees

Will these NFL Streaks end in 2018?  I say that most will continue!

 

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