About Winn Jones


Winn Jones, FF-Winners machine learning and artificial intelligence expert , specializes in sports forecasting and advanced probability analysis. In addition to leading our research department, he is a professional financial index trader.

He thanks you for visiting FF-Winners and sharing it with your friends and family!

WATCH: Dan “Frickin” Marino: The Greatest Pure Passer Ever!

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Film Study Highlights Quarterbacks  watch passer marino greatest frickin  Cannon for an arm, as accurate as a sniper rifle, almost psychic vision, and a beautiful football mind. The fact this man never won a super bowl might be the saddest thing in sports history.  He didn’t have a problem getting into the Hall of Fame, though. True legend! 

 

  CATCH HIS BOMBS HERE!

What Everybody Must Know About the Dreaded NFL Turf Monster!

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Football Lowlights Videos  monster everybody dreaded about  GET TRIPPED UP HERE!

FILM STUDY: How to Throw a Nice Tight NFL Spiral!

FILM STUDY: Jerry Jeudy – The NFL’s Next Multipurpose Wide Receiver

Wide Receiver Jerry Jeudy from the University of Alabama is expected to be one of the first Wide Receivers off the board in the upcoming 2020 NFL Draft. He has advanced route running technique, utilizes a variety of releases to beat man coverage and has an ability to find the soft spots in zone coverage.

WATCH: NFL Players in the Right Place At The Right Time

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Highlights Videos  watch style right players place color 013369  Success is where Preparation Meets Opportunity!  Some of these plays are sheer luck!

But others also include tremendous athletic skill!

Catch the Ball Here!

PODCAST: Sports Betting: Be Cool. Not a Fool

FF-Winners believes that flat betting is the way to go. That is, bet the same amount for each play. Chasing, or increasing bet size based on your last bet (or series of bets), is not recommended.

Over time, you may hear about various systems where you increase your bet size “knowing” that you are due to win sooner or later. In general, these systems don’t work. Eventually, a bad streak occurs and you are betting a recklessly large amount to recoup losses.

In general, many of these approaches might seem to improve short-term performance, but at the huge expense of increasing your risk of ruin. A bad stretch could endanger your bankroll fairly quickly.

Professional money managers, as well as sensible sports investors, will agree that you should minimize the chances of blowing out your investment portfolio. Flat betting will help you ride the ups and downs of sports investing!

The NFL Rockstar QB Who People Hate On

Cameron Jerrell Newton is an American football quarterback who is currently a free agent. He played college football at Florida and Auburn. He was drafted as the first overall pick by the Carolina Panthers in the 2011 NFL Draft. Watch out folks – this talented man will be back!

FILM STUDY: Dantari Poe – The Cowboys New Defensive Tackle

With this free agent acquisition look for the Cowboys to make a serious run at the Superbowl this year!

Colin Cowherd’s Top 10 NFL Teams for 2020

Colin Cowherd is a smart analyst – but he sometimes missed

the obvious.   His top 10 may seem reasonable – but how

does he explain leaving out these teams:

New England, Minnesota,  Dallas, Los Angeles Rams, Tennessee.

Also, the Buffalo Bills are loaded…

Special Teams Ace Maragos Opposes NFL Kickoff Rules Changes (archival article)

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Archival Fandom Football games  teams special rules opposes maragos kickoff

Chris Maragos has become a lobbyist, or so people might assume, considering all the effort the Philadelphia Special Teams Ace is injecting into his fight against the League’s plans to change the kickoff rules once more. At this point, the NFL spread doesn’t seem so important, what with all the hullaballoo surrounding NFL coaches and their stand against league executives.

If you talk to NFL executives, they will tell you that they are simply trying to make NFL games safer, this after analyzing statistics and determining that a lot of the high-speed collisions that cause injuries manifest during the kickoff.

Maragos claims that the kickoff is hardly as chaotic as some people think and, surrounded by so many talented players, he has never felt that his safety was compromised at any time. If anything, Maragos thinks that people like competition committee member Stephen Jones of the Dallas Cowboys are the true threat; having already moved the kickoff from the 30-yard line to the 35-yard line a few years back, Maragos has more than had enough of the NFL’s meddling.

It has been the NFL’s goal for a while now to reduce the number of returns, which is one of the reasons why the ball will be put on the 25 rather than the 20 (though only for a trial period of one year). The NFL isn’t completely deaf to the calls of coaches. During the offseason, senior vice president of officiating Dean Blandino met and spoke to special teams coaches.

Whether or not the meeting (conference call) achieved its objectives, it should be noted that Blandino downplayed any rumors about the Kickoff being eliminated, admitting that it was still one of the most exciting plays of the game. Yet, the NFL’s determination to make changes cannot be ignored. Clearly, the league thinks that the kickoff is a threat. All the attention surrounding the issue of concussions in the NFL is driving executives to take action to rebrand the game of football.

For Jones, coaches and executives should stand ready to take every step possible to ensure the safety of players. At the end of the day, no matter the conversation, the safety of players should be prioritized, even if that means that players might get fewer opportunities (especially those not good enough to shine on offense or defense).  Maragos would probably disagree here, especially considering his opinions about the vital importance of kickoffs and punts as effective gateways to stardom. In support of his point, Maragos has been known to point to Delanie Walker (Tennessee tight end), his teammate in San Francisco for whom Special teams was essential to keeping him on the roster.

Another supporter of Maragos’ position, Minnesota Receiver Adam Thielen believes that the key to safety is practice. If players do what they are supposed to do on the practice field, they are less likely to make mistakes during NFL games.For Maragos, the further alteration and eventual elimination of the kickoff would be a great blow to football, removing a play that many have come to associate with the game.

 

WATCH: Know the Top 50 2020 NFL Draft Prospects

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Draft Fantasy Football Strategy Highlights NFL Draft Player News Videos  watch style prospects draft color 013369  The best fantasy football owners try to learn as much as they can about the incoming draft class.
This will help you down the stretch.

HERE THEY ARE

OMG! Bookies Cheat!

They don’t really “cheat” usually!  But they may be clueless about the future outcome of the game!

FILM STUDY:What NFL Teams Need to Know About Tua Tagovailoa

Mr. Tagovailoa has a ton of talent and intelligence – but there are injury issues. What do you think?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers On the Move Up the NFL!

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Archival NFL Forecasting Team News Uncategorized  tampa nfl season computer picks nfl computer game picks computer picks nfl winners buccaneers

 

 

Tampa Bay , currently ranked  #30 in the ff-winners.com computer power rankings

looks to push higher in 2016.

The first pick in the 2015 NFL Draft did not disappoint at all. Jameis Winston threw a couple of picks in his first career game, but cruised through the rest of the season, even becoming selected to the Pro Bowl! The Bucs’ new head coach Dirk Koetter  revolutionized their offensive attack last season, as he utilized Winston, Doug Martin, Mike Evans, Austin Seferian-Jenkins, and Vincent Jackson to their full potential. Now taking on a bigger role, Koetter will need to fix their defense too, as that is what ultimately brought their team down last season….

 

FILM STUDY: Tour Peyton Manning’s Mind!

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Film Study Highlights Quarterbacks Videos  watch peyton manning latte  Mr. Manning is a perfectionist. Trust me – that is not an easy thing to be!

 

GET IN HIS HEAD!

WATCH: NFL Mid-Air Smackdowns!

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Highlights Videos  watch smackdowns  Folks, we don’t recommend you try these at home!

           Leap Here!

NFL Guru’s Betting Notebook Exposed!

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings NFL Forecasting Sports Betting  notebook exposed betting  Inside this secret black book we uncovered some real gems!

1. “Since 2005, road underdogs with a losing record have covered the spread at a shocking 55.5% clip from 2005 to 2019!”

2. “In Week 1, non-playoff teams cover the spread at an amazing 65% rate when facing off against a team who made the playoffs the year prior.”

3. “When a team loses a game by more than 21 points, they cover the spread the following week at a 59% rate since 2005”.

4. “From 2000 to 2018, an NFL team that rushes for 30-plus yards more than their opponent covers the spread at an almost unbelievable 75% rate.” (The difficulty with applying this statistic to your betting strategy is that you can’t rely (necessarily) on past data, but rather, you must predict how the rushing yards will play out for each team.)

5. “From 2003 to 2018, teams that have a winning percentage of .800 or better after Week 12 have a 43.6% win rate against the spread.” Thus, underdogs in these situations are a particularly
profitable play.

Simple Healthy Lifestyle: Is it Possible?

FF-Winners.Com Reacts: Tom “Milkshake” Brady Goes to the Buccaneers

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings NFL Forecasting Opinion Player News Tom Brady  winners reacts buccaneers bratty brady

With Brady joining the Bucs, Tampa Bay now has better Super Bowl odds than New England. The Westgate moved the Bucs from + 4000 to + 1400 and dropped the Patriots from + 1400 to + 3000.

Jeff Sherman of the Westgate told the Las Vegas Review-Journal “We didn’t want to be too aggressive on them as long as Belichick is there… The year Brady was out they won 11 games with Matt Cassel. We trust more in Belichick’s system than Brady at his age right now.”

Circa Sports moved the Patriots win total from 9 (over -120) to 8.5 (even -110 both sides). Their odds to win the AFC dropped from + 625 to + 1200. The Patriots remain slight favorites to win the AFC East, falling from -278 to -125 at DraftKings. The Bills improve from + 325 to + 175. Jets move from + 1200 to + 900 and Dolphins move from + 1600 to + 1000.

Folks, this is a very interesting development. Fortunately, we can gain insight from our industry-leading AI Power Rankings. The interpretation might surprise you:

Tampa Bay has the 4th Strongest Offense in all of football at 28.0 points per game. While l this would seem to be an exciting position  for Brady, we doubt he can maintain this production compared to Jameis Winston the previous QB.

Tampa Bay has the third worst defense in the NFL, giving up 30 points a game. By Brady producing many fewer turnovers this should improve dramatically.

The Bucs were 7-9 last year, we look for a 9-7  record in 2020, which might make the now 7-team per conference playoffs.

New England has the number 1 defense in the NFL, giving up just 10.8 points per game.

Their offense is just rated 10th, at 25.1 points per game.   We doubt the loss of Brady will change these numbers dramatically.   Look for the 12-4 Patriots to go 10-6 in 2020, making the playoffs once again.

For more opinion, CLICK HERE!

WATCH: Every NFL Safety from The 2019 Season

2020-21 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Highlights Videos  watch season safety every  The Safety is one of the most awesome plays to watch in an NFL Game.

                             Tackle them here!