WATCH: Taysom Hill: Most Versatile NFL Player Ever?

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Highlights Player News Quarterbacks Videos  watch versatile taysom player   Taysom is one of those amazing players that makes New Orleans so exciting to watch!

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Jets’ QB Sam Darnold “Sees Ghosts” Versus Patriots

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WATCH: The Greatest NFL Gunslinger Ever!

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Highlights Quarterbacks Videos  watch gunslinger greatest   Brett Favre made some big errors in the clutch – but was the most exciting  and unpredictable quarterback to watch!

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Watch NFL Refs Hate on Detroit Lions versus Green Bay Packers

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Lowlights NFL Office Refereeing  watch versus packers lions green detroit   Pretty soon it will be illegal to “play football”!

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WATCH: A Shocking View of How New England is Coached

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Coaches NFL Strategy Videos  watch shocking england coached   They always prepare and expect to WIN!  OMG! That is so unfair!

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FILM STUDY: Why Most NFL Cornerbacks Will Never be as Good as Stephen Gilmore

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Film Study NFL Strategy Player News  study stephen never gilmore cornerbacks   Want to know a key to the New England Patriots success? Watch this video!


 

Why Smart Bettors are Flocking to the Buffalo Bills for 2015-6 (archival article)

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Archival Sports Betting Team News  week 2 computer smart flocking buffalo bills bettors

 

 

How many games will the Buffalo Bills win this year? Sportsbooks have set the betting line at 8.5.  Surprisingly, our Artificial Intelligence computer Beardog has the Bills ranked 5th behind New England, Seattle, Dallas and Green Bay due to its strong defense.

 

Buffalo has a new coach in Rex Ryan whose unusual formations, blitzes and overall defensive expertise should further strengthen the defense. We project the defensive line to have about 62 sacks this season. Mario Williams, Kyle Williams, Marcell Dareus and Jerry Hughes are as deadly a unit as any in the NFL. They forced 6 fumbles last year.Last year Buffalo was fourth in yards and points given up. There is absolutely no reason that prowess shouldn’t continue this season.

 

If Tom Brady’s suspension is upheld the Bills and their awesome defense will face a green Jimmy Garoppolo in Week 2. Ralph Wilson Stadium is one of the most difficult stadiums for opposing teams to play in due to the rowdy fans and bitter weather.Most of the Bills strong opponents in the next season will be played at home.

 

Hopefully Rex Ryan is smart enough to not play E.J. Manuel. With Manuel on the bench, Tyrod Taylor or Kyle Orton will be in, thus their quarterback problems should dissipate especially if Taylor plays the first game. But in any event Sammy Watkins is a highly talented receiver who we project to have 70 catches and 1000 yards in 2015.

 

Finally, the running back by committee should keep the backfield healthy for what looks like a productive season. LeSean McCoy, recently acquired from the Philadelphia Eagles, is expected to have  recovered  from a hamstring pull and will be supported by capable veteran Fred Jackson. In addition, the Bills also have Boobie Dixon as well as Karlos Williams the impressive rookie from Florida State. Look for Ryan to pound the ball on the ground, attack with his defense and roll easily to 9 victories or more!

 


WEEK 6 BETTING NOTES

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings NFL Forecasting Sports Betting  notes betting   Today marks the 6th Sunday of the NFL season. Through five weeks of play, we’ve seen a distinct advantage for underdogs. Dogs have gone 46-32 ATS (59%) according to Bet Labs Sports. A $100 bettor taking each one would be up $1,075. Not too bad. Road dogs have been especially profitable, going 34-18 ATS (65.4%). Divisional dogs have gone 15-9 ATS (62.5%). 

With these trends in mind, let’s take a look at five games receiving heavy smart money on Sunday. 

9:30 a.m. ET: Carolina Panthers (3-2) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-3)

Who’s ready for an early morning NFC South London sweat? The Panthers started the season 0-2 with Cam Newton, but have now gone a perfect 3-0 with backup Kyle Allen. The Bucs have been Jekyll and Hyde through five weeks, rotating losses and wins each time out. This game opened with the Bucs listed as short 1-point favorites. Despite receiving just a slight majority of bets, we’ve seen a huge line move to Carolina (+1 to -2.5). Sharps hit the Panthers everywhere from +1 to a pick’em to -1.5. One big advantage to Carolina: Favorites have gone 13-9 ATS in London (59%) since 2003 according. We’ve seen some smart money drop the total from 48.5 to 47.5. Tottenham Stadium is expecting 15 mph winds, an edge to the Under. 

1 p.m. ET: Houston Texans (3-2) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-1)

The Chiefs lost their first game of the season last week, falling to the Colts at home 19-13 as 10.5 favorites on Sunday Night Football. The public says Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City are a powerhouse and are due for a big bounce back win and cover at home. But sharps are buying low on the Texans to keep it close. Houston is playing well as of late, winning three of their last four including a 53-32 blowout over the Falcons last week. This line opened with KC listed as a 6.5-point home favorite. Despite two thirds of bets backing the Chiefs, the line has fallen all the way to -4. This sharp reverse line movement was caused by pros loading up on the Texans plus the points. Since 2003, dogs receiving at least 2.5-points of reverse line movement have covered 55.7% of the time. Sharps also love this under. The total opened at 55.5 and the public is pounding the Over, yet it’s fallen to 54.5. 

1 p.m. ET: Seattle Seahawks (4-1) at Cleveland Browns (2-3)

This line has been all over the place. The Browns initially opened as 2.5-point home favorites. The public remembers Cleveland being embarrassed 31-3 by San Francisco on Monday night and wants nothing to do with them. This line opened with Cleveland listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. Nearly seven-out-of-ten bets are backing Seattle. This lopsided support caused the line to move to Seattle -2.5. But then sharps hammered the Browns plus the points, causing the line to fall down to a pick’em. Essentially, sharps waited for heavy public betting to move the number bigly to Seattle so they could get extra points with the Browns at home. Teams coming off a 20-point loss or more have covered the next game 54.1% of the time since 2003. Pros have also targeting the under. The total opened at 47 and has been bet down to 46. The Dawg Pound is expecting 15 mph winds.

1 p.m. ET: New Orleans (4-1) at Jacksonville (2-3)

On paper this looks like an easy layup with New Orleans. After all, the Saints are 4-1 and have won three straight. Meanwhile, Jacksonville is 2-3 and just lost to Carolina 34-27. So why on Earth did the oddsmakers open this game as a pick’em? Public bettors are hammering the Saints. But despite New Orleans receiving two thirds of bets, the line has moved to Jacksonville -3. Why would the books continue to hand out additional points to public Saints backers when they’re already on New Orleans to begin with? Because pros have been getting down hard on the Jags, creating big liability for the house and forcing the books to move the number bigly in their favor. An added bonus to the Jags: Jerome Boger is the lead referee. Since 2003, home teams have 55% ATS (+12.96 units) with Boger as the lead official. Smart money has also hit the Under. The total has fallen from 44 to 42.5 since opening.

4:05 p.m. ET: San Francisco 49ers (4-0) at Los Angeles Rams (3-2)

This late afternoon NFC West showdown is the most popular and heavily bet game of the day. The Rams have lost two straight, including a 30-29 heartbreaker to the Seahawks last Thursday night. The public says Los Angeles is a great team and “due” for a big bounce back win and cover at home. But sharps aren’t buying the conventional wisdom. They’re backing the undefeated 49ers in a rare contrarian road dog spot. The Rams opened as a 4-point home favorite. Two thirds of bets are backing Los Angeles. This heavy betting pushed the line up to 4.5. That’s when you saw wiseguys get down hard on the 49ers, causing the line to fall all the way down to 3. Todd Gurley’s injury was also a factor in the line movement. The stud RB is out with a thigh contusion. The 49ers are contrarian in a heavily bet game and also a road divisional dog (10-5 ATS this season). Pros have also hit the over, pushing the total from 48.5 to 50.5. 

More sharp action

Dolphins +4.5 to +4 vs Redskins
Vikings -3 to -3.5 vs Eagles


WATCH: Are these the 5 Greatest NFL Games of All Time?

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Fandom Football games Highlights  watch these greatest games   How exactly do you measure the greatness of a football game? I don’t know. But these were awesome! I am also impressed with how similar the NFL games look to the modern game – except that the quarterbacks were getting roughed up a lot more!

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Fastest NFL Players

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Player News  players fastest

Having speed in the NFL is one of the best physical tools. It is especially important for wide receivers to have speed to get separation from the defense. A lot of different players claim to be the fastest in the league right now, and it is not an exact science when it comes to determining who holds that title. Here is the best guess when it comes to the very fastest in the league.

Mike Wallace

The production has been a little lackluster in the last few years, but no one is going to deny the fact Mike Wallace has plenty of speed. The wide receiver is now on the Vikings, and back in May he was not shy in stating that he’s the fastest in the NFL. With a proclaimed 40-yard dash time of 4.21 seconds, that would certainly put him in elite company.

DeSean Jackson

Like Wallace, Jackson is getting a bit on the older side at age 28 in the NFL. That is old to be considered one of the fastest in the NFL, but plenty point to him as the current title holder. He was solid in his first season with Washington, but he will need to do more to become elite in fantasy football money leagues again.

Sammy Watkins

Watkins went into the 2014 NFL Scouting Combine trying to break Chris Johnson’s 40-yard dash time of 4.24. He came up short, but one race before entering the NFL is not going to stop people from claiming him to be the fastest receiver in the game. He is looking for a big year with Buffalo in 2015, and those in fantasy football money leagues feel like he is just scratching the surface of his potential.