Seven Mistakes to Avoid When Wagering on the NFL

June 4, 2023 by Winn Jones

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As the National Football League (NFL) season rolls around, thousands of enthusiasts around the globe turn to wagering as a way of ramping up their engagement with the sport. However, even experienced gamblers can make errors that jeopardize their chances of a successful return on investment. Here are seven common pitfalls you should avoid when engaging in NFL odds-based stakes.

Error 1: Lack of Adequate Research
The first, and arguably most important, misstep is neglecting to do your homework. Many first-time bettors dive head first into wagering without understanding the intricacies of the teams, the players, or even the sport. Each team has its strengths, weaknesses, and unique strategies, while player statistics can significantly impact game outcomes.

Thorough research helps create a solid foundation for making informed decisions. Start by studying team histories, recent performance metrics, and individual player statistics. Stay updated with injury reports, team news, and changes in the coaching staff. This due diligence can pay dividends when it’s time to place your stake.

Error 2: Emotional Wagering
The second misstep is allowing emotions to dictate your wagers. It’s tempting to place stakes based on personal affiliations and gut feelings, but this often leads to poor decision-making. Wagering should be an activity guided by logic and facts rather than sentiment.

Discipline is key to remaining objective in the face of fluctuating odds. It’s crucial to remove personal biases and focus on data-driven analysis when placing stakes. This doesn’t mean you can’t support your favorite team, but when it comes to wagering, rationality should prevail.

Error 3: Ignoring the Value of Odds
The third mistake is overlooking the significance of value in NFL betting odds. This refers to the potential return on your stake compared to the risk involved. Novice bettors often chase favorites without considering the value, which can lead to substantial losses in the long run.

Consider the potential return on your bet and weigh it against the risk. You should aim to find “value bets” where the odds are higher than what you believe they should be based on your research. This tactic can maximize your returns and reduce potential losses.

Error 4: Failing to Manage Your Bankroll
The fourth mistake is ineffective bankroll management. Irresponsible wagering can quickly deplete your funds. Setting a budget for your betting activities and sticking to it can protect you from significant financial loss.

It’s advisable to establish a staking plan based on a certain percentage (usually 1 or 2 percent) of your bankroll. This strategy allows you to spread your risk and increases your chances of staying in the game longer, thus providing more opportunities to win.

Error 5: Overlooking Game Conditions
The fifth error is ignoring match conditions. Factors like weather, venue, and time of play can impact a team’s performance. Bettors who disregard these elements often end up making misguided decisions.

Detailed research should include these external factors. Weather conditions can affect the passing game, venue familiarity can influence team confidence, and the time of the game can impact player performance.

Error 6: Chasing Losses
The sixth misstep is chasing losses. Following a losing streak, bettors often double their stakes in a bid to recoup losses quickly. This tactic usually backfires, leading to greater losses and potential financial distress.

Embrace the fact that losses are part of the game. When faced with a losing streak, reassess your strategy, do more research, and remain patient. Remember, betting should be enjoyable – not a source of stress.

Error 7: Neglecting to Shop for the Best Lines
The final mistake is failing to shop for the best lines. Different bookmakers offer varying odds for the same event. By not comparing lines across bookmakers, you could miss out on better returns.

Always compare odds offered by different bookmakers before placing your stake. This will ensure you get the most value out of your wager and maximize potential returns.

Conclusion

Avoiding these common mistakes can significantly enhance your wagering strategy and increase your chances of success. Remember, wagering should be a fun and exciting complement to enjoying the NFL, not a hasty, emotion-driven endeavor. By doing diligent research, staying disciplined, and being strategic about your bets, can turn the upcoming NFL season into a profitable and enjoyable experience.

Of course FF-Winners AI will have your back – by pushing the odds in your favor – so follow our system!

FF-Winners.com Releases 3 Players to Avoid Like the Plague in 2017!

June 8, 2017 by Winn Jones

The 2017 NFL Season is just around the corner as mandatory team activities are set to get underway. While teams around the NFL get prepared for their 2017 NFL Schedule fantasy football owners are busy at work as well. This work includes building draft boards for their fantasy football drafts later this season as well as for the upcoming daily fantasy football campaign.

For us we are turning our attention today to our 3 fantasy busts for the NFL 2017 fantasy football season. Much like most seasons some of the games top fantasy options enter the season coming off big time fantasy season campaigns as well as historical accomplishments. This opens up the door for these players not only to be ranked near the top on sites like Fantasy Pros but also means fantasy football owners will draft them higher making them a bigger gamble.

Over the years we have seen many different stars take a big time step back including Shaun Alexander and Calvin Johnson after record breaking seasons. With that said here are our tops 3 Fantasy Busts for NFL 2017 season.

Melvin Gordon, Los Angeles Chargers

For Gordon he benefits from a solid offense that likes to move the ball through the air forcing defenses to play off the line while also opening up red zone scoring chances. For us while we like Gordon at the position he currently ranks 9^th overall fantasy football option based on the rankings at Fantasy Pros. Now looking a little deeper Gordon wore out as the season slowed down failing to top the 100 yard mark in three straight games before getting knocked out after just three attempts to end his season on December 11^th. Along with being a great option early, Gordon has missed a total of 5 games over the past two seasons.

LeSean McCoy, Buffalo Bills

McCoy has been one of the better fantasy running back options for most of his NFL career but that could be changing as he enters his ninth season in the NFL. Much like Gordon, we like McCoy as a 3^rd/4^th round pick but ranking in the top 10 might be a big time reach. McCoy and the Bills will move in a new direction this season with Rick Dennison calling the offensive plays and it could change the flow of their offense. Along with the change the biggest concern for the Bills will be behind center where they may lack production forcing teams to focus on slowing down the running game.

Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins

We won’t back away and say tha Ajayi had a solid season in 2016 and one that many daily fantasy football owners shined with during his three break out games. With that said 624 of his 1272 yards came in three games. Outside of those three games, Ajayi topped the 100 yard mark one other time while failing to reach 70 yards in nine contests. In the end the reality of putting together three more 200 yard games in one season is almost impossible we could see Ajayi fail to reach the 100 yard mark.

Other Top NFL Fantasy Busts for the upcoming 2017 NFL Season could include Jordan Howard, Mike Evans and Kirk Cousins.