It has been an unusual season so far, where NFL parity “not so much!”.
2024-25 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings
Beating the NFL Pointspread with AI and ML
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We are gaining more data on these rookies… Is Mr. Murray too small? I don’t like that he seems to get too deep in the pocket.
The No. 1 overall pick didn’t look like a generational talent against the Raiders. Murray couldn’t get into a rhythm as a playmaker and his clapping at the snap led to a pair of penalties. With the rookie passer also taking two sacks while directing an offense that only mustered 12 yards of total offense during the first four possessions, the Cardinals need to get better play from their QB1.
As is often the case ,The FF-Winners AI Computer finds some of these lines to be way out of whack!
Each Week’s Picks are Available Monday 10PM PST at game-specific predictions
The Bears prove that winning an NFL football game, especially versus Rodgers, is not so easy.
Deshaun Watson (+1500) — In Jalen Ramsey “feather-ruffling” interview published in GQ Magazine, the Pro Bowl cornerback identified Deshaun Watson as someone who is “going to be an MVP in a couple of years.” But is it possible that Watson accelerates that timeline, and ends up becoming the league’s most valuable player this season? It’s a bit lofty to anoint someone who has a grand total of seven meaningful NFL games under his belt as such, but it’s not entirely far-fetched. After all, in those seven games last year, Watson averaged three touchdowns per game; at that rate, he would’ve finished with somewhere around 43 touchdown passes and another five rushing touchdowns. Obviously, such numbers aren’t sustainable over the course of an entire season, but Watson proved to be a one-man offensive dynamo last year, and if he leads the Houston Texans to an AFC South title, he could very well enter the conversation.
Carson Wentz (+700) – How quickly man of us forget that Carson Wentz was the runaway favorite to win the NFL’s MVP award last season, before sustaining the season-ending knee injury against the Los Angeles Rams last year. But even after missing three full games last year, Wentz still finished with 33 passing touchdowns (good for second in the NFL) and 101.9 passer rating (4th in the NFL). The beauty of Wentz’ situation is that his Philadelphia Eagles team is far from dependent on him to win them games; they can do so on the power of their stacked defense, if need be, or even run the football with the committee of running backs they have on their roster. In other words, there are too many things for opponents to worry about, for them to focus on trying to stop Wentz. With the early reports of him actually throwing with more velocity trickling out of Eagles camp, there’s plenty of reason to believe he could challenge for the award he should’ve won last year.
Aaron Rodgers (+550) — Or maybe we should ask if you remember him? Even with substantial questions along his offensive line, and without the services of his longtime favorite receiver, we simply cannot rule out the two-time MVP and maybe the most dangerous quarterback in the NFL. Before we began talking about guys like Carson Wentz, Russell Wilson, and Tom Brady in the MVP conversation last year, Rodgers looked like the early favorite, as he was eviscerating defenses over the first five games of last year. Between the first week of September and the first week of October, Rodgers threw for 13 touchdown passes, compared to only three interceptions. If you project out his stats over the course of the year, he would’ve had 41 touchdown passes and over 4,300 yards passing. With Davante Adams emerging as a top-15 receiver, Randall Cobb finally coming into the season healthy, and Jimmy Graham as a new red zone target, don’t overlook Rodgers’ chances becoming a three-time MVP.
A game-winning OT grab. A game-losing incompletion in the closing seconds. A game-changing sack. These are the plays that swung Week 4 in the NFL.
Quarterbacks are the powerhouses of each NFL team and play a large part in how the team does in the upcoming season. With the 2017/2018 NFL season looming on the horizon, knowing how the rankings stand will go a long way to helping you to place your bets for the upcoming season.
A great example is how the Dallas Cowboys fared at the bookmakers in the 2015 season. Their star quarterback Tony Romo ended up being out for most of the season due to injury. Before his accident, the Cowboys were 3 – 1, but without him, they quickly fell to 1 – 11, seriously disappointing some punters who had placed futures bets. NFL betting is popular across the globe and even betting NZ sites offer a selection of markets. Thus, the more information available about the players, their performance and the teams, the better,
A Season Predictor
Choosing the 2017 power quarterbacks is just an idea of what may happen throughout the season. Of course, there is the potential for injury, surprises and more to upset the apple cart. That being said, most experts tend to agree on the ranked order which does give us some idea of how the season may play out.
Interestingly, some of the quarterbacks for 2017 are brand new to the NFL. Los Angeles Rams quarterback Jared Goff, for example, is only a tender 22, which may either place him at an advantage over his older opponents, or a disadvantage due to his youth. For this reason, he is last on our list at number 32. Speed and agility may be his, but experience and sheer strength are usually some of the bonuses of age and practice. These newbies on the block are relatively untried, and although we can look back on their play records, how they fare against the big boys is a giant question mark until the season actually begins.
Ranking Considerations
The quarterback rankings have been chosen with care, taking into account both their current career stats, win-loss records, general performances, winning percentages and playoff victories.
Our top five ranked quarterbacks will probably come as no surprise to anyone. They are the pinnacle of the sport currently, with great career stats and a handful of Super Bowl wins between them. Anything can happen on the field, but the fact remains that these super athletes are most likely to take their teams to victory over their younger, less experienced counterparts.
And so, without further ado, we bring you a list of the 32 ranked power quarterbacks for the start of the 2017 season.
32. Jared Goff — Los Angeles Rams
31. Cody Kessler — Cleveland Browns (Projected Starter)
30. Josh McCown — New York Jets (Projected Starter)
29. Blake Bortles — Jacksonville Jaguars
28. Trevor Siemian — Denver Broncos
27. Sam Bradford — Minnesota Vikings
26. Mike Glennon — Chicago Bears
25. Deshaun Watson — Houston Texans (Projected Starter)
24. Brian Hoyer — San Francisco 49ers
23. Tyrod Taylor — Buffalo Bills
22. Alex Smith — Kansas City Chiefs
21. Eli Manning — New York Giants
20. Andy Dalton — Cincinnati Bengals
19. Carson Wentz — Philadelphia Eagles
18. Joe Flacco — Baltimore Ravens
17. Philip Rivers — Los Angeles Chargers
16. Carson Palmer — Arizona Cardinals
15. Jay Cutler — Miami Dolphins
14. Marcus Mariota — Tennessee Titans
13. Matthew Stafford — Detroit Lions
12. Cam Newton — Carolina Panthers
11. Kirk Cousins — Washington Redskins
10. Jameis Winston — Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9. Andrew Luck — Indianapolis Colts
8. Russell Wilson — Seattle Seahawks
7. Dak Prescott — Dallas Cowboys
6. Ben Roethlisberger — Pittsburgh Steelers
5. Drew Brees — New Orleans Saints
4. Derek Carr — Oakland Raiders
3. Aaron Rodgers — Green Bay Packers
2. Matt Ryan — Atlanta Falcons
1. Tom Brady — New England Patriots
There is no better time than now for fans to draft players to their fantasy football teams. Sunday’s games have a lot to tell about the players and their value to their teams. Based on their performance, you can tell what player deserves to be on your team, and who is not worth the investment. Read on to get more insight on the NFL odds for week 1.
Could Robby Anderson be the New York Jets’ No. 1?
Anderson’s performance last season was nothing if not sterling, which is why he really ought to be a top priority for the Jets. With 14 receptions, 29 targets, 240 yards and 2 scores last week, he is well above most other players. He is a little over 6 feet tall, which makes him the tallest receiver. He might not weigh much at 190 lbs, but there is no denying that he is talented. Despite McCown’s attack on Saturday, Robby still deserves a place as one of the best New York Jets players.
The Patriots’ Backfield Uncertainty
There is little clarity on the status of the Patriots’ backfield. Dion Lewis seems to bear the bulk of the work after veteran player Mike Gilislee’s hamstring injury. Last season, Lewis did not get much time on the field due to injury, but this season seems more promising for him. According to many fantasy football enthusiasts, players like Rex Burkhead and James White seem invaluable, but the team’s coach Bill Belichick thinks that Lewis is just as important to the team.
Jameis Winston’s Astounding Performance
Winston beat Mike Evans with 7 targets and Cameron Brate with 19 and 8 yard gains, which is really not surprising. He remains a valuable player for his team, and one that you should consider drafting to your fantasy team. The case is different for rookie O.J Howard who despite showing great potential during the game remains a risky investment. Evan’s regression is a mere rumor, and since he has proven himself in other seasons, you might want to draft him into your team.
Is Kenny Galloday The Lions’ Star?
After two touchdowns, Lions’ rookie receiver enjoyed his well- earned time in the limelight. He has both flair and athletic ability, although this does not guarantee him a spot in the fantasy football community. This is because the Lions players rise through the ranks in a designated way. Currently, Marvin Jones, Eric Ebron and Theo Riddick are above Galloday in the pecking order. He might however be lucky since Ebron is prone to injury and Jones suffered huge statistical drop, so Galloday might still get his chance to shine.
Who will be the Dallas Backfield?
After Darren McFadden’s performance on Sunday, there is no doubt that he will be the Dallas backfield. He might be getting old and losing some of his exceptional flexibility as he turns thirty before the season kicks off, but he is still one of the team’s best players. Elliot’s pending suspension makes him a risky investment for your fantasy team. It is also hard to guess what a fair price for Zeke would be.
Colts Panic Due to Andrew Luck’s Absence
Luck has been missing in action for a while now after he suffered a shoulder injury that needed to be surgically repaired. This veteran quarterback’s absence from the field is unsettling to say the least. To make matters worse, his backup, Scott Tolzien, is not half as inspiring as Luck is. The team’s manager has not clearly stated that Luck won’t be joining the team, so there is still a glimmer of hope that he might return.
Rookies prove themselves
2017 seems like the year for rookie running backs to prove themselves. These include such players as Leonard Fournette, Dalvin Cook, Joe Mixon, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara. It is somewhat reminiscent of the year 2014 where rookies like Odell Beckham Jr., Kelvin Benjamin and Mike Evans proved to be talented wide outs. Some rookie quarterbacks to watch out for include Deshaune Watson, Mitchell Trubisky and Deshone Kizer. Although it is clear that these rookies have immense talent, it is best to first observe them before drafting them for your team.
Over the past decade, the Green Bay Packers or the Minnesota Vikings have won the NFC North division nine times in 10 years. Given the way the division looks heading into the 2017 season, it would be very surprising if that trend didn’t extend to 10 times in 11 years.
Green Bay Packers
During the 2016 NFL season, the Green Packers not only went undefeated between the Monday after Thanksgiving weekend through the third week in January of 2017, but they beat opponents by an average of more than 12 points per game. But it all came to an end with a resounding thud, when the Atlanta Falcons ambushed the Packers in the NFC Championship game, storming out to a 31-0 lead at one point, and handing Green Bay a 44-21 defeat. But during that second-half-of-the-season run, Green Bay re-established themselves as one of the top contenders in the NFC, and they’ll look to build on that momentum during the 2017 season. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers is one of the early favorites for the Most Valuable Player award, and rightfully so. After leading the league in touchdown passes (40) and touchdown-to-interception ratio (almost 6-to-1), and finished 4th in total passing yards (4,428), he’ll get to throw to an even-better group of receivers this year, with Jordy Nelson another year removed from his season-ending ACL injury (in 2015), Randall Cobb coming into camp healthy after dealing with nagging injuries all of last year, and Davante Adams coming off a breakout season and looking as sharp as ever. On top of that, the Packers went out and acquired tight end Martellus Bennett, who could turn out to be one of the steals of free agency.
The question for the Packers will be if the defense can keep up its end of the bargain, having finished 22nd in total yards allowed last season, and a dismal 31st in passing yards allowed. Green Bay devoted their top two picks in the 2017 NFL Draft to the secondary, taking cornerback Kevin King and safety Josh Jones, and brought back cornerback Davon House to play the nickel spot. But losing safety Micah Hyde, one of the real leaders in the secondary, may prove to be a very difficult endeavor.
The Packers offense can score on nearly anyone in the NFL, but the question will be whether they can stop anyone from scoring on them.
Minnesota Vikings
This year’s Minnesota Vikings will feature the same storyline as last year’s Vikings — a game-managing quarterback, a dynamic running back, a patchwork offensive line, and a ridiculously stout defense — but with different characters filling many of those roles.
Sam Bradford will be back for the second year in a row as the Vikings quarterback, having taken over the role on the heels of the catastrophic knee injury to Teddy Bridgewater. In the backfield, he’ll spend much of this year handing off the football to rookie running back Dalvin Cook, the team’s second round pick in the 2017 NFL Draft (it’s just a matter of time before he takes over the job from free agent acquisition Latavius Murray). And the line that’ll be blocking for Bradford and Cook will feature as many as four new starters from last year’s group, as Minnesota continually looks to fix the beleaguered unit.
But the same “beleaguered unit” description simply cannot be used for the defense, which will return nine of 11 starters from last year’s group, and should be as good as any defense in the NFL. Minnesota ranked third in the NFL in fewest yards allowed per game overall, and fewest passing yards allowed per game as well. They were fifth in the NFL in quarterback sacks, with three different edge rushers racking up seven or more sacks last season (and that’s even with star linebacker Anthony Barr suffering a big slump for much of last year).
The Vikings are essentially the mirror opposite of their division rivals in Green Bay: their defense will be good enough to limit any opponent from putting a lot of points on the board, but will the offense do enough to actually score enough points to squeak out a win?
Detroit Lions
In a conference that’s filled with a good number of teams that will be vying for the six available postseason berths, the Detroit Lions find themselves in a place that most professional sports teams dread: sprinting on proverbial “treadmill of mediocrity.” They’re interesting enough to be relevant, but not relevant enough to be interesting.
Quarterback Matthew Stafford had a fantastic year in offensive coordinator Jim Bob Cooter’s offense, finishing with his second highest completion percentage, second highest yards per attempt, and second highest passer rating of his career last season, along with the fewest number of interceptions thrown. And even with that, the Lions still ranked outside the top 10 passing offenses last year (they were 11th) and didn’t have a single receiver finish in the top 10 in receiving yards (Golden Tate was 14th). For all the yards they could put up in a game, it didn’t translate to much, considering Detroit finished 20th in the NFL in total points per game.
Things weren’t better for Detroit’s defense, overseen by highly-esteemed coordinator Teryl Austin. The Lions defense was in the bottom half of the league in total yards allowed per game (18th in the NFL), rushing yards allowed (18th), passing yards allowed (19th), and quarterback sacks (tied for 30th).
So, it shouldn’t come as much of a surprise that Detroit spent much of the offseason fixing the defensive side of the ball, as almost half the unit will have new starters next season. But in an already loaded conference, and a division with two teams that have postseason aspirations themselves, have the Lions really done enough to make a return trip to the playoffs?
Chicago Bears
For sports fans in the greater Chicagoland area, the mantra this Fall likely won’t be all that much different than it was in the Fall of 2016: “well, at least the Cubs are doing well.”
It was another offseason of offensive upheaval for the Chicago Bears, marked by the team pushing it’s longtime starting quarterback, trading for a quarterback to presumably be the starter, and subsequently drafting a quarterback to also presumably be the starter. And that’s not even mentioning the fact that four of Chicago’s top five wide receivers will be different than the depth chart from last year, after watching their best wide receiver (Alshon Jeffrey) leave town as well.
So now, quarterback Mitchell Trubisky (at some point this season anyway), running back Jordan Howard (who finished second in the NFL in rushing yards last season), and wide receiver Cameron Meredith (the team leader in virtually every receiving category last year) will form the foundation of the rebuilt Bears offense.
Ironically enough, the Bears defense will return all 11 starters from last year’s group. Take what you will from that fact, considering Chicago had the sixth-worst rushing defense in the NFL last year, ranked in the bottom 10 of the NFL in most points allowed per game, and featured exactly zero players with more than eight sacks recorded last year.
Winter is Coming, Chicago fans. And if you root for these Monsters of the Midway, don’t say we didn’t warn you.
With training camp and the NFL preseason just a few weeks away surely you’re already gearing up to root for your favorite team.
It’s also more than likely that you’re certain of your team’s win-loss record for the season.
You’re not alone. Most sportsbooks have released their futures odds for NFL football betting and as expected there are some clear favorites.
But, which team will make it to Super Bowl LII in Minneapolis, Minnesota?
Will the Falcons or Patriots make it back to the big game? Or is there another team that will surprise?
To be certain, it’s impossible to predict the future. And, these predictions will likely be more wrong than right.
But, that doesn’t mean we can’t count on a few relevant factors:
It’s likely the Patriots, Steelers and Packers will all have at least 12 wins this season. It’d be hard to argue that these organizations are among the best in the league and they’ll likely do well in their weak divisions.
The Chiefs, Cowboys, Giants, and Raiders might also have at least 12 wins, but because the NFC East plays the AFC West this year it means they’ll be locking horns throughout the entire season and that has to be taxing.
As far as the AFC South and NFC South teams are concerned, they’re pretty much even and might have some surprises in store for us all.
Anyhow, here are some predictions for the 2017 NFL season:
New England Patriots OVER 12.5
The Patriots have lost just about three times per season in their last seven years. That’s including three trips to the big game and two championship rings.
So long as nothing happens to Brady, fans can count they’ll be good for at least 12 wins. They have a difficult test in Week 10 against the Broncos and then the following week against the Raiders in Mexico City, but if they can get past those two games they’ll be fine.
Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 10.5
The Steelers offense is among the best in the league with their deadly trio of Roethlisberger, Bell and Brown.
If Bell can stay healthy all season, they should breeze through the first five games. Their big test comes in Week 15 when they face the Patriots, but by that time they should have already accrued many more wins than the line is at right now.
Oakland Raiders OVER 9.5
Should Derek Carr heal well from his leg injury, the Raiders should be good for at least 11 wins. Three of their first four games are on the road, which will be difficult for them to win, but they should pull through with at least two wins. They also have a difficult game against the Chiefs in Week 7, but if Carr plays well they’ll get through it.
Denver Broncos OVER 8.5
If Trevor Siemian can be consistent, the Broncos are good for at least 11. But, if he plays as he did in the second half of last year’s season it’ll be a short year for the Broncos. They have a trap game in Week 9 versus the Eagles, with a game against Kansas City the previous week and one against the Patriots in the following week. But they’ll pull through.
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