Pretty soon it will be illegal to “play football”!
Watch NFL Refs Hate on Detroit Lions versus Green Bay Packers
October 18, 2019 by
Thursday Nite Betting Preview: Eagles Versus Packers
September 26, 2019 by
8:20 p.m. ET: Philadelphia Eagles (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (3-0)
Tuley’s Take on Thursday Night Football . . .
After two Must-Not-See TV games the past two Thursday nights, we get a marquee NFL matchup with the Philadelphia Eagles visiting the Green Bay Packers (8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network).
It has lost some of its luster with the injury-plagued Eagles’ slow start (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS), but QB Carson Wentz wasn’t in a panic in his press conference the other day and I almost expected him to pull an Aaron Rodgers and tell fans to “R-E-L-A-X.” Despite their relative woes, Wentz and the offense is still averaging 25.3 points per game (the Packers only average 19.3) and their losses to the Falcons and Lions both could have been wins (though admittedly they were lucky to escape with a come-from-behind victory over the Redskins in the season-opener).
Still, I still have the Eagles rated as the better team and there’s definite value in getting more than a field goal.
Granted, the Packers are off to a great start (3-0 SU & ATS) and are a 4-point favorites as of Wednesday night after getting bet at high as -5.5 on Monday, but I’m ready to fade them as they’re not as good as their record indicates. I’m especially not buying the narrative that they have a dominant defense (allowing an NFL-best 11.7 points per game) as they benefited from catching the Bears before their offense got in sync and the Vikings would have scored more and beaten them if not for Kirk Cousins’ unforced errors.
While the best bet is on the Eagles +4, I also like Over 46 as both offenses should have success and this total is shaded a little low as Unders are 8-2 so far in NFL primetime games this season (and I’m willing to fade that trend as well).
The play: Eagles +4
Get Tuley’s Takes in this week’s Point Spread Weekly or on VSiN.com.
FILM STUDY: How the Packers Offense Can Be Dysfunctional
April 12, 2019 by
Game Preview: Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (Sunday, October 15, 2017)
October 12, 2017 by
Riding high after their huge victory against the Dallas Cowboys last Sunday, the Green Bay Packers are riding high as they enter brand-new U.S. Bank Stadium this Sunday, as 3.5-point favorites against the Minnesota Vikings according to NFL betting odds for Packers vs Vikings game. And that’s exactly why they could be in position for a big upset this weekend…
When we think of the Vikings, we first think of their defense, thanks to the organizational philosophy laid down by head coach Mike Zimmer. Minnesota enters Week 6 of the NFL season with the 11th-ranked defense in the NFL. They have star players at every level of the defense. Defensive end Everson Griffen is third in the NFL in sacks (six). Cornerback Xavier Rhodes has been one of the best in football this season. Outside linebacker Anthony Barr is a freakish athlete that does so many things for them.
But even with the in-and-out from Sam Bradford due to various injuries, this offense has been deceptively good as well. Minnesota actually averages more passing yards per game (357 — 5th most in the NFL) than Green Bay (336.6 — 11th most in the NFL). It’s even more disparate when you look at each team’s rushing attack: Minnesota averages 118.2 yards per game (#11 in the NFL) versus Green Bay’s 91.6 yards per game (22nd in the NFL). In place of promising rookie Dalvin Cook, who was lost to a season-ending injury to his ACL, Jerick McKinnon provided a spark to Minnesota’s offense, evidenced by his 146 total yards against the Chicago Bears on Monday night. Wide receiver Stefon Diggs is in the midst of a breakout season of his own, sitting in 5th place in the NFL with 395 receiving yards. And the Vikings are just as likely to spread the ball around to the rest of their offense, as they are to force-feed their stars. On Monday evening, quarterback Case Keenum — playing in place of the injured Bradford — threw 16 of his 21 passing attempts to his running backs and tight ends.
Of course, the great equalizer in this entire game — or any game Green Bay plays in — is Aaron Rodgers. At some point, it just feels like we’re going to run out of superlatives to describe his level of play. Tom Brady is the greatest quarterback of all time right now, but Rodgers is the best in the game as of today. His stats don’t tell the whole story (although his league-leading 13 touchdown passes certainly help), but the way he puts the Packers on his shoulders, week after week, is unlike anything we’re seeing in the league today (this side of New England, anyway).
Minnesota’s defense has held Rodgers to less than 220 passing yards in each of the last three games these two have played in Minnesota. Of course, the Packers are 2-1 in in those games, thanks to the balance provided by the Packers rushing attack.
Minnesota handled two very potent offense at home already: New Orleans in Week 1, and Tampa Bay in Week 3. They should be well aware of this, given that they play them twice a year, but if Green Bay is not careful, they could have their hands full.
But as of right now, Green Bay looks like they’re one of the two best teams in the NFC, alongside the Atlanta Falcons. While this game should be a really good matchup, the Vikings aren’t quite as dangerous as the Packers… or as Rodgers, anyway.
My Pick: Green Bay.
Computer Forecast: Green Bay Packers To Win Superbowl 50.
October 25, 2016 by
Who will win Superbowl 50? Our computer Beardog is picking the Green Bay Packers over close rivals New England, Seattle and Dallas. Sportsbooks have set the betting odds at 6.5-1.
It will be inspiring and poetic for the Packers to win the prize after being derailed in last year’s NFL Championship game. Once again, the NFL’s smallest market cap team, will prove to be the best. Some teams would never recover from the trauma of blowing a 19-7 lead with 4 minutes to go as the Packers did in Seattle. The Hawks comeback from down 16-0 at one point was the largest ever in a conference title game. Such a breakdown is not consistent with the heart Green Bay has shown over the years and we are sure they will bounce back strong and determined.
Let’s state the obvious: in a quarterback driven league, Aaron Rodgers is the most effective and most consistently lethal at his position. The Packers ensured he did not lose his vital receivers and strong offensive line in the off season. We don’t think the loss of Jordy Nelson to injury will be a large negative. Furthermore, running back Eddie Lacy is one of the very best in the game. Astute readers will know that we like to see the quarterback to also have a strong running option. The Green Bay defense may only be a little above average but by coupling Clay Matthews with Julius Peppers they have their share of play makers.
The key to this year’s success is to simply play as well as they did last year but to gain the home-field advantage for the Championship game. Played on the frozen tundra of Lambeau field, the Seattle crowd will obviously not be a factor in the game. As the strongest team in the NFC North, they are in position to have the best win-loss record.
Reaching the Superbowl in Santa Clara, California will be very exciting, especially if Rodgers plays New England (winner of Superbowl 49) with Tom Brady since both quarterbacks grew up in Northern California and are considered the best in the game. Green Bay won the first two Superbowls at a time before it became a national holiday. It will only be fitting for them to win the 50th Superbowl as well!
Are Packers Misusing Aaron Rodgers?
August 2, 2016 by
Nearly every season, the question about Rodgers wasting his time with the Packers intensely resurfaces. Currently, the headline to such a mindboggling question is somewhat ironic and crazy. At only 32-years-of-age, Rodgers’ prime might go on for approximately seven or eight seasons. As Super Bowl picks take shape, the idea that Aaron Rodgers’ prime is being wasted at the Packers seems irrelevant because most quarterbacks still play at high levels even after their 30s.
A statistical analysis of all games that Rodgers has started for the Packers stands 80-39. Last season, he led his team to win four consecutive NFC North trophies. Furthermore, thePackers have made it to the playoffs for seven consecutive times. An icing to their cake of great run and fun was winning Super Bowl XLV as well. Provided that a team has an incredible QB, they can reach the Super Bowl championships easily, while keeping in mind that around thirty-two competitive organizations are in contest for the prize.
Technically, the Packers usually go through some unfathomable playoff losses. Many people believe that the best NFL teams have always won all the 50 Super Bowls. In a deeper perspective, the best teams usually strive to win several elimination championships, but strange things occur, and the Packers are one of the victims.
In a wildcard match in 2009 against the Arizona Cardinals, Rodgers played incredibly well to force overtime. However, he unintentionally kicked a loose ball to Karlos Dansby, who made a perfect catch for a touchdown. In their 2011 opening playoff match against the Giants, the 15-1 Packers lost that game heavily. In 2013, when the Packers played against the San Francisco 49ers in a home playoff match, the last play of the game handed them a painful loss. Rodgers had broken his collarbone a week prior to the game and he couldn’t help much. Some may say its bad luck, but I think the best teams rarely emerge victorious.
The unkindest loss among all that the Packers have suffered is their 2014 NFC championship game against the Seattle Seahawks. Morgan Burnett enigmatically slid as if the match had ended to crown the Packers as the winners. Afterwards, things went haywire, and Seattle, winning the game in overtime,ended their Super Bowl absence. In their last season’s game against the Cardinals, the packers got lucky to play overtime after making a touchdown at the end of regulation. However, their losing streak continued in a distressing manner. A 75-yard play sealed the game for the Cardinals after Larry Fitzgerald was left unguarded.
Green Bay has had their sweet share of luck when it comes to winning ways. In 2010, the Packers traded their luck for a chance to reach the playoffs, which led them to winning a Super Bowl. However, people who believe the packers are wasting Rodgers’ prime must be the same people who thought that LeBron James legacy depended on the final game theof 2016 NBA Finals. Even the best teams can lose the easiest games in their schedule because team sports have many things involved than the final matches.
Many teams have shown their consistency in winning playoffs without clinching any major title. Getting back to winning ways require a combination of luck and sacrificing some of your best players as well. It is ridiculous that some still think that the Packers are wasting Rodgers’ prime. However, since Rodgers has played as a starter in his first eight seasons, he should now deliver more!
🙂
Green Bay Packers and Pittsburgh Steelers – Superbowl 51 Contenders
April 8, 2016 by
The Green Bay Packers and Pittsburgh Steelers are two hungry talented teams with latent potential to go all the way in 2016-7 as they did 5 years ago.
Green Bay Packers GM Ted Thompson is never ever active in free agency. He just gets brand-new players from the draft, and this year was no different. All Green Bay did this year in free agency was re-sign linebacker Nick Perry, and add tight end Jared Cook as add another weapon for the best quarterback in the league, Aaron Rodgers. With Rodgers at the helm, Green Bay will always be Super Bowl competitors. With receiver Jordy Nelson coming back next season, the Packers’ offense will return to its pre-2015 season hype, and it is going to be very dangerous.
The Pittsburgh Steelers nearly beat the Super Bowl champs in the Divisional Round in 2014, with injuries to star receiver Antonio Brown, Le’veon Bell and Deangelo Williams, and Ben Roethlisberger. They were a fumble from winning the AFC Divisional Round, and knocking off the ultimate Super Bowl champs. This team is absolutely loaded with skill, on both the offensive and defensive side. Pittsburgh’s offense is absolutely stacked, with Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown, brand-new tight end Ladarius Green, Le’veon Bell, and Deangelo Williams. Their defense is in fact also excellent, as they were a top 5 run defense last year. They simply need some more people in the secondary, and they can easily end up being genuine Super Bowl contenders.
