10 Simple Fantasy Football Strategies for 2016

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10 fantasy football ideas for your forthcoming drafts:

– Take a flyer on Browns pass receiver Terrelle Pryor, however not prematurely. That could be a problem in Northeast Ohio, where fantasy owners may reach for him. Take him as a WR3 alternative. Proceed with caution when targeting Josh Gordon, suspended for the very first 4 games.

– Some Sleepers for 2016: QB, Marcus Mariota, Titans; RB, Ryan Mathews, Eagles; WR, Kevin White, Bears; TE, Ladarius Green, Steelers

– Don’t relax between rounds. Keep concentrated, and also target young running backs and also receivers entering their second or 3rd year in the league. Many times, receivers catch on by Year 3 with their teams. Former Browns WR Travis Benjamin, now with the Chargers, and the Colts’ Donte Moncrief are two examples. An additional is the Dolphins’ Jarvis Landry, he’s been very good the last 2 seasons (194 catches), but might actually blast off in 2016!

– Remember regarding the likes of receivers Kelvin Benjamin of the Panthers and also the Bears’ White– skilled men that missed all of last season with injuries.

– The number of running backs should you draft? A whole lot. More crucial, be energetic throughout your organization’s waiver sessions. Running backs get injured– a lot. Be ready for significant shuffling at RB1 and RB2 throughout the season.

– Waiting for quarterbacks: The most effective method may be to draft the Patriots’ Tom Brady, he will miss the first 4 games of the season due to suspension, but should be outstanding when he returns. But there need to be a lot of strong choices for a four-week fill-in to replace Brady.

– When it comes to the consensus fantasy QB, the Panthers’ Web cam Newton, he’s one more example of a gamer blasting off in Year 3 with a team. He may distance himself even further from the crowd in 2016!

– Do not draft a defense/special team until your draft’s second-to-last round.

– Do not pick a kicker until the last round.

– In a situation you may have missed , Steelers running back Le’Veon Bell’s four-game suspension was just recently decreased to three, yet we wouldn’t draft him early. Three games is still a lot to miss!

2014-5 Fantasy Football Sleepers (from various sites)

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2014-5 Fantasy Football Sleepers

Q1. Who is your top RB sleeper (ADP beyond 120) and why should fantasy owners target him?

Andre Williams (RB) Giants

Overall ADP: #151

“Heading into the summer there was some thought that the 230-pounder, who scored 17 rushing touchdowns at Boston College last year, could take on the goal-line role with the Giants. Now with David Wilson
‘s latest injury, Williams moves into the backup role behind Rashad Jennings
. Note that Jennings has never played a full 16-game season, and that the talented Williams rushed for over 2,100 yards last season. Don’t be surprised if the rookie’s role expands into leading man territory at some point this season.”
– Ben Standig (CSN Washington)

“Even before David Wilson
‘s season, and likely career, came to an end, we were targeting Giants running back Andre Williams
in the late rounds. The rookie has performed well this summer and is slated for goal line duties. There is a growing sense that the Giants want to bring back the smash-mouth ground game, and Williams’s downhill skill set fits that description better than any other back on the roster.”
– Sablich Brothers (The New York Times)

Lance Dunbar (RB) Cowyboys

Overall ADP: #170

“The Cowboys boast one of the NFL’s best offensive lines and new offensive coordinator, Scott Linehan, will heavily utilize the running backs in the passing game. The starting running back, DeMarco Murray
, has missed 11 games over the past three years due to injury. Lance Dunbar
may seem undersized, but would fit seamlessly into the role that both Jahvid Best
and Reggie Bush
held under Linehan in the recent past. In the event that Murray does suffer an injury, Dunbar would instantly elevate to an RB2, even bordering on RB1 territory in PPR leagues.”
– Kyle Wachtel (Forensic Fantasy)

“Lance Dunbar
is entering his third season at age 24 and is still flying a little low because he’s missed 11 games to begin his first two seasons. In his college career at North Texas, he caught 97 passes and amassed over 5,200 yards from scrimmage. On a very small sample a season ago, he also showed off some of the magic he possesses with the ball in his hands, forcing 11 missed tackles on 37 touches. While Scott Linehan was in the Motor City, running backs accounted for 46.8% of all receptions and the second back averaged 51 targets per season.”
– Rich Hribar (XN Sports)

Carlos Hyde (RB) 49ers

Overall ADP: #144

“There are several RBs, mostly rookies, that I considered here, but Hyde was my top-ranked running back in the draft even though he seemed to land in a less-than-ideal situation from a re-draft standpoint. Since then, however, injuries have made the 49ers backfield much less congested and Hyde is clearly the team’s No. 2 option behind 31-year-old Frank Gore
. While Gore has been durable over the past three seasons, his age and cumulative workload could work against him as he posted a career-low 4.1 YPC last season. Hyde should get plenty of opportunities as the Niners begin to scale back Gore’s workload in one of the league’s most run-oriented offenses.”
– Kevin Hanson (EDSFootball)

Christine Michael (RB) Seahawks

Overall ADP: #141

“My choice here is by far Christine Michael
. While a healthy Marshawn Lynch
won’t be unseated, he has close to 2,000 touches to his name and is one aggressive rusher. Michael has the skill set to produce top 5-10 fantasy running back numbers per-start — That’s the kind of stash that could win a league.”
– Smitty (Fantasy Football Starters)

Q2. Who is your top WR sleeper (ADP beyond 120) and why should fantasy owners target him?

Justin Hunter (WR) Titans

Overall ADP: #168

“A tremendous athlete that appeared on Bruce Feldman’s annual “freaks” list in 2012, Hunter is 6-foot-4 with 4.4 speed and jumps 40-plus inches. Dangerous as a vertical receiver, he has shown flashes of his potential as a rookie with a couple of 100-yard games late last season and averaged 19.7 yards per catch. Not only has Hunter added 15 pounds to his (previously) thin frame this offseason, but he has received plenty of praise from his coaching staff as well. Hunter is oozing with breakout potential and upside heading into his second season.”
– Kevin Hanson (EDSFootball)

“At 22-years old, Justin Hunter
is a big play option. 39 percent of his targets were on passes over 20 yards downfield, and he turned three of those targets into scores. He also posted the tenth best touchdown per snap ratio out of all receivers in the entire NFL last season, scoring once per 85 plays on the field. For 2014, the Titans have brought in Ken Whisenhunt who has had no issue going vertical with the football in nearly all of the stops he’s made in the NFL. He’s also been around some pretty good young receivers such as Santonio Holmes
, Larry Fitzgerald
, Anquan Boldin
and just recently, Keenan Allen
, and has been effective at getting them the ball.”
– Rich Hribar (XN Sports)

Markus Wheaton (WR) Steelers

Overall ADP: #180

“So many interesting options here including Marvin Jones
, Justin Hunter
and Kenny Stills
, but let me go with Markus Wheaton
. A broken pinkie essentially ruined his rookie season in Pittsburgh. The departures of Emmanuel Sanders
and Jerricho Cotchery
open the door for a starting gig opposite Antonio Brown
. The Steelers drafted the 5-foot-11 speedster in the third round for a reason. Based on the team’s history of swapping out one good WR for another, expect to see why this season.”
– Ben Standig (CSN Washington)

“Pittsburgh’s third round draft pick in 2013 was buried behind Emmanuel Sanders
and Jerricho Cotchery
on the depth chart, and as a result, we rarely got a chance to see him on the field. With both of those guys now working for different teams, Wheaton’s path for a prominent role as the WR2 option in the passing game has now been paved.”
– Sablich Brothers (The New York Times)

Kenny Britt (WR) Rams

Overall ADP: #224

“I love the value of Kenny Britt
in the 14th-round right now. While he could certainly disappoint, there is just about zero risk at that range, and he has an elite skill set despite never being able to stay on the field. Britt is young, about the same age as AJ Green and Julio Jones
, so he has nice dynasty appeal as well. Don’t count on him as your WR3 in 2014, and you certainly won’t have to draft him at that value… but, don’t be shocked if he bounces back in a big way now that he is happy in his new home (St. Louis).”
– Smitty (Fantasy Football Starters)

Rueben Randle (WR) Giants

Overall ADP: #128

“In the driver’s seat to start opposite Victor Cruz
, Rueben Randle
is eyeing a breakout season. As the team’s best vertical threat and also the best red zone wide receiver, he should tally quite a few big plays as well as his share of targets in the red zone. A low-end WR3 with upside, Randle is currently being drafted three rounds later than he should be.”
– Kyle Wachtel (Forensic Fantasy)

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Q3. Who is your top TE sleeper (ADP beyond 140) and why should fantasy owners target him?

Charles Clay (TE) Dolphins

Overall ADP: #151

“The guy is 25 and ready to reach that next level. He pulled in a line of 69/759/6TDs last year, and I see no reason why he can’t top that by a decent margin this upcoming season. Multiple reports this off-season have described Clay as a “nightmare matchup.” He is a huge, huge sleeper TE in that 140+ range.”
– Smitty (Fantasy Football Starters)

“Clay posted a career-best 69 receptions, 759 yards and 6 touchdowns on 102 targets in 2013, which was good enough to be the seventh best tight end overall, yet here he is, still sitting on the board near the end of the 12th round. A solid TE1 play this late only proves just how deep the position has become over the last few years.”
– Sablich Brothers (The New York Times)

Heath Miller (TE) Steelers

Overall ADP: #157

“Heath Miller
tore his ACL late in the 2012 season and then returned to action less than a year later. Rushing his recovery may have led to him posting the lowest yards-per-reception of his career. He did total 58 receptions in just 14 games played, which ranked 11th among tight ends. Now a year-and-a-half removed from his surgery, there are reports that he resembles his pre-ACL tear self and offers low-end TE1 potential for the price of a late round flier.”
– Kyle Wachtel (Forensic Fantasy)

Ladarius Green (TE) Chargers

Overall ADP: #160

“Perhaps the obvious choice here, Green gave us a glimpse of his breakout potential with 206 yards and two touchdowns over a three-game span in the second half of last season. Not only is Antonio Gates
another year north of 30, but his production really slowed in the second half last season. With Green’s speed (4.53 forty at combine) and ability to create mismatches, it wouldn’t be a surprise if he emerges as the team’s No. 2 option in the passing game behind wide receiver Keenan Allen
.”
– Kevin Hanson (EDSFootball)

Delanie Walker (TE) Titans

Overall ADP: #219

“Rather surprised to see Walker’s ADP as TE25. The guy caught 60 passes for 571 yards and six touchdowns for the Titans last season with his biggest games coming during the second half. Now Walker will play in Ken Whisenhunt’s TE friendly offense. Even if the number of receptions stays in the same range, look for an improved yards per catch average. Walker is a mid-level TE2 on my list.”
– Ben Standig (CSN Washington)

Garrett Graham (TE) Texans

Overall ADP: #236

“My favorite late TE is Garrett Graham
, who’ll play the versatile role Aaron Hernandez
was in under Bill O’Brien. Graham’s no Hernandez on the field (and thankfully off), but this system paired with mid range bomber Ryan Fitzpatrick
should see him peppered with targets frequently. Delanie Walker
averaged two whole targets per game more with Fitzpatrick under center a season ago. Tight end is really top heavy this year, then has a pretty dynamic fall off. As much as I like guys like Dennis Pitta
and Kyle Rudolph
, they’re unlikely to run real far away from the later round TE options like Graham.”
– Rich Hribar (XN Sports)

Special Teams Ace Maragos Opposes NFL Kickoff Rules Changes

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Chris Maragos has become a lobbyist, or so people might assume, considering all the effort the Philadelphia Special Teams Ace is injecting into his fight against the League’s plans to change the kickoff rules once more. At this point, the NFL spread doesn’t seem so important, what with all the hullaballoo surrounding NFL coaches and their stand against league executives.

If you talk to NFL executives, they will tell you that they are simply trying to make NFL games safer, this after analyzing statistics and determining that a lot of the high-speed collisions that cause injuries manifest during the kickoff.

Maragos claims that the kickoff is hardly as chaotic as some people think and, surrounded by so many talented players, he has never felt that his safety was compromised at any time. If anything, Maragos thinks that people like competition committee member Stephen Jones of the Dallas Cowboys are the true threat; having already moved the kickoff from the 30-yard line to the 35-yard line a few years back, Maragos has more than had enough of the NFL’s meddling.

It has been the NFL’s goal for a while now to reduce the number of returns, which is one of the reasons why the ball will be put on the 25 rather than the 20 (though only for a trial period of one year). The NFL isn’t completely deaf to the calls of coaches. During the offseason, senior vice president of officiating Dean Blandino met and spoke to special teams coaches.

Whether or not the meeting (conference call) achieved its objectives, it should be noted that Blandino downplayed any rumors about the Kickoff being eliminated, admitting that it was still one of the most exciting plays of the game. Yet, the NFL’s determination to make changes cannot be ignored. Clearly, the league thinks that the kickoff is a threat. All the attention surrounding the issue of concussions in the NFL is driving executives to take action to rebrand the game of football.

For Jones, coaches and executives should stand ready to take every step possible to ensure the safety of players. At the end of the day, no matter the conversation, the safety of players should be prioritized, even if that means that players might get fewer opportunities (especially those not good enough to shine on offense or defense).  Maragos would probably disagree here, especially considering his opinions about the vital importance of kickoffs and punts as effective gateways to stardom. In support of his point, Maragos has been known to point to Delanie Walker (Tennessee tight end), his teammate in San Francisco for whom Special teams was essential to keeping him on the roster.

Another supporter of Maragos’ position, Minnesota Receiver Adam Thielen believes that the key to safety is practice. If players do what they are supposed to do on the practice field, they are less likely to make mistakes during NFL games.For Maragos, the further alteration and eventual elimination of the kickoff would be a great blow to football, removing a play that many have come to associate with the game.

 

Percy Harvin is a Fantasy Football Steal in 2014-5

Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Percy Harvin is ranked in the early 20s and is being drafted in about the fifth round. Getting Harvin in the fifth would be a steal. We are happy to take him earlier.

Yes, there’s risk. He missed almost all of last year and half of 2012. He spent his first three years in the league with migraine troubles and suspected attitude sickness.

Do you know what eases migraine pain and soothes an irritated attitude? Catching passes from a franchise quarterback and playing for the defending Super Bowl champs.

Harvin has been rehabbing for over a year now. Calvin Johnson missed two games last year.

Let’s put the injury talk to bed. NFL players get hurt.

Some days the same guy grabs an 80 yard touchdown and you get 14 points in a moment. When he doesn’t, you get diddly.

Harvin is a bubble screen guy with the occasional handoff. He goes deep too, but that’s the frosting on the cake. That’s the sprinkles on the frosting if he returns a kick or punt for a touchdown.

In three and a half years with the Minnesota Vikings, Harvin had 280 catches and 107 carries in 54 games, including a nutty 149 touches in 2011. Before he was hurt in 2012, he was an MVP candidate.

The Vikings had Harvin, Adrian Peterson and not much else back then. Seattle has more weapons and will spread the ball around more, which will be good for Harvin’s health and big play chances. If he gets five or six at minimum for the Seahawks, you should get at least 40 or 50 yards.

He will have multiple games with more than one score and well over 100 yards. Double digit fantasy games will be common– 20-30 points will happen a few times.

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Player News  steal percy harvin football fantasy
That puts you easily in the 200 point neighborhood and in the WR top five. I think that’s realistic, not even optimistic. What if he’s everything the Seahawks dream him to be? He has a career year with over 100 catches, 1500 yards and a dozen or more touchdowns. Those are Megatron numbers. That doesn’t sound crazy, does it?

Seattle’s offense is steadily progressing from a conservative “run and trust your defense” strategy to a more balanced one. See how the team has changed from Russell Wilson’s first start to his last. Consider that Marshawn Lynch’s workload will certainly be reduced to keep him fresh for the playoffs. That means more Robert Turbin and Christine Michael, but also more short passing. More Harvin. And if Wilson running and gunning works, they’ll stick with it.

To conclude, do you still think Harvin has a dramatically bigger chance of getting hurt than Julio Jones or Randall Cobb? Will Harvin have more days when he disappears than Jordy Nelson or DeSean Jackson? Are you still worried that Pete Carroll will ride Beast Mode all day and only let Wilson throw on long and third?

Percy Harvin is a top 10 wide receiver. Take him in the third or second round and don’t be afraid. No guts,
no glory!

Maurice Jones Drew Overrated for 2014-5

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Mauric Jones Drew (MJD) signs with Oakland Raiders

Although MJD’s listed atop Oakland’s depth graph, their backfield will take a committee strategy in 2014. We’ve heard it from several neighborhood beat authors. And notably, we’ve heard it from HC Dennis Allen, that acknowledges that there are really few bell cow joggers in the NFL.

Besides  Darren McFadden, Oakland’s backfield consists of the skills of Marcel Reece and Latavius Murray. Reece– an established receiver– will swipe some passing-down work . Murray’s a size/speed freak who’s now healthy after battling injuries last season.

We currently have MJD forecasted for 156 carries.  This truly is among the NFL’s murkier backfields.

Besides, the talent aligning somewhere else on Oakland’s crime doesn’t influence self-confidence. Matt Schaub is coming off conveniently his worst professional season. WRs James Jones, Andre Holmes and Pole Streater will not disperse much defensive interest. And while the O-line included substantial physical bodies in Donald Penn and Austin Howard, they are still enigma at LG and RT.

We advise targeting upside players in the middle rounds of drafts. Now 29, stuck in a timeshare and on maybe the NFL’s worst team, MJD merely does not suit our defintion of upside!

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Player News  overrated maurice jones

Mauric Jones Drew (MJD) signs with Oakland Raiders

Fantasy Football WR Sleeper: Andre Holmes

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The Raiders do not have a lot of offensive skill. They have some has-beens (QB Matt Schaub, RBs Maurice Jones-Drew, Darren McFadden) which could have one more year in the sunlight; some almost-has-beens (WRs James Jones, Greg Little, Denarius Moore, Rod Streater) that have not had the ability to put all of it together consistently; and a couple hope-to-bes (WRs Juron Criner and Andre Holmes, TE Mychael Rivera) who have shown flashes yet absolutely nothing concrete.

Who stands apart one of the most? Well, the tallest individual, obviously. Which is the 6-4 Holmes.

OK, we’re not actually choosing Holmes merely considering that he’s the tallest, but it’s his elevation that possibly provides him the very best chance of breaking out. The third-year wideout finished sturdy in 2013, publishing 22 catches and 366 yards on 41 targets in the last 5 games. That target counts was 25th in the NFL in that period, and 4 greater than Oakland’s next most-targeted receiver.

Holmes has the dimension and capacity to make plays if he acquires the ball and can hold onto it. The fact he was listed on the first team when Oakland’s initial depth came  out a few days ago is a terrific indicator. Now he just has to hold onto his starting work.

Will Holmes be a WR1 or a WR2 for your fantasy group? Probably not, yet the potential is there for him to be an every-week play. Obtaining him late in your dream draft would certainly be a stroke of genius (he entered the 15th at No. 177 in our most current specialists’ mock).

And unlike real-life football, it’s not a bad thing to have a bunch of sleeper WRs on your fantasy team.

Estimating the Odds for 2015 Super Bowl Matchups

2019-20 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings Sports Betting  super matchups estimating   From all the feasible matchups for  the 2015 Superbowl, which is  the most likely to take place on Feb. 1 in the Phoenix desert?

 

Our staff has been studying the odds for 2015 Super Bowl candidate pairings.A lengthy listing has been produced by us, integrating every feasible mix of teams to attempt and predict the future. Nonetheless, all of us recognize that there are a few combos that are  more likely to occur, and may allow the shrewd bettor to place some profitable wagers.

The most likely game is  a rematch of last year’s Super Bowl between the Seattle Seahawks and the Denver Broncos. The Hawks defeated Peyton Manning and the AFC champs in impressive fashion, allowing their defense to set the tone on their way to a 43-8 devastation.

As NFL oddsmakers see this ordeal playing out, the opportunities that these groups meet  in the Big Game for the second year in a row is  about 6-1, the most likely chances of any  combination. Both teams have made some key moves to their lineups this offseason, so it’s clear that this competition is a distinct possibility.

The 2nd likeliest of all the competitions includes these same Seahawks against Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. Currently, that competition is about 8-1, in  what unquestionably would be an awesome Superbowl.


Next  on our list, and completing our top 3 NFL wagering favorites, is a potential showdown between two of the best quarterbacks in the game in Peyton Manning and Aaron Rodgers. So at about 10-1 odds the Broncos will meet the  Packers.

 We have  the San Francisco 49ers to meet the Broncos at about 15-1 odds.For those of you who like teams that begin with B, we would set the Bears versus the Broncos at 45-1! For teams that begin with P, we have the Packers versus the Patriots at 18-1!

Who should be the top draft choice in 2014-5 fantasy football?

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See: http://www.numberfire.com/nfl/news/2532/fantasy-football-who-should-go-first-overall

June 2014 Minicamp Observations for Fantasy Football

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We recommend: http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/fantasy-roto-arcade/first-down–gerhart-one-of-12-believable-takeaways-from-minicamp–otas-135114931.html

Are Packers Misusing Aaron Rodgers?

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Nearly every season, the question about Rodgers wasting his time with the Packers intensely resurfaces. Currently, the headline to such a mindboggling question is somewhat ironic and crazy. At only 32-years-of-age, Rodgers’ prime might go on for approximately seven or eight seasons. As Super Bowl picks take shape, the idea that Aaron Rodgers’ prime is being wasted at the Packers seems irrelevant because most quarterbacks still play at high levels even after their 30s.

A statistical analysis of all games that Rodgers has started for the Packers stands 80-39. Last season, he led his team to win four consecutive NFC North trophies. Furthermore, thePackers have made it to the playoffs for seven consecutive times. An icing to their cake of great run and fun was winning Super Bowl XLV as well. Provided that a team has an incredible QB, they can reach the Super Bowl championships easily, while keeping in mind that around thirty-two competitive organizations are in contest for the prize.

Technically, the Packers usually go through some unfathomable playoff losses. Many people believe that the best NFL teams have always won all the 50 Super Bowls. In a deeper perspective, the best teams usually strive to win several elimination championships, but strange things occur, and the Packers are one of the victims.

In a wildcard match in 2009 against the Arizona Cardinals, Rodgers played incredibly well to force overtime. However, he unintentionally kicked a loose ball to Karlos Dansby, who made a perfect catch for a touchdown. In their 2011 opening playoff match against the Giants, the 15-1 Packers lost that game heavily. In 2013, when the Packers played against the San Francisco 49ers in a home playoff match, the last play of the game handed them a painful loss. Rodgers had broken his collarbone a week prior to the game and he couldn’t help much. Some may say its bad luck, but I think the best teams rarely emerge victorious.

The unkindest loss among all that the Packers have suffered is their 2014 NFC championship game against the Seattle Seahawks. Morgan Burnett enigmatically slid as if the match had ended to crown the Packers as the winners. Afterwards, things went haywire, and Seattle, winning the game in overtime,ended their Super Bowl absence. In their last season’s game against the Cardinals, the packers got lucky to play overtime after making a touchdown at the end of regulation. However, their losing streak continued in a distressing manner. A 75-yard play sealed the game for the Cardinals after Larry Fitzgerald was left unguarded.

Green Bay has  had their sweet share of luck when it comes to winning ways. In 2010, the Packers traded their luck for a chance to reach the playoffs, which led them to winning a Super Bowl. However, people who believe the packers are wasting Rodgers’ prime must be the same people who thought that LeBron James legacy depended on the final game  theof 2016 NBA Finals. Even the best teams can lose the easiest games in their schedule because team sports have many things involved than the final matches.

Many teams have shown their consistency in winning playoffs without clinching any major title. Getting back to winning ways require a combination of luck and sacrificing some of your best players as well. It is ridiculous that some still think that the Packers are wasting Rodgers’ prime. However, since Rodgers has played as a starter in his first eight seasons, he should  now deliver more!

🙂