By Josh Appelbaum (VSiN.com)
2026-27 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings
Cracking the NFL Betting Code
What the Pros Know about Betting on Wildcard Games. Especially Today’s
January 4, 2020 by
Welcome to Wild-Card Weekend. After starting out with 32 teams we are now down to 12. The NFL Playoffs and the quest for the Lombardi Trophy are officially upon us.
Betting on the NFL playoffs is much different than betting on the regular season. The teams are much better. The stakes are much higher. But most importantly for bettors, betting against the public increases because there are fewer games to bet on and each one is incredibly heavily bet. The market is flooded with recreational money, more so than any other time of year. As a result, savvy bettors willing to back unpopular teams see an increase in contrarian value due to public bias and shaded or inflated lines.
The betting public is biased toward favorites. Average Joes want to back the “better” team, especially this time of year. This provides more value to bet on underdogs. Since 2003, playoff underdogs have gone 95-76 ATS (55.6%) according to Bet Labs Sports. Regular season dogs are 50.5% ATS. So we see a 5.1% increase in the cover rate for playoff dogs versus regular season dogs.
Dogs that see line movement in their favor (think sharp action pushing a dog from plus 6 to plus 5.5) are even betting, going 36-12 ATS (75%) since 2003.
Experience also matters in the playoffs. Teams who made the playoffs the previous season have gone 99-85 ATS (53.8%) since 2003. If they are facing an inexperienced team who missed the playoffs the previous year they improve to 48-34 ATS (58.5%).
Also, unders have great value in the wild-card round. The public is biased toward overs, which creates more value to take advantage of inflated unders. wild-card unders have gone 40-24 (62.5%) since 2003.
Let’s discuss where the sharp money is flowing for today’s games.
4:35 p.m. ET: Buffalo Bills (10-6, 5th seed) at Houston Texans (10-6, 4th seed)
Public bettors are having a hard time picking this game. Both teams have identical 10-6 records so how can you not take the team getting points? Buffalo is 6-2 on the road this season (including 6-1-1 ATS) and also enjoys a plus 55 point differential. Houston is 5-3 at home but just 2-6 ATS. The Texans are -7 in point differential. However, Average Joes also love backing favorites, home teams and star quarterbacks–especially when they’re laying short spreads. Deshaun Watson and company fit the bill.
Spread bets are split down the middle with a slight lean to the Texans, yet we’ve seen this line fall from Texans -3 to -2.5. In a vacuum, a line shouldn’t move at all aside from a slight juice adjustment if the tickets are even. This half-point drop signals sharp action on the Bills with wiseguys grabbing Buffalo at the key number of plus 3. The Bills went 9-6-1 ATS during the regular season while Houston was 7-8-1 ATS. The Bills have value as a playoff dog (55.6% ATS since 2003) and a playoff dog with a line move in their favor (75% ATS).
The total opened at 41.5– the lowest of any Wild Card Weekend Game. Pro money has pounded the over, driving the line up to 43.5. Both teams have been profitable to the under this season (BUF 12-4, HOU 9-7) and Tony Corrente, the lead ref, has historically favored unders as well (56.5%). However, playoff overs in domes or closed roof stadiums have gone 29-13 (69%) since 2003.
8:15 p.m. ET: Tennessee Titans (9-7, 6th seed) at New England Patriots (12-4, 3rd seed)
This wild-card showdown kicks off in primetime Saturday night and features the love ’em or hate ’em Patriots, meaning it will be incredibly heavily bet. The Titans started the season 2-4 with Marcus Mariota, but then went 7-3 after making the switch to Ryan Tannehill. Tennessee played meaningful games down the stretch, defeating the Texans in Week 17 to secure the final playoff spot. Meanwhile, the Patriots looked very un-Patriot in the second half of the season. New England went 2-3 in their final five games, including a shocking loss to Miami in Week 17 as a 17-point favorite, which forced them to play on wild-card weekend instead of securing a first-round bye. Tom Brady finished with his worst QB rating (88.0) since 2013. Rumors are swirling that this could be Brady’s last game with the Pats.
The Patriots opened as 5.5-point home favorites. Early sharp money pounced on the Titans getting the points, which dropped the line down to 4.5. But then we saw wiseguys buy low on New England at a deflated -4.5, driving the number back up to -5 where it rests now. The Titans have value as a playoff road dog with a line move in their favor. Also, Brady and Belichick are 27-10 straight up (73%) in the playoffs since 2003 but just 19-18 ATS (52.4%). However, the Patriots look vulnerable and the media narrative all week is pounding the idea that the dynasty is coming to an end. This is usually when New England is at it’s best- when they’re underestimated and counted out. This is also a revenge game for the Pats, who lost to the Titans 34-10 in Week 11 last season.
The total has ticked up slightly from 43.5 to 44.5. Weather could play a big role here. The forecast calls for mid-30s, rain, 10 MPH winds and possibly some snow. John Hussey, the head official, historically favors home teams (55.4% ATS) and unders (56%). The Pats went 9-7 to the under this season but Tennessee went 10-6 to the over. Wild Card Weekend unders are 40-24 (62%) since 2003.
Betting Preview: Smackdown Tonight! 8:20 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Chargers (4-5) at Oakland Raiders (4-4)
November 7, 2019 by
The Chargers are coming off their biggest win of the season, upsetting the mighty Packers 26-11 as 4-point home underdogs. Los Angeles has now won two straight after beating the Bears 17-16 as 3.5-point road dogs the week before. The Raiders are coming off a 31-24 win over the Lions, covering as 2.5-point favorites, which snapped a brief two-game losing streak. While their records are similar, these AFC West rivals have far different records against the spread (Chargers 3-5-1 ATS vs Raiders 5-3 ATS). However, the Chargers enjoy a +15 point differential while the Raiders sit at -34. Both teams average about the same in terms of points scored (Chargers 20.3 PPG vs Raiders 22.8 PPG). The difference is on defense where Los Angeles allows just 18.7 PPG compared to Oakland’s 27 PPG.
This Thursday Night showdown opened with Oakland listed as a short 2-point home favorite. Sharps immediately jumped on Los Angeles getting points. The public is also hammering the Chargers (more than two-thirds of bets), especially after their big win last week over Green Bay. This overload of both pro and Joe action has flipped the line to Chargers -1. Favorites have dominated Thursday Night Football historically. Since 2003, they have gone 110-78 ATS (58.5%) according to Bet Labs Sports. The Chargers have dominated this match up recently, going 4-1 straight up against Oakland in their last five meetings and 11-4 straight up in their last 15 on the road at Oakland.
The total opened at 47.5. Nearly two-thirds of bets are taking the over.This combination of heavy public and sharp action has pushed the line up to 49. If it rises any higher, we’ve likely to see some sharp under buyback. Prime time unders are 19-9 (68%) this year and divisional unders are 23-15 (61%). Unders are 7-2 in Chargers games but overs are 5-3 in Raiders games this season.
2019 NFL WEEK 6 BETTING NOTES
October 13, 2019 by
Today marks the 6th Sunday of the NFL season. Through five weeks of play, we’ve seen a distinct advantage for underdogs. Dogs have gone 46-32 ATS (59%) according to Bet Labs Sports. A $100 bettor taking each one would be up $1,075. Not too bad. Road dogs have been especially profitable, going 34-18 ATS (65.4%). Divisional dogs have gone 15-9 ATS (62.5%).
With these trends in mind, let’s take a look at five games receiving heavy smart money on Sunday.
9:30 a.m. ET: Carolina Panthers (3-2) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-3)
Who’s ready for an early morning NFC South London sweat? The Panthers started the season 0-2 with Cam Newton, but have now gone a perfect 3-0 with backup Kyle Allen. The Bucs have been Jekyll and Hyde through five weeks, rotating losses and wins each time out. This game opened with the Bucs listed as short 1-point favorites. Despite receiving just a slight majority of bets, we’ve seen a huge line move to Carolina (+1 to -2.5). Sharps hit the Panthers everywhere from +1 to a pick’em to -1.5. One big advantage to Carolina: Favorites have gone 13-9 ATS in London (59%) since 2003 according. We’ve seen some smart money drop the total from 48.5 to 47.5. Tottenham Stadium is expecting 15 mph winds, an edge to the Under.
1 p.m. ET: Houston Texans (3-2) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-1)
The Chiefs lost their first game of the season last week, falling to the Colts at home 19-13 as 10.5 favorites on Sunday Night Football. The public says Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City are a powerhouse and are due for a big bounce back win and cover at home. But sharps are buying low on the Texans to keep it close. Houston is playing well as of late, winning three of their last four including a 53-32 blowout over the Falcons last week. This line opened with KC listed as a 6.5-point home favorite. Despite two thirds of bets backing the Chiefs, the line has fallen all the way to -4. This sharp reverse line movement was caused by pros loading up on the Texans plus the points. Since 2003, dogs receiving at least 2.5-points of reverse line movement have covered 55.7% of the time. Sharps also love this under. The total opened at 55.5 and the public is pounding the Over, yet it’s fallen to 54.5.
1 p.m. ET: Seattle Seahawks (4-1) at Cleveland Browns (2-3)
This line has been all over the place. The Browns initially opened as 2.5-point home favorites. The public remembers Cleveland being embarrassed 31-3 by San Francisco on Monday night and wants nothing to do with them. This line opened with Cleveland listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. Nearly seven-out-of-ten bets are backing Seattle. This lopsided support caused the line to move to Seattle -2.5. But then sharps hammered the Browns plus the points, causing the line to fall down to a pick’em. Essentially, sharps waited for heavy public betting to move the number bigly to Seattle so they could get extra points with the Browns at home. Teams coming off a 20-point loss or more have covered the next game 54.1% of the time since 2003. Pros have also targeting the under. The total opened at 47 and has been bet down to 46. The Dawg Pound is expecting 15 mph winds.
1 p.m. ET: New Orleans (4-1) at Jacksonville (2-3)
On paper this looks like an easy layup with New Orleans. After all, the Saints are 4-1 and have won three straight. Meanwhile, Jacksonville is 2-3 and just lost to Carolina 34-27. So why on Earth did the oddsmakers open this game as a pick’em? Public bettors are hammering the Saints. But despite New Orleans receiving two thirds of bets, the line has moved to Jacksonville -3. Why would the books continue to hand out additional points to public Saints backers when they’re already on New Orleans to begin with? Because pros have been getting down hard on the Jags, creating big liability for the house and forcing the books to move the number bigly in their favor. An added bonus to the Jags: Jerome Boger is the lead referee. Since 2003, home teams have 55% ATS (+12.96 units) with Boger as the lead official. Smart money has also hit the Under. The total has fallen from 44 to 42.5 since opening.
4:05 p.m. ET: San Francisco 49ers (4-0) at Los Angeles Rams (3-2)
This late afternoon NFC West showdown is the most popular and heavily bet game of the day. The Rams have lost two straight, including a 30-29 heartbreaker to the Seahawks last Thursday night. The public says Los Angeles is a great team and “due” for a big bounce back win and cover at home. But sharps aren’t buying the conventional wisdom. They’re backing the undefeated 49ers in a rare contrarian road dog spot. The Rams opened as a 4-point home favorite. Two thirds of bets are backing Los Angeles. This heavy betting pushed the line up to 4.5. That’s when you saw wiseguys get down hard on the 49ers, causing the line to fall all the way down to 3. Todd Gurley’s injury was also a factor in the line movement. The stud RB is out with a thigh contusion. The 49ers are contrarian in a heavily bet game and also a road divisional dog (10-5 ATS this season). Pros have also hit the over, pushing the total from 48.5 to 50.5.
More sharp action
Dolphins +4.5 to +4 vs Redskins
Vikings -3 to -3.5 vs Eagles
How to Excel at Sports Betting
October 10, 2019 by
Introduction
The world of betting and gambling often draws mixed reactions. The people who bet regularly have all praises for it while those who have not tried or have not got had good experience with it, do not vouch for it. However, like any other game or profession, betting too is often more than fun and can become a serious business. Read this article and find some useful information on getting started with sports betting.
Getting started
There are different forms of betting. The regular way to bet is to visit a reputed casino like bcasino and play different kinds of card games or similar games and to put your money as bets. However, there are other forms of betting as well. In sports betting, you have to bet on different kind of sports as per the situation and options available for you. To get started, you have to first select a sport on which you are interested in betting. It is not required to have any skills to bet. However, it does require skill to make a successful bet – and to do it successfully on a regular basis requires much more than luck or chance. So let’s find out how the world of sports betting works!
Knowledge and grip of the sport
When you have to bet on a sport, you should first of all select a sport. So the next question arises is what kind of sport you should pick? Well you should basically pick a sport on which you have knowledge about. There are hundreds of popular sports in the world and it might be that you are aware of most of them. However in order to do better, you should have a firm grip and grasp on the sport on which you would like to bed.
You might think that you know lots of things about the sport and you can bet on it on any given day. However, there are different factors and refinements that are needed to enhance your knowledge of the sport. Let’s try to understand it with help of an example:
Let us pick up a sport first. If you like to bet on tennis, then you should be a Tennis fan. You might know who is the present world number one in the men’s tennis and you might be aware about lots of other things. But in order to bet, you have to analyze a particular match or a tournament. In case of tennis, if you concentrate on the present situation, the hot bids to would be on whether Nadal would overtake Novak Djokovic and end up also as well number one by the end of the year? Now in order to get this correctly, you have to analyze different factors.
Unbiased analysis
First of all, you should check out the present points difference between the two players. If the difference is too much, then it is unlikely that Nadal is going to over take Djokovic. The next thing that you have to analyze is the schedule of the two players. You should ensure and confirm the kinds of tournaments that they are going to play in the next few months till December. These are the tournaments in which they can gain points.
At the same time, you should be aware about how tennis rankings system works. In some cases, a certain player does not participate in a particular tournament that he has participated last year, then he would lose those points. Another important factor that you have to analyze is the fitness level. If the fitness level of the players is questionable, then it is unlikely that they are going to participate in tournaments and even if they do they are not likely to perform well.
Now as you can understand, all this analysis is required for knowledge and great understanding of the sport concerned. The same case is with the other sports.
Learning from experience
Apart from the knowledge of the sport, you should also understand other aspects of a profession. If you would like to become successful in sports betting or any other profession, there is a mental aspect that you also have to deal with. You should know how to deal with the tough times. You should be aware of handling the situation and when things are not working your way. This is the most important thing to learn in life. You should be able to hold your emotions and be patient with results.
If you can survive the tough times, then you can always look back and learn from the past mistakes that you have made and improve on them. Maintain this on a regular basis, and grow your experience of the game of the sport of the profession and ultimately you are able to use that experience in future to enhance your gambling or sports betting skills. If you follow these instructions and learn from your own experience and use your own brain and common sense when required, you would gradually be able to master the art of sports betting or any other profession for that matter.
Final words
A final word of advice would be to not rush things and start betting great amounts of money. This can cause heavy losses. Until and unless you are sure about your bets, try to start with small amounts and gradually learn from the experience and then increase the betting amounts. In this way, you will develop yourself as a good professional and successful sports bettor.
The Quickest & Easiest Ways To Winning NFL BETTING
October 3, 2019 by
PODCAST: NFL WEEK 5 NFL Betting Preview
October 2, 2019 by
2019 Thursday Nite Betting Preview: Eagles Versus Packers
September 26, 2019 by
8:20 p.m. ET: Philadelphia Eagles (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (3-0)
Tuley’s Take on Thursday Night Football . . .
After two Must-Not-See TV games the past two Thursday nights, we get a marquee NFL matchup with the Philadelphia Eagles visiting the Green Bay Packers (8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network).
It has lost some of its luster with the injury-plagued Eagles’ slow start (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS), but QB Carson Wentz wasn’t in a panic in his press conference the other day and I almost expected him to pull an Aaron Rodgers and tell fans to “R-E-L-A-X.” Despite their relative woes, Wentz and the offense is still averaging 25.3 points per game (the Packers only average 19.3) and their losses to the Falcons and Lions both could have been wins (though admittedly they were lucky to escape with a come-from-behind victory over the Redskins in the season-opener).
Still, I still have the Eagles rated as the better team and there’s definite value in getting more than a field goal.
Granted, the Packers are off to a great start (3-0 SU & ATS) and are a 4-point favorites as of Wednesday night after getting bet at high as -5.5 on Monday, but I’m ready to fade them as they’re not as good as their record indicates. I’m especially not buying the narrative that they have a dominant defense (allowing an NFL-best 11.7 points per game) as they benefited from catching the Bears before their offense got in sync and the Vikings would have scored more and beaten them if not for Kirk Cousins’ unforced errors.
While the best bet is on the Eagles +4, I also like Over 46 as both offenses should have success and this total is shaded a little low as Unders are 8-2 so far in NFL primetime games this season (and I’m willing to fade that trend as well).
The play: Eagles +4
The Best Sports for Betting
September 24, 2019 by
If you are a sports enthusiast who loves to place bets on your favorite teams, you need to consider the following;
- How many sports to bet on?
- Which sports to bet on?
It is easier to make decisions if you are a sports fan first then a bettor. You can decide to wager on all of the sports that you are familiar with and love to watch. This approach proves logical since those are the sports that you understand best. It is easier to bet on those sports as it will give you a better opportunity of winning money.
However, it is not easier to make such decisions. It is normal for most people to follow diverse sports, and thus, not certain if they want to bet on them all or just select their favorite. There are others who only follow a single sport, and are therefore not sure if they need to limit themselves to just that one particular sport. There are also those who would like to try their luck in sports betting but rarely follow any sports closely.
Definitely, there are sports that we presume are better, though it may not be everyone’s opinion. Your best sport to bet on might be a terrible option for someone else. Therefore, one should consider a number of factors before you place that bet. You need to consider whether it’s perfect to wager on one sport, several sports, or diverse sports.
The best sports for betting highly depend on what part of the world one is located. Some sports might be well-known in some regions, but not so favored in others. However, a few sports can be popular with bettors all around the world. In terms of the total number of people who bet on them, some sports definitely rank higher than others, these include soccer, American football, basketball, tennis, boxing, and formula 1. Therefore, you need to consider what’s best for you.
Those sports that regularly attract huge viewing audiences, are also the ones that people wager on the most. The reason why most bettors would consider placing their bets on these sports is that they offer many betting opportunities. Information on such sports is also easily accessible and widely available. Bookmakers also offer lots of betting options for these sports.
How to make the best decisions
The more information you have at your disposal, the better the chances of making good decisions. If you find making money more important to you than having fun, then you need to consider;
- How much time are you willing to dedicate to your betting?
- What will give you the best chance of making good money?
- What are the best betting options?
PODCAST: Week 2 Betting Preview or Fake News?
September 12, 2019 by
Do Betting Trends Make You Feel Jumpy?
September 4, 2019 by
With the NFL kicking off on Thursday, here are a few trends bettors should take note of as they finish up their Week 1 capping:
Since 2005, dogs and favorites have been about even when it comes to covering in Week 1. Dogs are slightly better at 112-106 ATS (+1.97 units). However, we see a massive distinction between divisional dogs (47-31 ATS, 60.3%, +14.42 units) and non-division dogs (65-75 ATS, 46.4%, -12.45 units). Divisional dogs perform much better due to the fact that they play each other twice a year and the familiarity levels the playing field and leads to closer games.
Here are the Week 1 Divisional Dogs (X means ff-winners.com AI agrees)
Packers (+3) at Bears
Redskins (+9.5) at Eagles X
Bills (+3) at Jets X
Giants (+7) at Cowboys X
When it comes to totals, Week 1 also provides an edge to the under (118-103, 53.4%, +9.13 units). This is likely for two reasons. First, the public is inclined to bet an Over because they want to see a past-faced, high-scoring game. The sportsbooks know this and will shade numbers to the Over, providing added value and extra free points for contrarian under bettors. Second, the defenses are usually ahead of the offenses this time of year, leading to lower scoring games overall.
If you look at the under in Week 1 when both teams missed the postseason the previous year, the under improves to 52-37 (58.4%, +12.71 units, 14.1% ROI).
Here are the Week 1 unders that fit this system (X means ff-winners.com AI agrees)
Vikings-Falcons Under 47.5
Browns-Titans Under 45.5
Jets-Bills Under 41
Buccaneers-49ers Under 50
Cardinals-Lions Under 47 X
Raiders-Broncos Under 43.5 X
Simple NFL Betting Edges – Even Your Kids Can Do It!
August 28, 2019 by
We suggest you track these betting tips (from redzone.me) for a while and see if/how they work:
I. The 20-point rebound:
Teams will rarely play as well or as poorly as they did in their prior games.
What to look for:
1) A matchup of one team that has just lost by 10 points ATS or more
against one that has just won by double digits ATS.
2) The underdog will convert frequently enough in one of these contests to increase your yearly winning percentage. The larger the spread or point disparity, the greater the betting opportunity.
II. The favorite rebound:
This converts often enough that the play is on a prior favorite who was blown
out in their last game and is now an underdog.
A word of caution. Unless a team is playoff-bound, this angle is not as strong at
the end of the season, when some teams are getting ready for the golf course.
III. 3 weeks of embellished production:
Any team that has accumulated total yardage or point totals in two successive weeks that are 30% higher than that team’s average will almost always have a
letdown ATS in their third week.
IV. Streaks:
This is one for those who want to keep it really simple, without much homework.
You’ll make money in the long run betting against teams that have won three in a row, and for those who have lost three in a row.
V. The double home underdog:
Here’s another with little homework needed.
Find a team playing its’ second game in succession
at home that:
a) Lost its previous game, whether an underdog or not; and
b) Is an underdog this week.
VI. Instant angle for a 2nd half wager:
This one involves some quick research towards the end of the
2nd quarter or at half-time. It should only be used for the NFL. It doesn’t happen that often, but is absolutely worth a play when it occurs:
When a double-digit favorite covers in the first half, take the Under in the second half.
Luck Retirement Shakes NFL Betting Markets
August 26, 2019 by
Market insights from Josh Appelbaum . . .
The dust has settled on Andrew Luck’s shocking retirement announcement from the NFL. The 29-year-old star quarterback unexpectedly called it quits over the weekend. Luck cited injuries and being “mentally worn down” as the main reasons he hung up the cleats.
Colts’ fans aren’t the only ones who will miss Luck. Bettors will, too.
Luck went 49-34 against the spread (59%), winning +12.52 units with a 14.6% return on investment (according to BetLabsSports.com). This means a $100 spread bettor made $1,252 riding every Luck start throughout his 7-year career.
On the moneyline, Luck went 53-33 (61.6%), winning +21.13 units with a 24.6% ROI. This includes a 17-20 record (45.9%) but +15.65 units as a dog (42.3% ROI).
The fallout from Luck’s retirement has been swift. At Circa Sports, the Colts moved from -180 to make the playoffs to -210 to not make the playoffs. Indianapolis also plummeted from -120 to +350 to win their division, +700 to +2100 to win the AFC and +1500 to +4500 to win the Super Bowl.
Indy’s season win total was adjusted from 9.5 (over -115) to 8 (under -120). In other words, the Colts were expected to go 10-6 or better with Luck and now are likely to go 7-9 or worse with Jacoby Brissett.
How much is Luck worth to the spread? After opening at +3.5 for Week 1 against the Chargers, the Colts are now +7.
4 Horse Race Betting Tips
August 7, 2019 by
Betting is one of the most common past time activities for people all over the world. As such, people want to ensure that they derive some pleasure from this activity as well as make some money in the process. Horse racing is one of the most common sports that people bet on. This is more so in the United Kingdom and the United States than any other country. One of the reasons why many people watch horse racing is that they place bets on it and the race is exciting because there is a monetary investment at stake. As such, they end up enjoying the thrill of the race as they wait to either win or lose! However, there are many tips that one can follow so that they can win in horse racing bets.
Here are 4 horse racing tips to help you:
1. Do your homework properly
It is true that thousands of people place bets worth millions of dollars on horse racing. However, among all these, only a small percentage will win. This is because most people do not do research before they place their bets. You should at least throw a cursory glance at the horse racing and betting program to be sure of what you are doing. You should know something about the form guides, also known as the racing guides to help you know the horses that are racing and their related information. Get to know more about the type of track that the horses are racing on. Form guides have many aspects and it would be good that you familiarize yourself with the guides to understand horse racing and horse race betting.
2. Understand the different kinds of bets
There are many types of horse racing wagers. Rather, you can place the various types of bets. You do not have to rely only on the win bets. You need to learn how you can place the various types of bets in a strategic way and benefit from them. Many countries have different wagers and rules that govern horse racing betting.
Learn the different betting systems that are used in horse race betting. There is a fixed -odd system of betting. Here, your winning will be determined by the odds you placed multiplied by the amount you have staked. Then there is the exchange betting. Here, one bets not against a bookmaker but against another person. It is also possible to place multiple horse bets.
3. Shop the odds
This works much better for the people who are placing fixed odd bets. Here, you could get the best value for your money if you can check with many online gambling sites and even the on-course bookmakers to learn the odds they have assigned a specific bet. Here, you will need to choose the odds that give you a better chance of winning.
4. Multiple race betting
This is a better way of increasing your chances of winning. However, one should be a much smarter gambler for them to place bets on many races. Remember that the chances of winning are higher if you stake in more than one race.
Shocking NFL Betting System
July 31, 2019 by
When it comes to NFL wagering systems, there is one that stands apart above everything else. The bitter truth, however, is that it typically just offers one play a year, and has actually had many years without a single play.
The system is merely to bet against any NFL team that has scored 30 or more points in two straight games, while permitting 10 or fewer points in its last 2 games and the team is playing a non-divisional opponent. That’s all there is to it.
Considering that since 1989, the system is 15-1, being defeated only in 2008. The record tells you that there aren’t many plays, however you most definitely want to observe when they do occur.
There was just one play in 2012, which was the New York Giants +7 against the 49ers. San Francisco was coming into the game off a 34-0 clunk of the New York Jets and followed that up with a 45-3 pasting of the Buffalo Bills.
The 49ers were never ever in the game against the Giants, getting crushed 26-3!
Do You Obey the Fundamental Law of NFL Betting?
July 29, 2019 by
There is no “inside info” when it concerns Pro football wagering as the info age has just made it impossible to keep information secret. Once we understand this fact we can consider only one main NFL wagering statistic above all others and that is the pointspread. The oddsmaker is going to base his NFL betting line on just how the public is going to bet. This can offer you valuable insight without doing other work! You can check out the Pro football betting line which side the oddsmaker wants to win. Often that will be the underdog considering that the oddsmaker understands the favorite is usually getting pounded with public money in NFL wagering. This is not always the situation, yet it occurs typically. You could look purely at the pointspread and base your bet on which party the oddsmaker wishes in NFL wagering. Specifically, this will be side of the bet that is drawing least money!
Most impulsive NFL bettors will take the favorite. The main herd of gamblers lose at NFL wagering due to the fact that they decline to think about the underdog at all!. That is a significant mistake. If you really want the best NFL tip it is to behave like the oddsmaker. Typically the sportsbooks make easy cash with NFL betting so if you could determine what teams they would like to win and then wager those groups, you have a likelihood of gaining consistent profits in Pro football wagering! Just watch which way the pointspread moves during the week and bet contrary to the movement!
SHOCKING 90% Reliable NFL Betting Edge!
June 2, 2019 by
PODCAST: 4 Surprisingly Profitable NFL Betting Angles
May 27, 2019 by
These “systems” may provide you some excellent betting ideas this season. They agree with the principal that “Parity” in the NFL can be exploited by astute bettors. Most of the public and sportswriters “overreact” to recent performance. By definition, “recent performance” is only a small sample. Even sadder is all the experts and pundits making bold predictions in the off season when NO football is even being played! If you do “Big Data” computer analysis, you will discover that there are many things about predicting the NFL which are systematic but not always intuitive.
