How does Elo work? Elo is a dynamic rating system that works to identify player/team strength at a specific time. At a high level, every team enters every game with an Elo rating. This rating is just a number (usually between 1000 to 2000), with a higher number representing a stronger team.
2024-25 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings
Beating the NFL Pointspread with AI and ML
Guru’s NBA Betting System Has Finally Been Revealed!
March 9, 2020 by
“Yesterday, we saw the Lakers upset the Clippers 112-103 as 2.5-point dogs. The important takeaway, however, was the total. It opened at 227.5, closed at 226.5 and landed on 115, easily cashing the under. Historically, when two elite teams go head-to-head the under has been a smart bet. This is likely due to an added emphasis on defense, a more competitive effort and also a heavier-than-usual public bias toward betting the other between two great teams.
When two teams with 60% win percentages or higher face off the under is 974-797 (55%) since 2005 according to Bet Labs Sports. If the total falls by at least one point (a sign of sharp action), the elite team under improves to 57%.
The trend is even better if the elite teams come from the same division. This is due to built in familiarity. Each team knows what to expect from the other, specifically when it comes to game planning and defending. When two elite teams face off from the same division, the under is 195-135 (59%) since 2005. “
–Josh Appelbaum 2020
Shocking NFL Betting System
July 31, 2019 by
When it comes to NFL wagering systems, there is one that stands apart above everything else. The bitter truth, however, is that it typically just offers one play a year, and has actually had many years without a single play.
The system is merely to bet against any NFL team that has scored 30 or more points in two straight games, while permitting 10 or fewer points in its last 2 games and the team is playing a non-divisional opponent. That’s all there is to it.
Considering that since 1989, the system is 15-1, being defeated only in 2008. The record tells you that there aren’t many plays, however you most definitely want to observe when they do occur.
There was just one play in 2012, which was the New York Giants +7 against the 49ers. San Francisco was coming into the game off a 34-0 clunk of the New York Jets and followed that up with a 45-3 pasting of the Buffalo Bills.
The 49ers were never ever in the game against the Giants, getting crushed 26-3!
FILM STUDY: The Shocking Truth about Kliff Kingsbury’s Air Raid System
April 13, 2019 by
This system could quickly propel the Arizona Cardinals to be contenders in the tough NFC West.
The Shocking Truth about the Kelly Betting System
January 31, 2019 by
The Kelly System is designed to maximize your “betting edge” while minimizing your “risk of ruin”.
But is that true? Should you use it?
