2026-27 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings
Cracking the NFL Betting Code
LOL: Lion’s QB Matthew Stafford to Rams for QB Jared Goff
The Detroit Lions have a trade agreement worked out with the Los Angeles Rams that sees the Lions shipping QB Matthew Stafford to the Rams for QB Jared Goff, two future first-round draft picks and a third-round pick in 2021.
Folks: This trade seems truly reckless for the Rams and Golden for the Lions!
Colin Cowherd Accidentally Reveals Superbowl 55 Winner and Score!
Mattress Mack’s Wild Superbowl Bet
The long wait for Super Bowl 55 is nearly over. We are now just two days away from kickoff. Yesterday, we saw the largest wager placed on the game, with Jim McIngvale risking $3.46 million on the Bucs spread. Mattress Mack, as he is popularly referred to, must know the importance of key numbers as he paid -127 juice to ensure that he got Tampa Bay plus the hook (+ 3.5).
In a statement, McIngvale explained his decision by saying the following: “Tampa Bay is loaded with talent on both sides of the ball and led by the greatest football player of all time in Tom Brady, so I’m betting big on the Bucs who have overcome tough matchups throughout the postseason.”
Mack’s decision to pay the extra juice in order to get the hook is important. We all know that 3 is the most important key number in football. So if the Bucs end up losing by 3, which is the most common margin of victory, you want to be able to cash with the extra half point. However, the Bucs + 3.5 is no longer available across the market as we’ve seen the line fall down to 3. Most books are juicing the Chiefs -3 up to -115 but seem unwilling to actually move to 3.5. So what does this mean? If you like the Bucs you might as well wait and see if it goes to 3.5 between now and kickoff. If it doesn’t, you could do what Mack did and buy the extra half point in order to get the hook.
Buying points is age-old debate among sports bettors. Recreational bettors love buying points because they feel safer and more secure knowing they are getting a better number and, therefore, have a greater shot at covering. However, buying points is typically frowned upon by experienced bettors. If you are constantly buying points, it means you are paying expensive prices that will eat away at your winnings. Buying an extra half point may save you every once in a while, but over the long haul it won’t make as big of a difference as you think. One of the only scenarios where buying points can really be “worth it” is around key numbers, like in this case by taking the Bucs up to + 3.5. In this situation, it’s also much more palatable due to the current juice price. The Chiefs are -3 (-115) at most books with the Bucs + 3 (-105). So buying an extra half point when you’re starting at -105 (or even + 100 at some shops) makes it a little easier. If the Bucs were even + 3 (-110), buying that extra half point could take you to -135 juice or more. At that point, it becomes highly unattractive. If you can buy the extra half point and keep it under -130 (or ideally -120 or less), that’s an easier pill to swallow.
Mahomes and Brady Match-Up Headline Super Bowl LV
Super Bowl LV takes place on February 7 and sees defending champions Kansas City Chiefs take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at the Buccaneers’ Raymond James Stadium. It is a fascinating fixture if only because of the eagerly anticipated match-up between Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady.
The Chiefs are the pre-game favorites in the latest 2021 Super Bowl betting markets although there is not a lot in it. The Buccaneers have a home-field advantage and are the first Super Bowl team to play on home soil. It won’t count for too much, however, because of COVID-19 restrictions means there will be limited spectators.
Every football fan is excited to see Mahomes and Brady go to battle. Brady is the most decorated player in NFL history with six Super Bowl rings. The 43-year-old is trying to add a seventh ring which means stopping the chiefs from becoming the first repeat Super Bowl winner since Brady’s New England Patriots managed this in 2004. Ironically, Chiefs head coach Andy Reed was in charge of the Philadelphia Eagles when the Patriots won back-to-back Super Bowls in 2004.
Brady is coming to the end of a glittering career. He revealed plans to continue playing until he’s 45 in an interview in December 2020. Winning a seventh Super Bowl ring – no other quarterback has more than four – would be a fitting way to bow out of the NFL.
Mahomes’ career, on the other hand, is only getting started and the 25-year-old looks on course to become one of the NFL’s greatest-ever quarterbacks. Since his first appearance during the 2017 season, Mahomes has been sensational. He’s thrown for 14,152 years, a 66.03% completion rate, and 114 touchdowns. His overall rating currently stands at an impressive 108.7.
The Chiefs have only lost one game with Mahomes in the team since the middle of November 2019, a stretch of 26 games. It’s fair to say anything and everything positive the Chiefs do goes through the young superstar.
Tough Conference Games
Both the Chiefs and Buccaneers were involved in grueling Conference Championship games so will be delighted to have a week’s rest before taking center-stage at Super Bowl LV.
Brady led his Buccaneers to a 31-26 victory over Aaron Rodgers’ Green Bay Packers. He threw three touchdowns, but also three interceptions taking him to 12 of the latter for the season, an unwanted career high.
The Buccaneers have now won seven consecutive games with their offense scoring at least 30 points, a streak that began after the lost 24-27 to the Chiefs in Week 12. That was Brady’s 33rd playoff win, which is ridiculous when you consider Joe Montana only managed 16!
Mahomes returned to the field for the Conference Championship game against the Buffalo Bills and guided them to a 38-24 victory. Seeing Mahomes playing again was a great sight after he missed a chunk of the Divisional Round game with the Cleveland Browns after leaving the field with a concussion.
Everything points towards the Chiefs winning back-to-back Super Bowl rings. Their roster oozes quality. A Mahomes-led offense is enough to win a Super Bowl on its own but the Chiefs defense came together to stifle MVP candidate Josh Allen in the game against the Bills.
The Buccaneers’ best chance of winning is to try and slow down Mahomes, something no team has been able to do during the past three seasons. Another way would be to simply try outscoring the Chiefs because Brady, undoubtedly, has the ability to do exactly that. This would lead to an exciting, high-scoring game for fans and neutrals alike.
It’s only 12-months since the Chiefs were in this exact same spot and the experience gained from beating the San Francisco 49ers will stand them in good stead. I say Chiefs to win with Mahomes putting in yet another MVP performance. Sorry, Brady and Buccs fans.
KC Coach Andy Reid’s Winning Secret Has Been Revealed!
One thing flies under the radar. It has to do with the long term track record of Andy Reid.