How Alex Smith Strategically Owned The Patriots In the Opener

Alex Smith torched the Patriots Thursday night, and his final stat line was very un-Alex Smith-like: 28-for-35, 368 passing yards, four touchdowns, no interceptions, a 148.6 passer rating. Head coach

Source: http://deadspin.com/alex-smith-smoked-the-patriots-by-going-back-to-college-1802680221

The Human Mind Needs to Be Rewired for Sports Betting Success


Source: The human mind tends to overweigh small sample recent events, not taking into account randomness.

Artificial Intelligence can be taught to be more patient than the human mind when assessing sports improvement/degradation.

VIDEO: Is Madden NFL 18 a Scam?


MADDEN NFL 18 Doesn’t Shake Up Its Game Play. Is The New Story Mode A Success Or a Marketing Scam?

ALERT: FF-Winners.Com Warns On the 2017-8 Falcon Team: TAKE THE UNDER!

Some Las Vegas oddsmakers have sent the “over/under” on the win total for the 2017 Atlanta Falcons at 9.5 wins. At least initially, that number seems ridiculously low, given the fact that this team finished with an 11-5 record last season, and beat the Dallas Cowboys and Green Bay Packers en route to representing the NFC in Super Bowl LI this past February.

And yet, we’re not only telling you to bet the “under,” wagering that the Falcons will win less than 9.5 games this year, but we’re also saying that the 2017 Atlanta Falcons will not only fail to win the NFC South division this year, but also fail to make the playoffs.

Here’s a fact for you: over the last 20 years, the team that lost the Super Bowl failed to make the playoffs 9 times. Over the last 15 years, the Super Bowl loser failed to make the playoffs the ensuing year. In other words, it’s basically a 50/50 chance that if you lose the Super Bowl, you’re not making the postseason the following year.

But specifically, in terms of the Falcons, there are two big reasons why we’re confident enough to make such a statement:

1. We think everyone overlooked an Atlanta defense that really wasn’t all that great

2. The difference between Kyle Shanahan’s offense and Steve Sarkisian’s offense is going to be jarring, in a really, really bad way if you’re a Falcons fan.

While the offense was busy putting up franchise-best numbers last season, the defense finished 26th in defensive DVOA last season, 25th in total yards allowed per game, and 28th in passing yards allowed per game. They allowed the fifth-most touchdown passes in the NFL to opponents last year, and didn’t have anyone on the entire team (outside of Vic Beasley Jr.) register more than five sacks. Does that sound like a “good defense” to you? In fact, name a player on the Falcons defense, outside of maybe Beasley, who opposing teams really need to worry about. If you polled 100 relatively knowledgeable NFL fans, could they name more than three players on the Falcons defense?

Atlanta plays in a division where they’ll face Drew Brees, Cam Newton, or Jameis Winston in more than a third of their games this year; that’s not even mentioning the fact that Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, and Russell Wilson are all on teams who are on the Falcons’ schedule this year as well.

And before you say: “well, Atlanta can win those games in a shootout,” that brings us to the Shanahan-Sarkisian issue, with that issue specifically being the fact that the Falcons are replacing one of the BEST offensive minds in the NFL with someone who has NEVER called plays or ran an offense in the NFL at any point in his career.

What Shanahan did for the Falcons offense last year was his career’s magnum opus. He found a way to masterfully utilize Devonta Freeman, Tevin Coleman, Taylor Gabriel, Mohamed Sanu, the incomparable Julio Jones, and a veritable pupu platter of tight ends, taking all of those random ingredients and concocting an offering in a way that would’ve made an Iron Chef proud.

But Shanahan is gone, and being replaced by Steve Sarkisian. Here’s what you need to know about about Sarkisian: 1) the last time he was a head coach, he was fired because of a history of alcohol abuse; and 2) Sarkisian has never been an offensive coordinator in the NFL.

In the three seasons prior to 2016, Atlanta finished 21st, 12th, and 20th in the NFL in points per game. So tell us what sounds more realistic: Sarkisian implementing another league-leading, well-oiled offensive juggernaut? Or Atlanta’s offense reverting back to the mean, thanks to a coordinator who was so toxic that most college programs gave tremendous pause to the idea of hiring him?

So, scoff at our less 9.5 wins projection. Go ahead and overlook the fact that, in the three seasons before last year, Atlanta failed to reach nine wins, or the fact that they’ve ranked in the bottom six in the NFL in points allowed per game in three of the past four seasons.

We stand by our prediction that the Falcons will be suffering the “Super Bowl loser hangover” this upcoming season.

FF-Winners.com’s 2017-8 AFC West Preview

For all the buzz around the other teams in the division, it gets easily overlooked that the Kansas City Chiefs are the reigning division champions, coming off a 12-4 record last year. But the question around the Chiefs is whether this team can take that next step forward and make a deep postseason run, or will they take a step back given all the questions they have on offense. The defense shouldn’t miss a beat, with as many as five Pro Bowl-caliber players on defense — cornerback Marcus Peters, safety Eric Berry, outside linebackers Tamba Hali and Justin Houston, and inside linebacker Derrick Johnson — along with an emerging stud in defensive end Chris Jones, and a very solid free agent acquisition in defensive tackle Bennie Logan. But the offense, which ranked in the bottom half of the league in total yards (20th) and passing yards (19th) per game, has plenty of questions left to be answered this season. How does the Chiefs selection of quarterback Patrick Mahomes with their top pick in the 2017 NFL Draft affect the play of quarterback Alex Smith, whom Mahomes was drafted to replace? How will the Chiefs running game fare with rookie Kareem Hunt (the team’s 3rd round pick) taking over for Spencer Ware, who was lost to a season-ending injury in the preseason? And does the team have any receiver they can reliably trust, outside of Tyreek Hill, after releasing Jeremy Maclin in the offseason? It’s going to take every ounce of guidance that head coach Andy Reid can muster to get this team to the heights that many believe they’re capable of, given the aforementioned challenges.

Nobody will question whether the Oakland Raiders will have the capability to move the football and score a lot of points with their offense. Derek Carr is one of the most exciting young quarterbacks in the league. Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper are one of the most productive wide receiver duos in the NFL. The offensive line doesn’t get quite as much credit as it should, but it’s easily one of the three or four best units in the league. The unretired Marshawn Lynch should, at least in theory, provide some punch to the running game. No, the thing that everyone will question is whether Oakland can stop anyone from moving the football up and down the field against their defense, which finished last season giving up the seventh-most yards per game in the league last year. While the team used six of their nine draft picks in the 2017 NFL Draft on defensive players, the unit remains largely the same as the group from last year. Will the continuity, coupled with the addition of John Pagano as the Assistant Head Coach — Defense, be enough to get a serviceable performance from that side of the ball?

Less than two years removed from winning the Super Bowl, the Denver Broncos now find themselves amidst a major transition in the team’s direction. Gone are surefire Hall of Fame quarterback Peyton Manning, head coach Gary Kubiak, and venerated defensive coordinator Wade Phillips. New head coach Vance Joseph seemingly has his hands full, with a team that has a bevy of talented players, but a roster that’s been slowly depleted because of free agent defections and ineffective draft classes. The team’s calling card will remain its defense, considering the team still has the best pure edge rusher in the NFL (Von Miller) and the best pair of cornerbacks in the league (Aqib Talib and Chris Harris Jr.), but it may not be safe to assume they’ll be just as dominant has they have been in years past, considering how many key veterans they’ve lost from that group in recent years — most recently safety TJ Ward, whom the team released just days before the 2017 roster cut down date. On offense, the team still has yet to find it’s answer at quarterback, as they’ll continue to start Trevor Siemian under center, behind an offensive line that still has plenty of questions of its own.

The Chargers, who officially moved to Los Angeles this past offseason, will also have a new head coach along with a new home town. After parting ways with Mike McCoy, they brought in Anthony Lynn — the former interim head coach of the Buffalo Bills — as the new lead man, along with Gus Bradley as the new defensive coordinator. Lynn helped guide the Bills to the top-ranked rushing offense in the NFL in 2016, which only bodes well for running back Melvin Gordon, who enjoyed a breakout season of his own last year. On defense, Bradley will oversee a defense featuring breakout edge rusher Joey Bosa — the Defensive Rookie of the Year last year (voted by his peers) — and Melvin Ingram, along with cornerbacks Jason Verrett and Casey Hayward (the latter of whom led the NFL in interceptions last year). With Philip Rivers under center, the return of Keenan Allen at wide receiver, and second year tight end Hunter Henry emerging as yet another red zone weapon, the Chargers could be the biggest wildcard of this division, and a darkhorse playoff contender.

VIDEO PLAYBOOK: Hate Punting? Fake It!

 

 

Source: http://www.thefantasyauthority.com/redraft/9-fantasy-football-sleepers/

VIDEO: Every Antonio Brown NFL Touchdown Ever Ever Ever

In honor of Pittsburgh Steelers WR Antonio Brown’s 29th birthday we take a look at every career touchdown!

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eXtQI8BAOoY

FF-Winners.com’s 2017-8 AFC South Preview

There’s a reason why many people believe that the AFC South is essentially the Junior Varsity division of the NFL. All four teams have plenty of interesting young players and essential pieces needed to build a successful team, but they have even bigger questions that are hindering them from truly being among the contenders in their conference.

Perhaps no team in the NFL fits the “this team could be really good if they just had an answer at quarterback” description more than the Houston Texans. Needless to say, the $64 million gamble they took on quarterback Brock Osweiler last season turned out to be an utter catastrophe, to the point where they actually gave Cleveland a 2nd round pick in the 2018 NFL Draft, in exchange for the Browns taking Osweiler off the Texans’ hands. If they can even get replacement-level play from under center, courtesy of either Tom Savage or first round pick Deshaun Watson, this team has a lot of interesting pieces assembled. DeAndre Hopkins is one of the most lethal wide receivers in the NFL. Lamar Miller is a very capable running back. There might not be a defense in the AFC with a better front seven than that of the Texans, and no team in the NFL has three fear-inspiring pass rushers like Houston has with Jadeveon Clowney, Whitney Mercilus, and the return of JJ Watt. If Houston’s offense doesn’t do its job this season, the seat that head coach Bill O’Brien is currently sitting on may begin to get uncomfortably warm.

The Tennessee Titans have become one of the “trendy” picks to win the AFC South and/or make the playoffs in 2017 by the media and fans, especially given the fact that they finished the season with a 5-2 record over their last seven games, en route to a 9-7 record overall. But for all the intrigue around the development of quarterback Marcus Mariota, the “exotic smash mouth” running game featuring Demarco Murray and Derrick Henry, the bevy of pass catchers this team has assembled, and a workmanlike group of defenders on the other side of the football, this team still has a lot to prove before they’re anointed as the next up-and-comer in the NFL. Mariota has sustained season-ending injuries over each of the past two seasons. Head coach Mike Mularkey has a career head coaching record of 27-46, and has never taken a team to the postseason. Murray is a few months away from his 30th birthday, the age when running backs start to fall off the proverbial cliff. The secondary was one of the worst in the NFL last season, and while they invested in the cornerback spot via free agency (signing Logan Ryan) and the draft (taking Adoree’ Jackson from USC), it’s far from solved. So, while t wouldn’t be that big of a surprise to see the Titans usurp the AFC South crown from the Texans, it wouldn’t be any surprise if they fell surprise if Mularkey’s crew fell short of expectations either.

The darkhorse team in this division is undoubtedly the Indianapolis Colts, but the entire outlook of their season rests on the surgically-repaired shoulder of Andrew Luck. Only days away from the start of the 2017 regular season, head coach Chuck Pagano claims that he hasn’t seen Luck throw the football normally this year. Indianapolis is planning to start backup quarterback Scott Tolzien in their season opener against the Los Angeles Rams, but how long will Tolzien have to continue to play in place of Luck? That’s a question that virtually nobody in and around the team has been able to answer, and that dark cloud of uncertainty has cast a big shadow over what was otherwise a promising offseason. The Colts finally rid themselves with the general ineptitude of former General Manager Ryan Grigson, and replaced him with well-respected personnel czar Chris Ballard. In Ballard’s first draft, he took three guys who can help the perpetually beleaguered Colts defense immediately: safety Malik Hooker, cornerback Quincy Wilson, and edge rusher Tarell Basham. Running back Marlon Mack, whom the team also took in this year’s draft, presents an interesting change-of-pace option for the ageless Frank Gore as well. But as long as the cornerstone of this franchise is standing on the sidelines and not wearing a uniform, this team is still running in place.

Ironically, who continually rounds out the bottom of the AFC South — the Jacksonville Jaguars — find themselves in the same boat as the team that won this division last year. Blake Bortles was supposed to be the franchise quarterback for this team, and yet he’s turned into a quarterback version of Benjamin Button: he only gets worse with more experience. There have been plenty of headlines this offseason about Bortles’ teammates making their displeasure towards his poor caliber of play publicly known, to the point where the team seriously considered replacing him with backup quarterback Chad Henne; Henne didn’t get the job because he played equally as terrible in the preseason, during what was presumably his audition to be the starting quarterback. The mess under center overshadows what is otherwise a deceptively loaded roster. The depth this team has at both the running back (Leonard Fournette, Chris Ivory, and TJ Yeldon) — and wide receiver (Allen Robinson, Allen Hurns, Marqise Lee, DeDe Westbrook) positions would be the envy of many teams around the league. The defensive front four has the potential to be one of the very best groups in the league. They have two Pro Bowl-caliber cornerbacks (Jalen Ramsey and AJ Bouye) and a pair of the rangiest linebackers in the NFL (Telvin Smith and Myles Jack). But the sheer incompetence this team has received from the quarterback position is the main reason they have never been able to finally emerge from the basement of this division.

FF-Winners.com’s Opening Week 2017-8 Quarterback Power Rankings

Quarterbacks are the powerhouses of each NFL team and play a large part in how the team does in the upcoming season. With the 2017/2018 NFL season looming on the horizon, knowing how the rankings stand will go a long way to helping you to place your bets for the upcoming season.

A great example is how the Dallas Cowboys fared at the bookmakers in the 2015 season. Their star quarterback Tony Romo ended up being out for most of the season due to injury. Before his accident, the Cowboys were 3 – 1, but without him, they quickly fell to 1 – 11, seriously disappointing some punters who had placed futures bets. NFL betting is popular across the globe and even betting NZ sites offer a selection of markets. Thus, the more information available about the players, their performance and the teams, the better,

A Season Predictor

Choosing the 2017 power quarterbacks is just an idea of what may happen throughout the season. Of course, there is the potential for injury, surprises and more to upset the apple cart. That being said, most experts tend to agree on the ranked order which does give us some idea of how the season may play out.

Interestingly, some of the quarterbacks for 2017 are brand new to the NFL. Los Angeles Rams quarterback Jared Goff, for example, is only a tender 22, which may either place him at an advantage over his older opponents, or a disadvantage due to his youth. For this reason, he is last on our list at number 32. Speed and agility may be his, but experience and sheer strength are usually some of the bonuses of age and practice. These newbies on the block are relatively untried, and although we can look back on their play records, how they fare against the big boys is a giant question mark until the season actually begins.

Ranking Considerations

The quarterback rankings have been chosen with care, taking into account both their current career stats, win-loss records, general performances, winning percentages and playoff victories.

Our top five ranked quarterbacks will probably come as no surprise to anyone. They are the pinnacle of the sport currently, with great career stats and a handful of Super Bowl wins between them. Anything can happen on the field, but the fact remains that these super athletes are most likely to take their teams to victory over their younger, less experienced counterparts.

And so, without further ado, we bring you a list of the 32 ranked power quarterbacks for the start of the 2017 season.

32. Jared Goff — Los Angeles Rams

31. Cody Kessler — Cleveland Browns (Projected Starter)

30. Josh McCown — New York Jets (Projected Starter)

29. Blake Bortles — Jacksonville Jaguars

28. Trevor Siemian — Denver Broncos

27. Sam Bradford — Minnesota Vikings

26. Mike Glennon — Chicago Bears

25. Deshaun Watson — Houston Texans (Projected Starter)

24. Brian Hoyer — San Francisco 49ers

23. Tyrod Taylor — Buffalo Bills

22. Alex Smith — Kansas City Chiefs

21. Eli Manning — New York Giants

20. Andy Dalton — Cincinnati Bengals

19. Carson Wentz — Philadelphia Eagles

18. Joe Flacco — Baltimore Ravens

17. Philip Rivers — Los Angeles Chargers

16. Carson Palmer — Arizona Cardinals

15. Jay Cutler — Miami Dolphins

14. Marcus Mariota — Tennessee Titans

13. Matthew Stafford — Detroit Lions

12. Cam Newton — Carolina Panthers

11. Kirk Cousins — Washington Redskins

10. Jameis Winston — Tampa Bay Buccaneers

9. Andrew Luck — Indianapolis Colts

8. Russell Wilson — Seattle Seahawks

7. Dak Prescott — Dallas Cowboys

6. Ben Roethlisberger — Pittsburgh Steelers

5. Drew Brees — New Orleans Saints

4. Derek Carr — Oakland Raiders

3. Aaron Rodgers — Green Bay Packers

2. Matt Ryan — Atlanta Falcons

1. Tom Brady — New England Patriots


Introduction to NFL Betting

Guide to Betting on the NFL

The NFL is the National Football League of America and is USA professional football’s highest level. The annual season ends with the Super Bowl which is the grand finale and one of the most anticipated, viewed and bet on sporting events in the world.

Sports betting on the NFL is hugely popular and many bettors follow and bet on this league. There is a huge range of bets available that range from futures bets that can be placed well in advance, to live betting options which can be placed during a game as it unfolds.

NFL Betting at Online Sportsbooks

Online betting or using the mobile platform is the preferred method of placing bets on the NFL. It offers convenience and a wider range of betting options. Bettors should however make sure that they are legally accepted at the site and that the site is licensed and trusted.

When an online sportsbook is trusted and offers the best NFL betting options, it will provide top security, safe and secure banking methods, bonus offers and NFL odds that are as accurate as possible. A top sportsbook will also feature a huge array of markets, and whether you want to get great AFL betting odds, bet on horse races, or wager on who will win in a tennis tournament, you should be able to do so all in one place.

Tips for Successful NFL Betting

Choosing trusted online sportsbooks will mean the best possible information about which teams are favoured to win games, and which teams are predicted to make it to the Super Bowl. Consider this information along with any changes in team members, any injuries and any other type of occurrence that may change the odds.

Finding the best possible types of bets is also beneficial as bets range in type, value and have different odds of winning. It is best to have, at the very least, a basic understanding of how the different NFL betting options work.

The Various NFL Betting Options

Bettors will find a wide selection when it comes to the different types of bets that they can place on the NFL, or even the Super Bowl. Each site has its own selection of bets and rules about placing them, so choose a site that has the best options.

The NFL is considered to be the sporting event offering the most betting options, so there is plenty to choose from. Betting options with better odds and live betting options do tend to offer lower pay outs and vice versa, but there are several value bets around too.

Bets can be placed on who will win a game, who will win the Super Bowl and what the point spread will be for a team. Bets for the team to score the most at the first quarter and the first half are available along with predicting whether the total score will be more than a predetermined number or less than a predetermined number. Futures bets are available and are placed on any particular game or NFL event that is to come.

Parlay bets are those consisting of various props and betting options where any sort of possible occurrence can be bet on. These are most common with live betting and include anything from which team will be reaching the end zone first and which of the two teams in a game will be scoring first to which entertainer will be opening the Super Bowl.

NFL betting is great fun, and it can be very lucrative too.