You’ll learn that the real trick is factoring in multiple different stats or numbers and weighing some more than others… that’s when it really becomes a model. But this video is perfect for teaching the CONCEPT of power ratings and modeling.
2024-25 NFL Computer Predictions and Rankings
Beating the NFL Pointspread with AI and ML
Create Your Own NFL Power Rankings
You’ll learn that the real trick is factoring in multiple different stats or numbers and weighing some more than others… that’s when it really becomes a model. But this video is perfect for teaching the CONCEPT of power ratings and modeling.
NFL Betting News & Power Rankings 2020 WEEK 16!
Playoff Field Taking Shape
After Week 15 we are getting a clear idea about the contenders and the pretenders in the NFL. Let’s take a look at the power rankings for the top five teams in each conference still in postseason contention. All playoff-eligible teams will have accompanying Super Bowl odds in parentheses and we will also see what the NFL point spreads are on their upcoming games this week.
AFC Power Rankings
Kansas City Chiefs (13-1, +175) – Patrick Mahomes is the NFL’s new king and why wouldn’t his team be listed at the top of the AFC heap? There is little doubt the defending Super Bowl champs will be getting a first-round bye to lick their wounds and get ready to feast on whichever team draws the short straw and advances to meet them in the second round. Kansas City is currently listed as 10-point favorites over the Falcons this week.
Buffalo Bills (11-3, +1200) – Josh Allen is a rising star and anyone who took shots at the 6’5” Wyoming product is sitting silently now. The Bills defense has not been quite as good as many suspected heading into this season but the addition of Stefon Diggs to the offense has more than compensated for that slight regression. The Bills Mafia has finally found the enforcers they need to defend their turf.
Pittsburgh Steelers (11-2, +1200) – The Steelers will most likely be 12-2 by the time this gets published, as a Monday night date with the Bengals looms. Pittsburgh was the last undefeated team in the league but was unceremoniously dumped by Washington and followed that up with another setback to the emerging Buffalo Bills. The Steelers are being listed as 2 ½ point favorites over the Colts this week.
Indianapolis Colts (10-4, +3300) – Phillip Rivers left his longtime home in San Diego for the midwestern feel of Indianapolis and it’s worked out just fine for both parties. The Colts needed a bona fide quarterback and they got one with the 39-year-old Pro Bowler. Currently in a death struggle with Tennessee for AFC South supremacy, the Colts are 2 ½ point underdogs to the Steelers this week in what should be a marquee matchup.
Tennessee Titans (10-4, +2800) – With all due respect to the upstart Cleveland Browns, we have to give a slight edge to the Titans, a team that went all the way to the AFC Championship game last year before they bowed to the Chiefs. Ryan Tannehill’s career has made a Lazarus-like comeback and the Titans are a tough out for any opponent. Tennessee is being listed as 3 ½ point road underdogs to the Packers this week.
NFC Power Rankings
Green Bay Packers (11-3, +600) – The Packers are the favorites to dethrone the Chiefs this season as Super Bowl champs but that will be a tall task to be sure. Aaron Rodgers has been playing like a man possessed, and that might have something to do with the Packers drafting quarterback Jordan Love in the first-round as the heir-apparent to the throne. Needless to say, Rodgers isn’t going anywhere, anytime soon but the similarities between this situation and his own when waiting for Brett Favre to cede the reins is striking. The Packers are 3 ½ point home favorites over the Titans in Week 16.
New Orleans Saints (10-4, +800) – Drew Brees is another aging veteran leading his team to the promised land but he had been doing so on the sidelines after suffering several broken ribs and a collapsed lung against the 49ers in Week 10. He recently returned to action in a 32-29 loss to Kansas City which might have been a Super Bowl preview. The Saints are currently installed as seven-point favorites over the Vikings in a special Friday night matchup.
Seattle Seahawks (10-4, +1200) – Ironically, the team known for bone-jarring defenses in the past has one of the most porous this season. Yet, the offense led by Russell Wilson is so prolific that they have been able to overcome their defensive shortcomings. The Seahawks have won four of their last five but will be tested this weekend when they face the LA Rams as two-point home favorites.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-4, +1200) – What a difference a quarterback makes, right? The Bucs have been on the outside looking in when the playoffs start for over a decade but now that Tom Terrific is pulling the levers in the Sunshine State, a postseason spot is there’s for the taking. The Bucs rallied from 17 points down to claim a 31-27 decision over the Falcons last week and are being dealt as 8 ½ point road dogs against the Lions this week.
Arizona Cardinals (8-6, +6000) – While many would put the Rams somewhere in the top five, it’s simply too difficult to do so after they lost to the worst team in football this past week. If you didn’t know, Los Angeles dropped a 23-20 decision to the Jets which makes the Cardinals the better team. That might be black and white logic at work but Kyler Murray is the real deal and will make noise in the postseason, just you wait. Arizona has been installed as 3 ½ point favorites over the 49ers on Saturday.
NFL.COM’s 2020 Postdraft Power Rankings
Colin Cowherd’s Top 10 Power Rankings for Week 16
This video covers the basics and some of the nuances of developing and using computer models to forecast football games.
This article may give you some ideas you can use to
develop your own NFL forecasting system:
Quarterbacks are the powerhouses of each NFL team and play a large part in how the team does in the upcoming season. With the 2017/2018 NFL season looming on the horizon, knowing how the rankings stand will go a long way to helping you to place your bets for the upcoming season.
A great example is how the Dallas Cowboys fared at the bookmakers in the 2015 season. Their star quarterback Tony Romo ended up being out for most of the season due to injury. Before his accident, the Cowboys were 3 – 1, but without him, they quickly fell to 1 – 11, seriously disappointing some punters who had placed futures bets. NFL betting is popular across the globe and even betting NZ sites offer a selection of markets. Thus, the more information available about the players, their performance and the teams, the better,
A Season Predictor
Choosing the 2017 power quarterbacks is just an idea of what may happen throughout the season. Of course, there is the potential for injury, surprises and more to upset the apple cart. That being said, most experts tend to agree on the ranked order which does give us some idea of how the season may play out.
Interestingly, some of the quarterbacks for 2017 are brand new to the NFL. Los Angeles Rams quarterback Jared Goff, for example, is only a tender 22, which may either place him at an advantage over his older opponents, or a disadvantage due to his youth. For this reason, he is last on our list at number 32. Speed and agility may be his, but experience and sheer strength are usually some of the bonuses of age and practice. These newbies on the block are relatively untried, and although we can look back on their play records, how they fare against the big boys is a giant question mark until the season actually begins.
Ranking Considerations
The quarterback rankings have been chosen with care, taking into account both their current career stats, win-loss records, general performances, winning percentages and playoff victories.
Our top five ranked quarterbacks will probably come as no surprise to anyone. They are the pinnacle of the sport currently, with great career stats and a handful of Super Bowl wins between them. Anything can happen on the field, but the fact remains that these super athletes are most likely to take their teams to victory over their younger, less experienced counterparts.
And so, without further ado, we bring you a list of the 32 ranked power quarterbacks for the start of the 2017 season.
32. Jared Goff — Los Angeles Rams
31. Cody Kessler — Cleveland Browns (Projected Starter)
30. Josh McCown — New York Jets (Projected Starter)
29. Blake Bortles — Jacksonville Jaguars
28. Trevor Siemian — Denver Broncos
27. Sam Bradford — Minnesota Vikings
26. Mike Glennon — Chicago Bears
25. Deshaun Watson — Houston Texans (Projected Starter)
24. Brian Hoyer — San Francisco 49ers
23. Tyrod Taylor — Buffalo Bills
22. Alex Smith — Kansas City Chiefs
21. Eli Manning — New York Giants
20. Andy Dalton — Cincinnati Bengals
19. Carson Wentz — Philadelphia Eagles
18. Joe Flacco — Baltimore Ravens
17. Philip Rivers — Los Angeles Chargers
16. Carson Palmer — Arizona Cardinals
15. Jay Cutler — Miami Dolphins
14. Marcus Mariota — Tennessee Titans
13. Matthew Stafford — Detroit Lions
12. Cam Newton — Carolina Panthers
11. Kirk Cousins — Washington Redskins
10. Jameis Winston — Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9. Andrew Luck — Indianapolis Colts
8. Russell Wilson — Seattle Seahawks
7. Dak Prescott — Dallas Cowboys
6. Ben Roethlisberger — Pittsburgh Steelers
5. Drew Brees — New Orleans Saints
4. Derek Carr — Oakland Raiders
3. Aaron Rodgers — Green Bay Packers
2. Matt Ryan — Atlanta Falcons
1. Tom Brady — New England Patriots
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