Inside this secret black book we uncovered some real gems!
1. “Since 2005, road underdogs with a losing record have covered the spread at a shocking 55.5% clip from 2005 to 2019!”
2. “In Week 1, non-playoff teams cover the spread at an amazing 65% rate when facing off against a team who made the playoffs the year prior.”
3. “When a team loses a game by more than 21 points, they cover the spread the following week at a 59% rate since 2005”.
4. “From 2000 to 2018, an NFL team that rushes for 30-plus yards more than their opponent covers the spread at an almost unbelievable 75% rate.” (The difficulty with applying this statistic to your betting strategy is that you can’t rely (necessarily) on past data, but rather, you must predict how the rushing yards will play out for each team.)
5. “From 2003 to 2018, teams that have a winning percentage of .800 or better after Week 12 have a 43.6% win rate against the spread.” Thus, underdogs in these situations are a particularly profitable play.

The Safety is one of the most awesome plays to watch in an NFL Game.
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Herschel “Espresso” Walker is an American former professional football player, bobsledder, sprinter, and mixed martial artist. He played college football for the University of Georgia, earned consensus All-American honors three times and won the 1982 Heisman Trophy.
Derrick Henry led the league in Rushing yards last season and then went on one of the most dominant runs in NFL History, shattering records left and right. He pulled his Tennessee Titans to the AFC championship game where they were eventually beaten by the Superbowl champs, Patrick Mahomes and Kansas city Chiefs. 
“Yesterday, we saw the Lakers upset the Clippers 112-103 as 2.5-point dogs. The important takeaway, however, was the total. It opened at 227.5, closed at 226.5 and landed on 115, easily cashing the under. Historically, when two elite teams go head-to-head the under has been a smart bet. This is likely due to an added emphasis on defense, a more competitive effort and also a heavier-than-usual public bias toward betting the other between two great teams.
By Josh Appelbaum (VSiN.com)
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