Thursday Nite Betting Preview: Eagles Versus Packers

8:20 p.m. ET: Philadelphia Eagles (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (3-0)

Tuley’s Take on Thursday Night Football . . .
After two Must-Not-See TV games the past two Thursday nights, we get a marquee NFL matchup with the Philadelphia Eagles visiting the Green Bay Packers (8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network).

It has lost some of its luster with the injury-plagued Eagles’ slow start (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS), but QB Carson Wentz wasn’t in a panic in his press conference the other day and I almost expected him to pull an Aaron Rodgers and tell fans to “R-E-L-A-X.” Despite their relative woes, Wentz and the offense is still averaging 25.3 points per game (the Packers only average 19.3) and their losses to the Falcons and Lions both could have been wins (though admittedly they were lucky to escape with a come-from-behind victory over the Redskins in the season-opener).

Still, I still have the Eagles rated as the better team and there’s definite value in getting more than a field goal.

Granted, the Packers are off to a great start (3-0 SU & ATS) and are a 4-point favorites as of Wednesday night after getting bet at high as -5.5 on Monday, but I’m ready to fade them as they’re not as good as their record indicates. I’m especially not buying the narrative that they have a dominant defense (allowing an NFL-best 11.7 points per game) as they benefited from catching the Bears before their offense got in sync and the Vikings would have scored more and beaten them if not for Kirk Cousins’ unforced errors.

While the best bet is on the Eagles +4, I also like Over 46 as both offenses should have success and this total is shaded a little low as Unders are 8-2 so far in NFL primetime games this season (and I’m willing to fade that trend as well).

The play: Eagles +4

Get Tuley’s Takes in this week’s Point Spread Weekly or on VSiN.com.


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Bears Growl and Lions Roar on America’s Thanksgiving Day 2018

It’s a skirmish of NFC North opponents in the Motor City to commence week 12 activity in the NFL on Thanksgiving. The Chicago Bears are out and about as they make the trek to confront the Detroit Lions Thursday evening. Chicago knocked off Minnesota 25-20 at home on Sunday night to keep their teeth on the division lead. Detroit held tight for a 20-19 win at home over Carolina Sunday evening in their last challenge. The Bears claim a 98-74-5 advantage in the history between the groups,including a 34-22 win at home in the first meeting this season on November 11.

CHICAGO BEARS

Chicago rung up their fourth straight victory as they stole the Vikings picnic basket in a clash of the top two teams in the NFC North race. The Bears currently hope to bring down another divisional enemy  in order to eat the Central Division’s lunch. Chicago led 14-3 after 3 quarters and did what’s needed scoring to hold off Minnesota’s final quarter test. The two groups turned the ball over  multiple times however the Bears had a picnic-six that helped them chomp the win. Chicago is 2-2 ATS on the road while they are 3-1 straight up on those camping trips.

DETROIT LIONS
Detroit snapped a three game losing slide as they figured out how to hold off the Panthers, to a limited extent because of luck and a couple unique team miscues via Carolina. The Lions hope to chomp consecutive wins with a goal of getting back to 0.500 on the season . Detroit was out gained 387-309 in the game: the two groups finished  with 20 first downs. The Lions controlled the clock 31:40 to 28:20. So, had Carolina not missed an extra  point, a short field goal and a two point try, things could have turned in an unexpected way. Detroit is 3-2 ATS at home this season while the UNDER is 3-2 in those games.

OUTLOOK
The two teams come into this with wins last week. The Bears have won four straight and have opened up breathing room in the NFC North race. Chicago needs to get wins where they can given that they have the Rams, Packers and Vikings ahead. The Lions ripped  their way to a victory over the Panthers yet that probably won’t help much. We saw the Bears growl past the Lions 11 days back in a game where Chicago was 26-7 at the half. Chicago could have set up more scores had Cody Parkey not banged the upright on two field goal attempts and a couple of point after attempts. It will be a tough test for the Lions, particularly if Kerryon Johnson’s knee damage that he sustained against Carolina Sunday is serious. Enjoy!

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