How to Apply Artificial Intelligence to Fantasy Football

There are many ways to use artificial intelligence and machine learning to enhance one’s sports betting and gaming results. This article may give you some ideas:

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Week 5 Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Grab Bag


While Week 4 featured another string of memorable, exciting games, several of them came at a cost, as numerous big-name fantasy stars suffered injuries. Fortunately, a few of those players will head …

Source: http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000855040/article/week-5-fantasy-football-waiverwire-targets

NFL Fantasy Football 2017: Sleeper Quarterbacks for Your Consideration

Everyone is looking forward to the kickoff of the 2017 NFL season and not just because of the New England Patriots/Kansas City Chiefs game that will get things started. Certainly the NFL betting odds this season are worth the hype.

 

Everyone wants to know whether or not the Patriots will be dethroned and who will carry out the deed. But for fantasy football enthusiasts, there is a whole other prize at stake. If you are part of a fantasy football league, then the chances are high that you already drafted.

 

But if you haven’t yet, there are a few significant quarterbacks you might have slept on but who most definitely deserve your consideration for the 2017 season. Sleeper quarterbacks like this are easy to miss.

 

But if you are looking for a QB late in the draft, these guys could make all the difference to your prospects this season.

 

The first name on the list has to be Jay Cutler. Maybe you thought you would never have to give Cutler another thought. After all, he seemed pretty determined to retire in the offseason. You probably think that he is already off somewhere polishing his broadcaster abilities.

 

But you are wrong. Dolphins Coach Adam Gase threw his retirement plans out the window and dragged him back into the game, not only because of the experience he brings to the table as a former Chicago Bears and Denver Broncos QB but also because Ryan Tannehill was sidelined by a knee injury that has pretty much ended his season.

 

Miami couldn’t afford to continue without  Cutler. So he is back in the game with a one-year deal, so do not count him out. This is as solid a first or second quarterback as they get.

 

Brian Hoyer closely follows Cutler on this list. Some people want to discount him because he can barely keep C.J. Beathard off his back. The San Francisco 49ers rookie is definitely impressive. But Brian is all but certain to keep his starting job this season.

 

And you know that Kyle Shanahan, the new coach, is going to get the best out of him. That is what Kyle does; he takes talent and polishes it. Brian is definitely a talent. He delivered a solid performance in the preseason.

 

The fact that he has largely gone undrafted is surprising. But he still makes a great last-round QB pick; so you might as well pounce on him.

 

DeShone Kizer has the most to prove of the bunch because no one knows whether or not he will be productive for the Browns’ offense this season. But the preseason gave everyone plenty of reason to keep an eye on Kizer. His 8 carries for 47 yards showed just how mobile he can be.

 

And with a solid team of receivers by his side, Kizer’s stock is all but guaranteed to rise.

 

People do not know what to make of Deshaun Watson of the Houston Texans. He isn’t expected to start. But do not be too quick to count him out. The one person standing in his way is Tom Savage.

 

But Tom is only guaranteed to start in Week 1. The veteran is unlikely to hold out for the whole season. So expect Watson’s potential to explode in the near future.

 

Nine 2017 Fantasy Football Sleepers That Pros are Drafting

One of the most underrated avenues to separate yourself from your league-mates is hammering the back end of the draft with high-upside dart throws. The typical drafter will go the safe route and draft players based on name value. Here’s a  tip: don’t do that! The latter part of the draft is where professional fantasy football players separate themselves  from amateurs.

Here are nine sleeper picks you need to consider:
Source: http://www.thefantasyauthority.com/redraft/9-fantasy-football-sleepers/

Thoughts On NFL Fantasy Football After Preseason Week 1

There is no better time than now for fans to draft players to their fantasy football teams. Sunday’s games have a lot to tell about the players and their value to their teams. Based on their performance, you can tell what player deserves to be on your team, and who is not worth the investment. Read on to get more insight on the NFL odds for week 1.

Could Robby Anderson be the New York Jets’ No. 1?

Anderson’s performance last season was nothing if not sterling, which is why he really ought to be a top priority for the Jets. With 14 receptions, 29 targets, 240 yards and 2 scores last week, he is well above most other players. He is a little over 6 feet tall, which makes him the tallest receiver. He might not weigh much at 190 lbs, but there is no denying that he is talented. Despite McCown’s attack on Saturday, Robby still deserves a place as one of the best New York Jets players.

The Patriots’ Backfield Uncertainty

There is little clarity on the status of the Patriots’ backfield. Dion Lewis seems to bear the bulk of the work after veteran player Mike Gilislee’s hamstring injury. Last season, Lewis did not get much time on the field due to injury, but this season seems more promising for him. According to many fantasy football enthusiasts, players like Rex Burkhead and James White seem invaluable, but the team’s coach Bill Belichick thinks that Lewis is just as important to the team.

Jameis Winston’s Astounding Performance

Winston beat Mike Evans with 7 targets and Cameron Brate with 19 and 8 yard gains, which is really not surprising. He remains a valuable player for his team, and one that you should consider drafting to your fantasy team. The case is different for rookie O.J Howard who despite showing great potential during the game remains a risky investment. Evan’s regression is a mere rumor, and since he has proven himself in other seasons, you might want to draft him into your team.

Is Kenny Galloday The Lions’ Star?

After two touchdowns, Lions’ rookie receiver enjoyed his well- earned time in the limelight. He has both flair and athletic ability, although this does not guarantee him a spot in the fantasy football community. This is because the Lions players rise through the ranks in a designated way. Currently, Marvin Jones, Eric Ebron and Theo Riddick are above Galloday in the pecking order. He might however be lucky since Ebron is prone to injury and Jones suffered huge statistical drop, so Galloday might still get his chance to shine.

Who will be the Dallas Backfield?

After Darren McFadden’s performance on Sunday, there is no doubt that he will be the Dallas backfield. He might be getting old and losing some of his exceptional flexibility as he turns thirty before the season kicks off, but he is still one of the team’s best players. Elliot’s pending suspension makes him a risky investment for your fantasy team. It is also hard to guess what a fair price for Zeke would be.

Colts Panic Due to Andrew Luck’s Absence

Luck has been missing in action for a while now after he suffered a shoulder injury that needed to be surgically repaired. This veteran quarterback’s absence from the field is unsettling to say the least. To make matters worse, his backup, Scott Tolzien, is not half as inspiring as Luck is. The team’s manager has not clearly stated that Luck won’t be joining the team, so there is still a glimmer of hope that he might return.

Rookies prove themselves

2017 seems like the year for rookie running backs to prove themselves. These include such players as Leonard Fournette, Dalvin Cook, Joe Mixon, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara. It is somewhat reminiscent of the year 2014 where rookies like Odell Beckham Jr., Kelvin Benjamin and Mike Evans proved to be talented wide outs. Some rookie quarterbacks to watch out for include Deshaune Watson, Mitchell Trubisky and Deshone Kizer. Although it is clear that these rookies have immense talent, it is best to first observe them before drafting them for your team.

Fantasy Football: Don’t Buy Into The Hype of the Rookie Runners

Who knew that fantasy football could be so complicated? Up to thirty running backs selected in the 2017 NFL Draft season are expected to make a noticeable impact in fantasy football in the immediate future, and you can only imagine what that will do for the NFL betting picks for the 2018 season.

Rookies like Christian McCaffrey, Leonard Fournette, and Joe Mixon were selected in the first fifteen rounds of the ten-team NFL.Com draft. If that wasn’t enough, there is no end to the level of hype analysts are raising over Jamaal Williams, Kareem Hunt and Joe Williams.

It is hardly surprising that everyone expects depth charts to be dominated by these youngsters and more. And you would be hard-pressed to make a solid argument suggesting that this hype isn’t warranted.

Then again, does it make sense to overvalue players that haven’t even run a lap on an NFL gridiron? And it isn’t like this sort of hype has produced notable results in the past. Prognostications about rookies, especially the optimistic kind, rarely end well. Just look at DeMarco Murray. Everyone thought that his time with the Tennessee Titans was over after Derrick Henry, a Heisman winner was drafted. Murray went on to dominate that season.

If that sounds like it could be an isolated case, consider this; of all the rookie runners that have risen in the last decade, only two dozen have appeared in the top 25 in fantasy points. If those numbers do not make sense to you, that means only three rookie runners a year ranked in the top 25.

Whenever the draft season comes around and the hype surrounding rookies begins to rise, analysts and fans like to throw out names like Matt Forte, Chris Johnson and Jonathan Stewart from 2008. Those guys made it to the top 10 and it was a big deal. But one cannot ignore the fact that Rashard Mendenhall, Jamaal Charles and other high profile runners performed well below expectations.

Looking at the 2012 class, you can point to Doug Martin, Trent Richardson, and Alfred Morris as standouts. However, anyone who is anyone knows that 2012 didn’t have many talented options. The point is this: every rule has a few exceptions, and it seems a like a lot of analysts and fans in fantasy football are making their picks based on the exceptions instead of the rule.

Think about this. There have been 108 running backs in the NFL that have been selected in the first four rounds of the football draft over the previous decade. And among those running backs, only twenty-one have ever finished in the top 10.

Think about how demoralizing that figure should be, and then ask why rookie running backs are still being overvalued today.

Some rationale should be applied during the draft. And do not use the anxiety spreading online about rookie runners as an excuse to avoid rookie runners. That isn’t the take away here. The point here is this: be smart. Do not overreach for rookies. There are picks like Mixon that, while clearly impressive, should be saved for the third and the fourth rounds rather than the second. You do not want to miss on a player in the top fifty.

So, be smart.

10 Simple Fantasy Football Strategies for 2016

10 fantasy football ideas for your forthcoming drafts:

– Take a flyer on Browns pass receiver Terrelle Pryor, however not prematurely. That could be a problem in Northeast Ohio, where fantasy owners may reach for him. Take him as a WR3 alternative. Proceed with caution when targeting Josh Gordon, suspended for the very first 4 games.

– Some Sleepers for 2016: QB, Marcus Mariota, Titans; RB, Ryan Mathews, Eagles; WR, Kevin White, Bears; TE, Ladarius Green, Steelers

– Don’t relax between rounds. Keep concentrated, and also target young running backs and also receivers entering their second or 3rd year in the league. Many times, receivers catch on by Year 3 with their teams. Former Browns WR Travis Benjamin, now with the Chargers, and the Colts’ Donte Moncrief are two examples. An additional is the Dolphins’ Jarvis Landry, he’s been very good the last 2 seasons (194 catches), but might actually blast off in 2016!

– Remember regarding the likes of receivers Kelvin Benjamin of the Panthers and also the Bears’ White– skilled men that missed all of last season with injuries.

– The number of running backs should you draft? A whole lot. More crucial, be energetic throughout your organization’s waiver sessions. Running backs get injured– a lot. Be ready for significant shuffling at RB1 and RB2 throughout the season.

– Waiting for quarterbacks: The most effective method may be to draft the Patriots’ Tom Brady, he will miss the first 4 games of the season due to suspension, but should be outstanding when he returns. But there need to be a lot of strong choices for a four-week fill-in to replace Brady.

– When it comes to the consensus fantasy QB, the Panthers’ Web cam Newton, he’s one more example of a gamer blasting off in Year 3 with a team. He may distance himself even further from the crowd in 2016!

– Do not draft a defense/special team until your draft’s second-to-last round.

– Do not pick a kicker until the last round.

– In a situation you may have missed , Steelers running back Le’Veon Bell’s four-game suspension was just recently decreased to three, yet we wouldn’t draft him early. Three games is still a lot to miss!

FF-Winners.Com Reveals 3 Amazing Fantasy Bargain Sleepers for 2016-7

DeSean Jackson, WR, Washington Redskins — Jackson is going absurdly low in many fantasy football drafts — being taken outside the top 30 wide receivers in most leagues — mostly on account of misconceptions of his durability, production, and attitude (almost all of which are totally false). Yes, Jackson missed six games last season with a troublesome hamstring injury, but he was totally healthy from November onwards last year, playing in nine of the Redskins last 10 games of the season, including the postseason (he was held out of a meaningless game in Week 17 against Dallas). Prior to 2015, he played in 31 of 32 games over his last two seasons. In the eight regular season games that Jackson did play in last season, he recorded 30 catches for 528 yards and four touchdowns; project that over the course of a 16 game season, and that’s over 1,000 yards receiving and eight touchdowns. In 2014, Jackson had 1,169 yards and six receiving touchdowns with the Redskins revolving door at quarterback; so, the questions about his level of productivity are totally baseless. Finally, Jackson might’ve griped his way out of Philadelphia, but he’s been a great teammate in Washington. He’s looked the best he has in training camps, so far, as a member of the Redskins, and he spent the entire offseason working hard at the team facility. Jackson could be in line for a pretty big season in 2016, perhaps in line with the numbers we used to see him put up in Philadelphia during his prime.

Vincent Jackson, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Similarly, another wide receiver named “Jackson” is falling to absurdly low depths in most fantasy drafts — often being taken outside of the top 45 wide receivers — because of injuries curtailing his production in 2015. Vincent Jackson put up only 33 receptions, 543 yards, and three touchdowns in 10 games last year. But, he’s come into training camp determined for a bounce-back season. Last year was the first time since 2010 when Jackson missed a single game due to injury; prior to 2015, Jackson hadn’t missed a game in four years. As a member of the Buccaneers, he was ranked among the top 15 wide receivers in the NFL each year (including 2014, in Mike Evans’ rookie season). In his first five healthy games of last season, he still had 21 catches for 306 yards and two touchdowns (extrapolated over a full season, that would be 67 receptions for 979 yards and six touchdowns). With another year of experience for Jameis Winston, and teams increasingly keying on Evans, Jackson could be in for a nice rebound season, and should be a solid WR3 for most teams.

Theo Riddck, RB, Detroit Lions — Riddick should be on the radar for everyone playing in a PPR or half-PPR this season. Entering 2015 as mostly an afterthought, Riddick finished 19th among running backs in standard PPR scoring leagues, putting him firmly in the RB2 mix. He actually led the league in receptions among running backs (80 catches), was the second most targeted running back (99 targets), had the second most receiving yards among running backs (697 yards), and tied for seventh in receiving touchdowns. Riddick is often around the 40th running back taken in PPR/half-PPR leagues, making him a total bargain for players who are savvy enough to grab him in the middle-to-late rounds of the draft.

[Analysis by NFL expert Rajan Nanavati]

Be Creative With Your Fantasy Football League

If you can rattle off football stats faster than you can remember your mom’s birthday, there’s probably some kind of statistical probability that you are involved with a fantasy football league. They’re fun and interactive, aren’t they?

The Winnetka, Illinois-based FX comedy show “The League,” features six salt-of-the-earth football fans who take their fantasy football league to the extreme. Trying to incorporate some of their more outlandish antics and shenanigans into your team’s extracurricular gatherings is entirely up to you, of course. But hey, coming up with your own Shiva-esque trophy is one place to start.

Your entire team should keep up with all the stats, facts and games with “NFL Sunday Ticket” for this coming season. For those with players on out-of-market teams for your viewing area, you can all keep tabs throughout the entire day. Once you have your viewing schedule all mapped out, it’s time to start coming up with your own shenanigans to keep things interesting for the team.

Choose a Name for Your Team

Creating a team identity is a great way to have fun with puns and use your imagination. Sometimes fantasy football players choose names based on favorite players or teams. You can also draw inspiration from a group joke or something you remember from a previous game. One notable mention from Fan Duel Insider is “Forgetting Brandon Marshall,” inspired by the Chicago Bears wide receiver. Another classic name is the “Bradshawshank Redemption.”

Roast Your Fellow League Players

Not with actual fire, of course — use your word fire. Plan an evening involving a decadent vice or two. Beer, perhaps? Maybe you can all have a cookout leading up to a critical game and do some serious, yet well-organized, trash talking. With this event, choose an emcee that you all agree will keep the event fun and lively.

Go to Some Games Together

This one seems obvious, but sometimes working on the logistics can be tricky since cost and everyone’s respective schedules could be mitigating factors. At the very least, put it on the table for everyone to discuss.

Sour the Pot

Personal bets that don’t involve cash usually carry far more weight and laughs in the end for the person who loses. The gang on “The League” came up with some over-the-top wagers, so see what you can all come up with. One idea is for the loser (the “Sacko” equivalent from “The League”) to be required to sing a different embarrassing song in a restaurant, once a month. The crooner has to perform the song on command from the rest of the team.

Sleepers, Stars, and Busts To Look For In 2016-7 Fantasy Football

rp_hqdefault.jpgWith the start of the NFL season just a couple of months away, fantasy football fans are trying to figure out which players will have breakout seasons that will make them valuable to their teams. While fantasy football obviously has nothing to do with Super Bowl odds, there is still a lot of money to be made in private leagues and online daily fantasy sites.

To assist fantasy football fans find the right players for their teams, we have done some extensive research on players that will provide a lot of value, and sleeper picks that most people aren’t yet aware about.

Some of the sleepers picks to consider selecting this year are:

Torrie Smith
Wide Receiver, San Francisco 49ers
The fast wide receiver did not perform well for fantasy owners last season mostly because of the coaching and quarterback situation the San Francisco 49ers had last year. This year, Smith has a head coach in Chip Kelly, who likes to air the ball out. With Anquan Boldin still unsigned, Smith is the best receiver the 49ers have, which means he will get the ball a lot this season. If you need more proof, DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin each had career years when they played for Kelly.

Ryan Tannehil
Quarterback, Miami Dolphins
Tannehil is another player that can be drafted in the later rounds because most people will hesitate to take him due to his dismal performance last season. We believe Tannehil is going to have a breakout season because the Dolphins made an effort to get him some weapons he can throw to, and the team also hired Adam Gase, who is considered an offensive genius, as their head coach.

Antonio Gates
Tight End, San Diego Chargers
Antonio Gates has been one of the best tight ends in the NFL for most of his career, but suffered injuries that forced him to miss a lot of games last year. Due to the injuries, Gates stats were down, bit when healthy, he is still one of the best in the league. Since he is also quarterback Phillip Rivers’ favorite target, expect him to be targeted a lot this season.

These are some of the players we believe will be breakouts next season:

Ezekiel Elliot,
Running Back, Dallas Cowboys
A lot of people will use high picks selecting Elliot because he was one of the best running backs in college last season, and he will be playing behind the Dallas Cowboys offensive line, which is considered to be one of the best in the NFL.

We also believe Elliot is worth the risk because he will likely beat out Darren McFadden for the starting job in training camp, and he is also the first running back to come out of college in a long time that looks like he was born to play in the NFL. Being compared to Adrian Peterson also helps his cause.

Carson Palmer
Quarterback, Arizona Cardinals
Palmer is a quarterback that you can take in the middle rounds and still get a lot of value from. Last season, he led the NFL in passes that travelled at least 10 yards and was fifth in QBR on those throws. The Arizona Cardinals also had one of the best offenses in the league because Palmer had the best season of his career. Last season, Palmer was coming off a season ending injury and performed well, this year, he isn’t going into training camp healthier than he has been in a long time, and is expected to have an even better year.

John Brown
Wide Receiver, Arizona Cardinals
Brown had a breakout season last year, gaining over 1,000 receiving yards in his second season in the league. Now that he is more comfortable in the offense, he will have an even better season because Carson Palmer is playing the best football of his career right now, and he has Larry Fitzgerald on the other side of the ball to take some attention away from him.

These are the players to stay away from this year:

Phillip Rivers
Quarterback, San Diego Chargers
Rivers will be one of the quarterbacks people will want to take early because he threw for over 4,700 yards last season. However, the statistics can be a little misleading, because he didn’t throw a lot of touchdowns last year, and he threw a lot of interceptions, meaning you won’t get a lot of points from him as your starting quarterback.

Teddy Bridgewater
Quarterback, Minnesota Vikings
Bridgewater is definitely a quarterback you want to stay away from, especially after last season, which was supposed to be a breakout season for him. The fact that the Vikings are a run oriented team means Bridgewater won’t throw the ball as much as other quarterbacks, which is why he isn’t worth a high pick.