Ewwwww! Don’t draft these fantasy busts!

 

From yahoo.com:

Peyton Manning, Den, QB
ADP (From Fantasy Football Calculator): 38.6 (QB3)
If I’m going to use my late-third or early-fourth round pick on a QB (the average price tag for Peyton), it’s not going to be on a 39-year-old with a recent history of quad and neck injuries, the former being used as the excuse for an ugly performance stretch over the final five weeks of ’14 (though the injury occurred at the mid-way point of that slide) . And, if the guy is also losing a Red Zone Hoover like Julius Thomas, a velcro-handed chain mover like Wes Welker and three starting offensive linemen from last season, then I’m definitely going to look a different direction. And let’s not forget that we also have to take into account a change at head coach (Gary Kubiak), which also means a change in offensive philosophy, one that should be decidedly more ground heavy if history tells us anything. If the early rounds are about minimizing risks, then avoiding Elder Manning as his career nears the cliff’s edge is the prudent course of action. (Brandon Funston)

Arian Foster, Hou, RB
ADP: 8.4 (RB6)
Every featured back in the NFL comes with risk – it’s tackle football, after all – but I see more warning signs with Foster than the ordinary player. He’ll turn 29 right before the season, and there’s a fair amount of tread on the tires – he’s missed 14 games over the last four years, battling a laundry list of physical problems (last year it was hamstring, knee, hip and groin injuries). Only Marshawn Lynch has more rushing attempts than Foster over the past five years (a 46-carry edge), and consider Lynch has played in 13 more games than Foster. Houston’s bell cow takes on a lot of contact at 6-feet-0, 232 pounds, and I’d like to be more floor driven with my early picks, especially at the running back position. (Scott Pianowski

Kelvin Benjamin, Car, WR
ADP: 36.1 (WR15)
Last year, the scintillating performances of Odell Beckham, Mike Evans, Jordan Matthews and Benjamin left the fantasy community thirsting for more. Their break out rookie campaigns, unsurprisingly, have raised expectations to near unprofitable levels. However, of all the second-year targets likely to experience a sophomore slump, Benjamin tops the list. To be fair, he’s a preeminent red-zone threat. Tight end-like at 6-foot-5, 240 pounds and blessed with plus leaping ability, he’s a menace near the goal-line. In one more game he enticed the same number of red-zone targets (17) as Rob Gronkowski. He should again be a preferred weapon of Cam Newton, but red flags are flapping in the wind. Benjamin missed 10-of-14 summer practices due to hamstring problems which caused him to pack on 10 pounds of unnecessary weight. The wideout said recently he’s already shed the extra baggage and is healed, but I have my doubts. Hammies can flare up at a moment’s notice. Just ask the dude who owned Miles Austin a while back. Couple that with adjustments defenses are bound to make, Carolina’s conservative approach and Devin Funchess increasing competition for targets and it’s plain to see the increased downfall probability. At best, you’re hoping for a repeat of 2014 (73-1008-9). At his WR15 price, the margin simply isn’t there.  (Brad Evans)

Jonathan Stewart, Car, RB
ADP: 43.4 (RB21)
Coming off his most productive year since 2011, Stewart is going all Lisa Kudrow and attempting to make a fantasy comeback. With DeAngelo Williams soon to be suiting up for the Steelers, Stewart has been loosed from RBBC bondage and will assume Carolina’s workhorse duties. His ADP has soared accordingly. However, this volume that everyone is predicting is far from guaranteed. Head Coach Ron Rivera has never leaned on a single back. Not even in the Divisional Round of the playoffs where Mike Tolbert was tapped over Stewart on a crucial third down play. Speaking of Tolbert, the human bowling ball is back to full health and ready to vulture the end zone. And he’s not the only one. Fozzy Whitaker and rookie Cameron Artis-Payne are also in the mix. Still, the biggest threat to Stewart’s production is his quarterback. Cam Newton rushed the red zone twelve times and scored three touchdowns in 2014. J-Stew had nineteen attempts from the goal-line, but only managed two scores. Throw in Stewart’s obvious durability concerns and his current price tag seems a bit bloated, especially in standard scoring formats which are so touchdown dependent.  (Liz Loza)

Travis Kelce, KC, TE
ADP: 54.8 (TE3)
I challenge you to go find a fantasy analyst — anyone, anywhere — who isn’t extremely bullish on Kelce this season. Go ahead, take a minute to search. We’ll wait. Nothing, right? It’s amazing, really. We have never agreed on anything the way we seem to agree on the greatness of Kelce. Kansas City’s tight end is carrying a fifth round ADP these days, and I’ve seen him selected much earlier than that — and everyone who picks the guy takes an immediate victory lap in draft chat. While I have plenty of respect for Kelce’s talent (and we’re all impressed at his recovery from microfracture), I really hate these situations where we price a player at a level where he needs to make a significant value leap. Let’s not pretend the team context in KC so great; this team’s passing offense ranked No. 29 last season and No. 24 the year before. When the Chiefs visit the red-zone, Jamaal Charles is basically the entire show. If you’re counting on Alex Smith boosting the value of any member of his receiving corps, well, I mean … c’mon. We’re talking about a hyper-conservative quarterback and a low-yield passing game. KC only put the ball in the air 493 times last season, finishing with only 18 touchdown passes. No need to pay a premium price to get a share in this passing game. I’ll take Zach Ertz in the eighth or Josh Hill in the eleventh, thank you very much. Kelce is all yours. (Andy Behrens)

Andre Ellington, Ari, RB
ADP: 45.0 (RB22)
Andre Ellington got 5.5 YPC during his rookie campaign, but he was one of the biggest busts as a sophomore last season, when that number dropped to 3.3. Pro Football Focus graded him as the No. 56 runner out of 57 qualified backs, as Ellington got just 1.8 YPC after contact, which was the second lowest in the NFL. He played hurt, which undoubtedly contributed to his lackluster season, but there’s reason to be concerned about the 5-9 back’s durability moving forward, which is evidenced by the Cardinals spending a third round draft pick on David Johnson. Moreover, did you realize he’s already 26 years old? LeSean McCoy just turned 27 two weeks ago. Given his health risk and coming off last year’s truly dismal performance, I can’t see drafting Ellington as a top-25 fantasy back in 2015. (Dalton Del Don)

Top Three Quarterbacks in the 2015 NFL draft

While a lot of teams in the NFL feel like they already have a franchise quarterback to count on, there are going to be teams looking for that type of guy in the 2015 NFL draft. It might not be the most outstanding year for quarterbacks, but there are a few who have an opportunity to become starters rather quickly. Here is a look at who might be able to take a franchise to another level.

Jameis Winston

In his redshirt freshman year, Winston made a name for hiimself as a nationalchampion and a Heisman Trophy winner. However, a lot of people are goingto focus on some of his transgressions off of the field as reasons to doubt his character a little bit. He seems to be maturing quickly, and a lot of mock drafts have him as the number 1 overall pick by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They have been desperately looking for a franchise type of guy, and he certainly has the arm strength and the size to be solid in the NFL.

Marcus Mariota

Like Winston, Mariota goes into the draft with the Heisman Trophy alreaady to his name. He has some people doubting him as well, but that has to do with the type of style he played at the college level. There are some scouts who feel like Oregon made him look better than he actually is. His draft position seems a little bit trickier, but someone in the 1st round is going to take a chance on him. In fact, slipping out of the top 10 seems almost impossible.

Brett Hundley

After the top 2 prospects, there is a chance that we do not see another quarterback drafted until the 3rd round. There are going to be some options for teams at that time, as Bryce Petty and Garrett Grayson could go in that round as well. Hundley just seems like the guy with the most potential right now. He was able to have quite a bit of success at UCLA, and he has the armstrength to compete at the highest level.

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Fantasy Football Draft Domination Strategy for Dummies

It’s that wonderfully demanding time of the year once again where football fans are viscously typing away searching for any piece of details for an edge in fantasy football. Whether it’s information on a certain player or player rankings, you can never do sufficient study. Each year is a learning experience, you learn how you like to prepare, gamers you want, gamers you do not desire, and trades. After lots of years of terrific drafts with failed seasons due to injuries and bad trades, I’m right here to offer a little guidance so at the end of the season you are the one boasting all next off-season about your victorious champion.

QB Advice – Wait. Simply wait. I know how tough it is to miss Drew Brees in the third round, however it’s not worth it. It’s prematurely to draft a quarterback, in the early round you need to stock up on the skill positions (RB & WR) since they go quickly. In a lot of mocks drafts and draft boards quarterbacks, you can draft a player like Matthew Stafford in the late 5th to early 6th round. Stafford is no Drew Brees, do not get my words confused, however he is a great fantasy quarterback. The Lions offense is a very pass heavy attack and they have the very best pass receiver in the league, Calvin Johnson. Stafford tosses lots of goals and usually has numerous goal games.

RB Advice – The exact reverse of preparing quarterbacks, early and commonly. There are just 32 starting running backs in the league and only a handful are actually valuable in fantasy football. If you have an early choice in the draft, it’s a no brainer to obtain a Jamal Charles, Lesean McCoy, or Adrian Peterson. If you have a late choice, fear not. There are some quality selects like Marshawn Lynch, Montee Ball, or Matt Forte, all late 1st round to mid 2nd round quality picks. The other huge advice is try to find the backs that are “injury vulnerable.” It seems every season CJ Spiller, Arian Foster, and Reggie Bush all fight injuries each season and their back ups are normally quality flex to 2nd string running backs.

WR Advice – Wide receivers are tough in fantasy football, there’s a small handful of receivers worth a first round pick like Demaryius Thomas or Calvin Johnson, however aside from them I wouldn’t squander a first tease them. Start trying to find receivers mid-second round to the end of the third round. There’s rather a bit of talent through those rounds with AJ Green, Brandon Marshall, or Jordy Nelson. My recommendation is to draft more receivers than you believe you need. Receivers go through cold and hot streaks and it’s good to have a backup strategy while among your leading receivers are a little cold or off his game.

TE Advice – Tight ends are influencing fantasy football more and more each season. Teams are using them because they are becoming so athletic and makes them a mismatch with the majority of protective players on the field. Mid 3rd round is actually when I ‘d search for a tight end if there isn’t really a receiver you are truly insane about. There’s about 5 tight ends that are going to be consistently great all season and clearly the huge 2 are Rob Gronkowski and Jimmy Graham. If you can’t get them, look at the Brown’s tight end Jordon Cameron. Last season he really became a big part of the Browns offense and was acquiring touchdowns each video game.

Flex Advice – Consistency is truly all you are trying to find from this position. Some leagues do not have fun with a flex, however if you do attempt to find a running back or a receiver. The benefit to drafting them is you can still play them at one of the lots of WR slots or RB slots together with the flex. Some excellent flex players could be Jordy Nelson, Toby Gerhart, or T.Y. Hilton.

K/Defense Advice – Just don’t lose your choices till it’s the last couple of rounds. In the later rounds you can find some gems hidden and it’s worth the threat in some cases to discover a breakout player in round 11. Wait up until the last 3 rounds to compose either position and simply prepare the greatest available.

Tips for a Strong Fantasy Football Draft

Check out as well as listen to as much as you can from different sources– No one is a specialist yet you’ll never hear fantasy experts confess that since their livelihoods rely on keeping up the lie. Matthew Berry is an exceptional writer and also I appreciate his columns, yet it is his permanent work to understand fantasy sports and also he is wrong concerning 70 % of the moment. It’s a game; the real professionals are in Vegas removing with their competence. That being in thoughts, review every fantasy write-up you could make time for from August 1st until draft day. Hearing various names and point of views will help you to end up being comfy composing outside of your convenience zone.

Do not draft gamers from your preferred teams– Perhaps I am merely a jaded Skins follower however this rule should use anywhere outside of Denver. In my experience, oftentimes you are having fun with people that root for the exact same teams. This places a costs on gamers from those groups. Fantasy football is about worth. In spite of Larry Michael’s Snyder-approved, scripted buzz, the Skins aren’t racking up 40 points per video game this year and also likely neither is your favored group, whoever that could be. Keep away from reaching for your team’s gamers– when they inevitably permit you down it is a dual gut-punch.

Struck the waiver cable hard the initial 3 weeks of the season– You read every little thing as well as you still composed a horrible team. It takes place. Now you know just how the Raiders really feel annually. In the first three weeks a running back will emerge which no one saw coming. If you composed inadequately the waiver cord can be your rescuer. If that falls short …

Do not be afraid to make fields– Everyone fallings asleep the evening after a draft saying, “But if …” For the most part those dreams do not become a reality and you realize one area of your group isn’t going to last 16 weeks. Do not hesitate to poach other groups for their excess skill. Team “Stable of Grinders” can’t begin six running backs. Throw him an offer, acquire the conversation began, or merely wish his newborn is vomitting on him when the profession is sent and he accidently attacks ‘Accept.’.

Know your league– I do not imply investing evenings peaking in your commissioner’s windows, feel in one’s bones the fundamentals. Which is conventional? Which is threatening? What positions have they filled in already? Which is fat as well as drunk? Knowing the solutions to these standard inquiries, particularly for the managers preparing prior to and after you, will aid you determine whether the 11th round is time to take the trigger on Justin Hunter … shhhhh. Which advises me … when will we ultimately put a bullet in the term “sleeper?” Unless you are talking about the Brad Pitt/Kevin Bacon traditional, acquire that played-out sound out of right here.

Handcuff at the very least among your beginning running backs– If you are investing a Top 20 badger a RB you need to buy his data backup in the last 5 rounds of the draft. Or do not. Folks drive about without insurance policy day-to-day as well as I’m certain it works out great for them.

Hanging around to compose a QB is not the worst decision you can make– You ‘d be shocked just how much skill you could accumulate when your first seven selections are spent on WRs and also RBs.

Regard the phenomenon of the third-year wide out– This year’s course is especially piled however the 3rd year has actually always been recognized to be make-or-break year for WRs. Make a list of 5 third-year WRs with something to show this year as well as target them in the middle of the draft.

Depreciate the stock of newbie WRs, value the newbie RB– Simple math, it is less complicated to learn to play the NFL RB placement well than it is for a receiver to go their timing down and adapt to the rate of the NFL. Throw in a bad QB and also a phenom WR could be made useless. At the same time starting RBs are going down like flies and also flourish your rookie RB is obtaining 20 touches a video game.

Adhere to reasoning the very first five rounds– Don’t obtain charming. Find the individuals which will make. Begin making your huge reaches in the sixth round as well as beyond. By the 10th round one-half your league is preparing the following guy on the list. Go locate some upside further down on the spiritual “pre-season positions” list and be your own Matthew Berry.

You’ve heard it 100 times but never take a twist prior to round 15– I will not birthed you with the reasons however felt confident that if you do pick a kicker before then the entire organization recognizes you are a jackass which won’t be paying attention after week four.

Watch college football– You do not have to be Mel Kiper, Jr., yet understanding exactly what type of runner Bishop Sankey was just in 2012 is useful info you can make use of while your commissioner is still laughing regarding the person’s name.

Who should be the top draft choice in 2014-5 fantasy football?

 

See: http://www.numberfire.com/nfl/news/2532/fantasy-football-who-should-go-first-overall