Tips for Betting on Football Underdogs.

Watch this Podcast:

 

 

SIMPLE: How to Use Regression Analysis to Help Predict NFL Scoring

This video is rather basic – but should give you some idea how a simple statistical method, “regression”, can be applied to predict NFL outcomes”.

PODCAST: Betting the NFL Win-Loss Numbers for 2019

We do not agree with some of the opinions is this video – but if you are a Win-Loss total bettor it should give you some good things to think about.

The 3 Main Reasons Most Amateur Sports Bettors Lose Money

Does the following scenario sound familiar?

“This guy Archie came into my book on the first week of September and bet about $1k on ten different NFL games. He ended up going 9-1, and turned his $10k into $18k. (n.b. we are ignoring vig for the sake of simple calculations) I knew he would be back though, and sure enough he was there the following week, betting $2k on nine different NFL games and totals. He got hot again, and went 7-2, and his $10k had now grown to $28k in just two weeks. I wasn’t worried though, because the story is always the same with these guys. In week three, he came in with 7 more ‘locks’ and put $4k on each game, only to go 1-6, losing three of the games in the last minute. Frustrated with his bad luck, he put all of his remaining $8k on the Monday Night Under, which busted when the Broncos scored a meaningless touchdown in the final minute. Three weeks after he started, Archie was broke.”

The 3 main reasons amateurs lose money:

          1.   They over bet.

         2.   They vary their bet size dramatically.

         3.    They fail to appreciate the amount of randomness in game outcomes and forecast accuracy.

                (the media contributes to this view by understating the luck factor).

For the correct mathematics:

 

CLICK HERE!

The Shocking Truth about the Kelly Betting System

The Kelly System is designed to maximize your “betting edge” while minimizing your “risk of ruin”.
But is that true? Should you use it?

CLICK HERE!

WATCH: Fox Sports’s Colin Cowherd and FF-Winners AI Computer in Full Agreement on Divisional Playoff Bets

Colin Cowherd is an excellent  (though sometimes annoying) NFL analyst. We are pleased he agrees with all 4 of our picks this week!

PODCAST: How Mr. Whale Capper Uses Seismic Engineering to Predict Football Games

Listen and Learn!

CLICK HERE

What Does the Post-PASPA Gambling Landscape Hold for the United States?

In May of 2018, the US Supreme Court overturned the earlier PASPA ruling that had effectively outlawed any form of sports betting in the country. While there had been some notable exceptions, mostly in illegal form, it was clear that the United States was entering a new era,

As we head towards the end of the year, it’s a good opportunity to reflect on the decision and to assess the pros and cons of legal sports gambling across America.

Early Adopters

It’s fair to say that the PASPA ruling has led to a trickle of developments as opposed to a flood. When America got the go ahead on sports betting, some of the biggest names in the industry made an early move and we saw some gambling floors built in established Las Vegas casinos.

Betting operations also moved to the racetrack and some early sports sponsorship deals were struck between operators and clubs across America. A high profile merger also took place between a well known brand and a US Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) site so there were some early movements in the wake of the decision. To date, only a few states have adopted sports betting and the forecast for growth remains steady rather than spectacular.

A report in November 2018 claimed that in two years, the number of American states allowing sports betting would grow to 24 but is this a good move or are there concerns about the developing situation?

Building the Coffers

One of the clear benefits of introducing sports betting would be the additional revenue that each individual state stands to earn. Back in August of 2018, a report carried out by Oxford University suggested that the industry could provide a $14 billion boost to the US GDP on an annual basis and the performance of the gambling sector in other countries indicates that this is no wild claim.

Over in the UK, reports show that the gambling industry there brings in close to £14 billion annually so, in a country as vast and as populous as the United States, there must be scope to hit the $14 billion mark.

Keeping it Clean

Legalised betting will also help to bring the practise out of the underground and away from the world of criminal activities. The US has its own problems and in other countries where sports betting is outlawed, the criminals find a way to carry on regardless.

Elsewhere, the PASPA ruling has also opened the door for official sports sponsorship and some brands have been quick to adopt this. The NBA and NHL have been lining up betting partners while soccer side the Las Vegas Lights secured a high profile sponsor to bring much needed funds into the club.

The Potential Downsides

When the announcement from the US Supreme Court was made in May, there were some dissenting voices and that’s to be expected. Among the concerns was the issue of gambling addiction which can be evident in other countries while some sports governing bodies felt that legalised sports betting could usher in the spectre of match fixing.

A further concern may be brought to life as the situation develops: As individual states in the US choose to adopt sports betting, there is a school of thought suggesting that those that delay or refuse to allow the practise may see a rise in illegal activities.

There are some points to consider but on the whole, the outlook for sports betting in the United States is a positive one and it will be fascinating to see the situation develop through 2019 and beyond.

PODCAST: What Every Bettor Must Know NOW About the Vegas Pointspread!

We think that you will find this video very informative. Among other things it
helps to explain why the FF-Winners power rankings and computer game picks are likely
to be consistent winning tools for years to come: they do not contain human bias , favoritism and they are not shortsighted. Moreover they adapt to evolving football strategy and performance. Enjoy! It is our pleasure to help you be successful.

PODCAST: Two Humanoids Pick NFL Week 13 Against the Pointspread

This show is entertaining? obnoxious? instructive?  accurate?