2015 Super Bowl Point Spread : Early Movement

The point spread for Super Bowl XLIX moved 3.5 points at MGM Resorts on Sunday night, as the Patriots pulled away from the Colts to secure the AFC title.

The Las Vegas sports book operator, along with many others in town, opened the Seahawks as 2.5-point favorites during the third quarter of New England’s 45-7 victory. By the late fourth quarter, the Pats were the 1-point favorite.

“We opened (Seattle) -2.5, but I knew it was the wrong side, and I just kept dropping it down little by little even though we didn’t get much action on it,” Jay Rood, MGM Resorts VP of race and sports, told The Linemakers’ Micah Roberts. “The more I was thinking about it, the more I thought New England should be favored, and the bulk of the action we took on it — about $10,000 — has been on the Patriots -1.”

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened Seattle -2.5, but the shop was dealing the game at a pick ‘em less than a half-hour later, according to assistant manager Jeff Sherman’s Twitter feed.

William Hill U.S. moved to a pick ‘em on Sunday night as well, director of trading Nick Bogdanovich told The Linemakers on Sporting News in a text message. The shop was offering an advanced line of Seattle -3 vs. New England last week.

Super Bowl XLIX is set for Sunday, Feb. 1 in Glendale, Ariz.

That the spread moved immediately in New England’s direction is not a surprise. Early line moves are typically prompted by money from professional bettors. But with Vegas books packed with public bettors for Championship Sunday, the cumulative smaller wagers have a greater impact. Public bettors, of course, tend to base their wagers on what they most-recently witnessed — and that was the Pats blowing out the Colts and the Seahawks coming away with a very fortunate win over the Packers.

“The books want to get to the right number as quickly as they can,” said The Linemakers’ Roberts. “This will be the biggest bet game of the year, where the public has more influence on the number than the wise guys. In most cases with the public, they go by what they saw last, and in this case, it was Seattle struggling at home and committing five turnovers and the Patriots rolling to a blowout win. I think the public will side with the Patriots early on.”

Early wagering on last year’s Super Bowl was similar, as Seattle opened as a short favorite but Denver was bet to a favorite within a few hours on Championship Sunday.

Said Tony Miller at the Golden Nugget, “We haven’t taken any big action on the game yet, just a bunch of guys putting some small parlays on it before they head out of town.”

Miller said he believes Seattle -3 is the proper number, but he adjusted to what he saw in the market.

“With -2s being out there and -1.5 at the Mirage, I opened -2.5 just to be at the highest number, but the (odds) screen is jumping right now,” Miller said. “I’m looking at a few books down to -1 right now, so I’m moving to -2 and I’ll still be high.”

Five minutes later, Miller took a bet large enough (not a limit wager) to drop even further, to -1, to put him in line with most of the other books around town. But the number would continue to drop, and pick ‘em was the consensus line by the time the AFC game ended.

The total opened between 48.5 and 49.5.

On sale: The Wynn is enticing bettors in Vegas with a special offer of -105 vigorish on side bets, exec VP for Race & Sports John Avello told The Linemakers on Sporting News in a text on Sunday night. Gamblers usually have to lay -110.

High bar: Nevada sports books handled a record $119.4 million in wagers on last year’s Super Bowl, which shattered the previous mark of $98.9 set the previous year. They also won $19.6 million, another record.


NBA betting lines and picks – Heavy hoops action on Dr. King’s day

By Craig Williams, Sporting News


AccuScore’s NBA Pick of the Day – 76ers at Wizards

By Rohit Ghosh for AccuScore, Sporting News


Mixed bag of results for Vegas books on Championship Sunday

By Micah Roberts, Sporting News


Who will start at QB for Ohio State next season? Here are mock odds

By Marcus DiNitto, Sporting News

 

2015-6 Super Bowl Odds Posted

Futures wagering on Super Bowl 50, set for Sunday, Feb. 7 in Santa Clara, Calif., is open in Las Vegas, and three of this season’s final four teams sit atop the odds board at the Westgate SuperBook.

The Seahawks (5-to-1 odds), Patriots (6-to-1) and Packers (7-to-1) open as the top three betting choices, while the Colts – this season’s other semifinalist – is tied for sixth at 16-to-1.

The Eagles, also at 16-to-1, have the shortest odds to win Super Bowl 50 of any team that missed this season’s playoffs.

The Broncos and Cowboys – both eliminated in the divisional round last weekend – open at 8-to-1 and 12-to-1, respectively.

The 49ers are 25-to-1 to win the Super Bowl in their home, Levi’s Stadium.

While it may seem early for odds to be posted on next season’s championship, bookmakers don’t worry too much about seismic shifts in balance due to the draft or free agency.  In the NBA, a move like LeBron James’ from Miami to Cleveland has a dramatic impact on futures prices .  Such a dynamic does not occur in the NFL.

“You’ll rarely find a rookie who will make a huge impact on the futures,” SuperBook VP Jay Kornegay told The Linemakers’ Micah Roberts. “Usually in the NFL, it takes multiple trades, multiple additions in the free-agent market to adjust the futures – but it will happen.”

ODDS TO WIN SUPER BOWL 50, SANTA CLARA, CALIF., FEB. 7, 2016
SEAHAWKS 5-1
PATRIOTS 6-1
PACKERS 7-1
BRONCOS 8-1
COWBOYS 12-1
EAGLES 16-1
COLTS 16-1
LIONS 25-1
SAINTS 25-1
RAMS 25-1
49ERS 25-1
CARDINALS 25-1
STEELERS 25-1
RAVENS 25-1
BENGALS 25-1
TEXANS 30-1
CHARGERS 30-1
CHIEFS 30-1
GIANTS 30-1
PANTHERS 30-1
FALCONS 30-1
DOLPHINS 30-1
BEARS 50-1
VIKINGS 50-1
BILLS 50-1
BROWNS 50-1
REDSKINS 100-1
JETS 100-1
BUCS 200-1
TITANS 300-1
JAGUARS 300-1
RAIDERS 300-1

Week 7 NFL Betting Trends

1. Andy Reid-coached teams are 10-5 against the number (66.7 percent) and 13-2 straight-up (86.7 percent) in the first game after the bye.

2. The Patriots are 5-3-1 against the spread (62.5 percent) and 7-2 straight-up (77.8 percent) on Thursdays in Bill Belichick’s tenure.

3. Since 1978, teams coming off a tie are 16-18 against the number (47.1 percent) and 13-21 straight-up (38.2 percent) in the next game.

4. Since Kurt Warner retired after the 2009 season, Ken Whisenhunt-coached teams are 22-30-2 against the spread (42.3 percent). In the previous 54-game span, Whisenhunt-led teams were 30-23-1 vs. the number (56.6 percent).

5. The Ravens are 40-5 straight-up (88.9 percent) and 25-19-1 against the number (56.8 percent) at home under John Harbaugh.

Who Experts are Targeting on the Week 3 Waiver Wire

Week 2 of the 2014 fantasy football season will likely be kept in mind for the barrage of injuries to hit rosters around the NFL.

A number of leading players dropped on Sunday, like Washington Redskins quarterback Robert Griffin III and receiver Desean Jackson, in addition to Cincinnati Bengals receiver A.J. Green, Miami Dolphins running back Knowshown Moreno and Dallas Cowboys receiver Dez Bryant.

Though Griffin wasn’t attacked on the play, it looked like he rolled his ankle while attempting a pass in the very first quarter of Sunday’s matchup versus the Jacksonville Jaguars. Griffin was writhing in discomfort on the field and ultimately carted off, with back-up Kirk Cousins stepping into toss a touchdown on the very next play.

Jackson would later on go down with what some reports have actually called a bruised shoulder, putting his future manufacturing and wellness in doubt for owners; and Green was pulled after suffering a toe injury; Bryant likewise hurt his shoulder however returned to the game and was astonishing, while Moreno abused his elbow.

For now we don’t know the long term status of each gamer’s injury, but fantasy owners will need strategies to replace them for a brief or long stretch of the season.

Several players can arise in the handful of games continuing to be in Week Two, but let’s take a look at a few of the players owners may think about for Week 3’s waiver wire claims. Remember, constantly drop and add at your very own discernment.

Kirk Cousins, QB, Washington Redskins

Cozs has more than his fair share of detractors, but he is next in line on the Redskins depth chart. If RG3 is out, Cousins will likely get the start in Week 3 at Philadelphia. He looked extremely sharp for the remainder of the Jacksonville video game, going 22-for-33 for 250 yards and two goals, and the Eagles matchup figures to be a shoot out with lots of chances for Cousins.

Niles Paul, TE, Washington Redskins

When Jackson decreased, Cousins turned to Paul, who was currently supposed to have an expanded role with Jordan Reed out. Now in his 4th period from Nebraska, Paul excelled versus the Jags with 8 receptions for 99 yards and a touchdown off 11 targets. We had him as sleeper earlier this week, and he can continue to breakout over the next few weeks.

Owen Daniels, TE, Baltimore Ravens

Capturing five spheres for 28 yards and two goals, Daniels made his first huge impact for the Ravens after eights periods with Houston. However Daniels typically has one excellent video game, and follows it up with a car. He will get picked up, but Daniels ought to be your second or third choice with Kansas City’s Travis Kelce a much better lasting choice.

John Brown, WR, Arizona Cardinals

With Carson Palmer hurt, and Drew Stanton stepping in, Arizona receivers could lose favor with owners. However in extremely deep leagues Brown might be a lasting rough diamond, especially when bye weeks start. He’s loaded with speed and athleticism, and showed some flashes with 3 receptions for 28 yards versus the Giants talented secondary.

Buffalo Bills DST

Four sacks, one fumble recuperation, one interception and only 10 points allowed versus division competing Miami to take the early AFC East lead. They’ve got another house game in Week 3 against San Diego, an offense that hasn’t look as strong as in 2013’s.

Others to enjoy: Matt Asiata, RB, Minnesota; Bobby Rainey, RB, Tampa Bay; Jerricho Cotchery, WR, Panthers; Jason Avant, WR, Panthers; Mohamed Sanu, WR, Bengals; Miles Austin, WR, Cleveland

Have More Fun With These Fantasy Football Apps

This weekend, it’s generally Christmas for millions of professional football fans in America.

That’s due to the fact that Sunday marks the opening day for yet another season of NFL football. The 2014-15 campaign in fact began on Thursday, when the protecting champ Seahawks crushed Green Bay in front of another raucous crowd in Seattle. The 30 other groups will make their debut tomorrow.

Is Peyton Manning going to play like he’s 25 years old once again? Can Johnny Football live up to the hype?

You’ll also discover lots of new technology on the field this season, as the NFL highlighted on Wednesday in Seattle. Thanks to a collaboration it inked with Microsoft in May 2013, NFL players and coaches will be making use of Microsoft’s Surface tablet on the sidelines between possessions. Meant to change the standard black-and-white printed documents, the device will certainly offer photos of recent plays that assist players and coaches figure out what was going on in previous possessions.

Some gamers will certainly likewise wear shoulder pads with RFID tags inside their shoulder pads, which will allow the NFL to tape-record real-time position information and info connected to acceleration, speed, paths, and overall range run.

There’s likewise cool technology off the field that fans can benefit from, from apps to streaming video game feeds to Twitter. We’ve rounded up some football-related tech devices and apps that may assist strengthen your NFL seeing experience this season.
Apps
The NFL Mobile app. The NFL Mobile app.

There are a number of NFL-related apps in the marketplace, and some are actually worth pointing out. One is a brand-new app from the NFL called NFL Now, which is largely a video hub for all things NFL. Readily available as a complimentary or paid app, NFL Now features instantaneous highlights, behind-the-scenes content, historic NFL Films video, and a lot more.

“There’s never ever been a much deeper opportunity for you to obtain into our content and to our video, and to experience it the method you wish to experience it, the method you want to do it, when you wish to do it, and on whatever platform you’re on,” NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell stated at an occasion in Seattle on Wednesday. “We’re delighted about that.”.

The NFL likewise has NFL Mobile, which is great for capturing up on the most up to date highlights, information, statistics, and standings. ESPN ScoreCenter is likewise another excellent one for keeping up with ratings and information. In addition, Microsoft has a good NFL App for the Xbox One and Windows 8. Other favorites consist of Bleacher Report’s Team Stream, Fanzo, Yahoo Sports, and Fox Sports Mobile.

For the fantasy football players, ESPN, Yahoo, NFL.com, and CBSSports.com provide strong apps that permit users to fine-tine their lineups and inspect the current stats.
Streaming games.
NFL Sunday TIcket. NFL Sunday TIcket.

If you do not have access to a TELEVISION but can get online, there are a handful of means to see NFL games.

If you’re ready to pony up some dollars, NFL Sunday Ticket is your finest alternative. For $330, the DirectTV program lets you stream every out-of-market game to your mobile gadgets.

There’s Verizon, which is now enabling its “More Everything” customers to enjoy live NFL video games from their mobile gadgets without paying a $5 per month fee that was eliminated this year. Verizon’s NFL Mobile likewise includes access to the NFL Network.

Meanwhile, FOX revealed on Wednesday that it will certainly stream 101 games– 97 in the routine season, 4 in the playoffs– this year by means of its Fox Sports Go app. However, audiences will certainly require a cable television subscription to specific cable services and games will certainly likewise be restricted to those that are in your market. Fans will also not be able to stream video games on smart phones due to league restrictions, however laptop computers and tablets are great to go.
NBC livestreams its Sunday Night games. NBC livestreams its Sunday Night games.

Every Sunday night, NBC will be streaming its regular video game online for complimentary and does not require a cable subscription. You can have a look at that feed here.

For Monday Night Football, fans can see the ESPN stream right here, but will need a cable television subscription.

If you occur to miss a live broadcast, the NFL has a way to stream already-played games with its Game Rewind program. It’ll cost you $70 to stream each video game this season– consisting of playoffs and the Super Bowl– or you can pay $30 for access to simply one team’s replays.

There are a few other alternatives, specifically for those that don’t have cable. You can try something like Aereo, which charges a small charge to stream live TV.

There’s NFL Game Pass, which lets audiences from outside the U.S. and Canada stream every video game in exchange for a subscription cost. If you’re going to pay for a streaming service, I ‘d recommend simply going with Sunday Ticket.
Twitter lists.

twitter-bird-white-on-blueTwitter lists are a terrific means to follow a pre-selected group of Twitter accounts, and may end up being more popular with Twitter potentially curating user timelines in the near future.

For example, ESPN has a decent NFL-specific list right here. If you’re interested in the Seahawks, I assemble this list right here that can keep you updated with everything connected to the safeguarding Super Bowl champs. You can likewise produce your own Twitter lists customized to your specific NFL interests. Visit your Lists page to produce a brand-new group.

Earlier this week, Sporting News assembled a nice “must-follow on Twitter” group right here, and Mashable did something comparable here. Bleacher Report likewise has a great round-up of NFL sportswriters to follow right here.
Purchasing tickets.

There’s nothing like in fact being at an NFL video game and fans have a variety of resources online to find bargains on tickets– particularly if you’re ready to wait until the last 2nd to buy. There are the popular ones– NFL Ticket Exchange, StubHub, Craigslist– however lesser-known options include SeatGeek, Vivid Seats, Cheap Tickets, RazorGator, and TickPick.

In addition, there are more recent apps like Rukkus and Gametime where you could discover a sweet bargain.

One is a new app from the NFL called NFL Now, which is mainly a video hub for all things NFL. Available as a complimentary or paid app, NFL Now showcases instant highlights, behind-the-scenes content, historic NFL Films footage, and much more.

The NFL also has NFL Mobile, which is terrific for capturing up on the latest highlights, news, data, and standings. In addition, Microsoft has a good NFL App for the Xbox One and Windows 8. There’s NFL Game Pass, which lets viewers from outside the U.S. and Canada stream every video game in exchange for a subscription charge.

Why Russell Wilson Could be the Key to your Fantasy Football Championship

Russell Wilson

1. Average draft position

According to Fantasy Football Calculator, Russell Wilson is coming off the board late in the ninth round and as the No. 15 quarterback. That’s very ridiculous value for a quarterback who finished No. 8 at the position in basic scoring Yahoo leagues for the 2013 season.

Quarterbacks being prepared ahead of Wilson in 2014: Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, Matthew Stafford, Andrew Luck, Tom Brady, Matt Ryan, Nick Foles, Jay Cutler, Cam Newton, Tony Romo, Robert Griffin III, Colin Kaepernick and Philip Rivers

Quarterbacks who completed ahead of Wilson in 2013: Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Cam Newton, Andy Dalton, Andrew Luck, Philip Rivers and Matthew Stafford

There is an evident perception that Wilson is simply a video game manager, but he still finished No. 8 in quarterback scoring and averaged 1.4 points less per video game than Andrew Luck, who is presently being prepared at the beginning of the 5th round in fantasy drafts. Provided his leading 5 capacity, Wilson provides exceptional value. Load up on receivers and running backs in the early and middle rounds and draft Wilson late.
2. Seahawks’ tendencies

Individuals prefer to explain how often the Seahawks run the sphere as a factor for Wilson being simply a typical fantasy football quarterback. There is some credibility to that. In 2013, the Seahawks were No. 2 in the league with 509 rushing attempts. They were also No. 31 in the NFL with 420 passing efforts. Regardless of those numbers, Wilson was a leading 10 fantasy quarterback in 2013. Now Wilson is in his third season, Marshawn Lynch is getting a bit older and the Seahawks have even more weapons. They also controlled groups in 2013, which trigger them to run the ball more.

It’s not likely the Seahawks will be challenging the Broncos for the majority of passes tried in 2014, however a boost over the 420 pass attempts is likely for Wilson. An increase in pass attempts can be all Wilson requires to go from the No. 8 fantasy quarterback to a top five alternative in 2014.
3. How well he’s played

Seattle’s offense has actually looked dominant since the Super Bowl. Wilson tossed for 200 yards and a pair of touchdowns versus the Broncos. Throughout the preseason, he finished almost 80 percent of his passes, including a dominant display in the 3rd preseason video game where he went 15-for-20 for 202 yards and two goals while scrambling for 23 yards and a goal all in simply over one half of play. If the Seahawks are willing to open the offense, Wilson can control in 2014.
4. Rushing ability

Quarterbacks who can run supply a benefit for fantasy owners. Wilson ran for more than 500 yards and one touchdown a year earlier. A boost in pass efforts would likewise cause a boost in rushing chances for Wilson, who hurried for 3 touchdowns throughout the preseason. Don’t forget about Wilson’s hurrying capability when he begins to slide in your fantasy draft.
5. Percy Harvin

Percy Harvin hardly dipped into all in 2013 till the Super Bowl, in which his effect was obvious. If Harvin is able to stay healthy in 2014, he will certainly have a favorable result on Wilson’s fantasy value. He’s able to make something from nothing in the brief passing game, and Wilson is wise enough to make the most of that.

Fantasy Football Draft Domination Strategy for Dummies

It’s that wonderfully demanding time of the year once again where football fans are viscously typing away searching for any piece of details for an edge in fantasy football. Whether it’s information on a certain player or player rankings, you can never do sufficient study. Each year is a learning experience, you learn how you like to prepare, gamers you want, gamers you do not desire, and trades. After lots of years of terrific drafts with failed seasons due to injuries and bad trades, I’m right here to offer a little guidance so at the end of the season you are the one boasting all next off-season about your victorious champion.

QB Advice – Wait. Simply wait. I know how tough it is to miss Drew Brees in the third round, however it’s not worth it. It’s prematurely to draft a quarterback, in the early round you need to stock up on the skill positions (RB & WR) since they go quickly. In a lot of mocks drafts and draft boards quarterbacks, you can draft a player like Matthew Stafford in the late 5th to early 6th round. Stafford is no Drew Brees, do not get my words confused, however he is a great fantasy quarterback. The Lions offense is a very pass heavy attack and they have the very best pass receiver in the league, Calvin Johnson. Stafford tosses lots of goals and usually has numerous goal games.

RB Advice – The exact reverse of preparing quarterbacks, early and commonly. There are just 32 starting running backs in the league and only a handful are actually valuable in fantasy football. If you have an early choice in the draft, it’s a no brainer to obtain a Jamal Charles, Lesean McCoy, or Adrian Peterson. If you have a late choice, fear not. There are some quality selects like Marshawn Lynch, Montee Ball, or Matt Forte, all late 1st round to mid 2nd round quality picks. The other huge advice is try to find the backs that are “injury vulnerable.” It seems every season CJ Spiller, Arian Foster, and Reggie Bush all fight injuries each season and their back ups are normally quality flex to 2nd string running backs.

WR Advice – Wide receivers are tough in fantasy football, there’s a small handful of receivers worth a first round pick like Demaryius Thomas or Calvin Johnson, however aside from them I wouldn’t squander a first tease them. Start trying to find receivers mid-second round to the end of the third round. There’s rather a bit of talent through those rounds with AJ Green, Brandon Marshall, or Jordy Nelson. My recommendation is to draft more receivers than you believe you need. Receivers go through cold and hot streaks and it’s good to have a backup strategy while among your leading receivers are a little cold or off his game.

TE Advice – Tight ends are influencing fantasy football more and more each season. Teams are using them because they are becoming so athletic and makes them a mismatch with the majority of protective players on the field. Mid 3rd round is actually when I ‘d search for a tight end if there isn’t really a receiver you are truly insane about. There’s about 5 tight ends that are going to be consistently great all season and clearly the huge 2 are Rob Gronkowski and Jimmy Graham. If you can’t get them, look at the Brown’s tight end Jordon Cameron. Last season he really became a big part of the Browns offense and was acquiring touchdowns each video game.

Flex Advice – Consistency is truly all you are trying to find from this position. Some leagues do not have fun with a flex, however if you do attempt to find a running back or a receiver. The benefit to drafting them is you can still play them at one of the lots of WR slots or RB slots together with the flex. Some excellent flex players could be Jordy Nelson, Toby Gerhart, or T.Y. Hilton.

K/Defense Advice – Just don’t lose your choices till it’s the last couple of rounds. In the later rounds you can find some gems hidden and it’s worth the threat in some cases to discover a breakout player in round 11. Wait up until the last 3 rounds to compose either position and simply prepare the greatest available.

Fantasy Football News 08/27/14

Mario Manningham is anticipated to make the Giants Roster but he will certainly hold no fantasy value,

LeVeon Bell is slated to start in Thursdays pre-season video game however don’t expect much work for him or LaGarrette Blount.

Wes Welker is supposedly succeeding after suffering a concussion in his last pre-season video game. However the specter of his 3rd concussion in 9 months hangs over his season. I

f you are searching for a deep sleeper, John Brown could be your man. The Cardinals coaching personnel seems to have an excellent deal of faith in Brown and the word is that he will certainly get the possibility to play a great deal of snaps in the regular season. Of course, this might simply be speculation, however Brown has captured 10 passes for 165 yards and a TD in 3 pre-season video games, Brady Quinn was released by Miami with Matt Moore and Seth Lobato now healthy, Jay Feely is attempting to capture on with the Titans after a poor season with Arizona. It was reported by Jay Glazer that Tim Wright was obtained today by the Patriots in exchange for Logan Mankins. The plan is to obviously play Wright as a flex tight end which in the New England system would provide Wright some instant value in fantasy. He caught 54 passes for 571 yards and 5 TDs as a novice last season and at 64 possesses 4.6 speed. The Cowboys are in heavy negotiations with Dez Bryant but it is not most likely to get done before the season starts, Josh Brown has won the Giants kicking job however is not an amazing fantasy play. The Jets seem figured out to trade Stephen Hill who has not had a great camp, Navorro Bowman was positioned on the reserve/PUP list and has just an outdoors possibility of playing up until the 2nd half. DuJuan Harris has played effectively and is threatening to take control of the backup role for Eddie Lacy from James Starks, Although he is an injury danger, Aaron Dobson has actually been exercising over the previous two weeks and might be a sleeper pick in a New England passing video game where Julian Edelman is plainly the leader, Maurice Jones Drew has looked healthy in pre-season and while a go back to his prime time efficiency levels is not anticipated, he can pay dividends behind a better offending line and a run heavy Oakland offense.

2014-5 Fantasy Football Sleepers (from various sites)

2014-5 Fantasy Football Sleepers

Q1. Who is your top RB sleeper (ADP beyond 120) and why should fantasy owners target him?

Andre Williams (RB) Giants

Overall ADP: #151

“Heading into the summer there was some thought that the 230-pounder, who scored 17 rushing touchdowns at Boston College last year, could take on the goal-line role with the Giants. Now with David Wilson
‘s latest injury, Williams moves into the backup role behind Rashad Jennings
. Note that Jennings has never played a full 16-game season, and that the talented Williams rushed for over 2,100 yards last season. Don’t be surprised if the rookie’s role expands into leading man territory at some point this season.”
– Ben Standig (CSN Washington)

“Even before David Wilson
‘s season, and likely career, came to an end, we were targeting Giants running back Andre Williams
in the late rounds. The rookie has performed well this summer and is slated for goal line duties. There is a growing sense that the Giants want to bring back the smash-mouth ground game, and Williams’s downhill skill set fits that description better than any other back on the roster.”
– Sablich Brothers (The New York Times)

Lance Dunbar (RB) Cowyboys

Overall ADP: #170

“The Cowboys boast one of the NFL’s best offensive lines and new offensive coordinator, Scott Linehan, will heavily utilize the running backs in the passing game. The starting running back, DeMarco Murray
, has missed 11 games over the past three years due to injury. Lance Dunbar
may seem undersized, but would fit seamlessly into the role that both Jahvid Best
and Reggie Bush
held under Linehan in the recent past. In the event that Murray does suffer an injury, Dunbar would instantly elevate to an RB2, even bordering on RB1 territory in PPR leagues.”
– Kyle Wachtel (Forensic Fantasy)

“Lance Dunbar
is entering his third season at age 24 and is still flying a little low because he’s missed 11 games to begin his first two seasons. In his college career at North Texas, he caught 97 passes and amassed over 5,200 yards from scrimmage. On a very small sample a season ago, he also showed off some of the magic he possesses with the ball in his hands, forcing 11 missed tackles on 37 touches. While Scott Linehan was in the Motor City, running backs accounted for 46.8% of all receptions and the second back averaged 51 targets per season.”
– Rich Hribar (XN Sports)

Carlos Hyde (RB) 49ers

Overall ADP: #144

“There are several RBs, mostly rookies, that I considered here, but Hyde was my top-ranked running back in the draft even though he seemed to land in a less-than-ideal situation from a re-draft standpoint. Since then, however, injuries have made the 49ers backfield much less congested and Hyde is clearly the team’s No. 2 option behind 31-year-old Frank Gore
. While Gore has been durable over the past three seasons, his age and cumulative workload could work against him as he posted a career-low 4.1 YPC last season. Hyde should get plenty of opportunities as the Niners begin to scale back Gore’s workload in one of the league’s most run-oriented offenses.”
– Kevin Hanson (EDSFootball)

Christine Michael (RB) Seahawks

Overall ADP: #141

“My choice here is by far Christine Michael
. While a healthy Marshawn Lynch
won’t be unseated, he has close to 2,000 touches to his name and is one aggressive rusher. Michael has the skill set to produce top 5-10 fantasy running back numbers per-start — That’s the kind of stash that could win a league.”
– Smitty (Fantasy Football Starters)

Q2. Who is your top WR sleeper (ADP beyond 120) and why should fantasy owners target him?

Justin Hunter (WR) Titans

Overall ADP: #168

“A tremendous athlete that appeared on Bruce Feldman’s annual “freaks” list in 2012, Hunter is 6-foot-4 with 4.4 speed and jumps 40-plus inches. Dangerous as a vertical receiver, he has shown flashes of his potential as a rookie with a couple of 100-yard games late last season and averaged 19.7 yards per catch. Not only has Hunter added 15 pounds to his (previously) thin frame this offseason, but he has received plenty of praise from his coaching staff as well. Hunter is oozing with breakout potential and upside heading into his second season.”
– Kevin Hanson (EDSFootball)

“At 22-years old, Justin Hunter
is a big play option. 39 percent of his targets were on passes over 20 yards downfield, and he turned three of those targets into scores. He also posted the tenth best touchdown per snap ratio out of all receivers in the entire NFL last season, scoring once per 85 plays on the field. For 2014, the Titans have brought in Ken Whisenhunt who has had no issue going vertical with the football in nearly all of the stops he’s made in the NFL. He’s also been around some pretty good young receivers such as Santonio Holmes
, Larry Fitzgerald
, Anquan Boldin
and just recently, Keenan Allen
, and has been effective at getting them the ball.”
– Rich Hribar (XN Sports)

Markus Wheaton (WR) Steelers

Overall ADP: #180

“So many interesting options here including Marvin Jones
, Justin Hunter
and Kenny Stills
, but let me go with Markus Wheaton
. A broken pinkie essentially ruined his rookie season in Pittsburgh. The departures of Emmanuel Sanders
and Jerricho Cotchery
open the door for a starting gig opposite Antonio Brown
. The Steelers drafted the 5-foot-11 speedster in the third round for a reason. Based on the team’s history of swapping out one good WR for another, expect to see why this season.”
– Ben Standig (CSN Washington)

“Pittsburgh’s third round draft pick in 2013 was buried behind Emmanuel Sanders
and Jerricho Cotchery
on the depth chart, and as a result, we rarely got a chance to see him on the field. With both of those guys now working for different teams, Wheaton’s path for a prominent role as the WR2 option in the passing game has now been paved.”
– Sablich Brothers (The New York Times)

Kenny Britt (WR) Rams

Overall ADP: #224

“I love the value of Kenny Britt
in the 14th-round right now. While he could certainly disappoint, there is just about zero risk at that range, and he has an elite skill set despite never being able to stay on the field. Britt is young, about the same age as AJ Green and Julio Jones
, so he has nice dynasty appeal as well. Don’t count on him as your WR3 in 2014, and you certainly won’t have to draft him at that value… but, don’t be shocked if he bounces back in a big way now that he is happy in his new home (St. Louis).”
– Smitty (Fantasy Football Starters)

Rueben Randle (WR) Giants

Overall ADP: #128

“In the driver’s seat to start opposite Victor Cruz
, Rueben Randle
is eyeing a breakout season. As the team’s best vertical threat and also the best red zone wide receiver, he should tally quite a few big plays as well as his share of targets in the red zone. A low-end WR3 with upside, Randle is currently being drafted three rounds later than he should be.”
– Kyle Wachtel (Forensic Fantasy)

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Q3. Who is your top TE sleeper (ADP beyond 140) and why should fantasy owners target him?

Charles Clay (TE) Dolphins

Overall ADP: #151

“The guy is 25 and ready to reach that next level. He pulled in a line of 69/759/6TDs last year, and I see no reason why he can’t top that by a decent margin this upcoming season. Multiple reports this off-season have described Clay as a “nightmare matchup.” He is a huge, huge sleeper TE in that 140+ range.”
– Smitty (Fantasy Football Starters)

“Clay posted a career-best 69 receptions, 759 yards and 6 touchdowns on 102 targets in 2013, which was good enough to be the seventh best tight end overall, yet here he is, still sitting on the board near the end of the 12th round. A solid TE1 play this late only proves just how deep the position has become over the last few years.”
– Sablich Brothers (The New York Times)

Heath Miller (TE) Steelers

Overall ADP: #157

“Heath Miller
tore his ACL late in the 2012 season and then returned to action less than a year later. Rushing his recovery may have led to him posting the lowest yards-per-reception of his career. He did total 58 receptions in just 14 games played, which ranked 11th among tight ends. Now a year-and-a-half removed from his surgery, there are reports that he resembles his pre-ACL tear self and offers low-end TE1 potential for the price of a late round flier.”
– Kyle Wachtel (Forensic Fantasy)

Ladarius Green (TE) Chargers

Overall ADP: #160

“Perhaps the obvious choice here, Green gave us a glimpse of his breakout potential with 206 yards and two touchdowns over a three-game span in the second half of last season. Not only is Antonio Gates
another year north of 30, but his production really slowed in the second half last season. With Green’s speed (4.53 forty at combine) and ability to create mismatches, it wouldn’t be a surprise if he emerges as the team’s No. 2 option in the passing game behind wide receiver Keenan Allen
.”
– Kevin Hanson (EDSFootball)

Delanie Walker (TE) Titans

Overall ADP: #219

“Rather surprised to see Walker’s ADP as TE25. The guy caught 60 passes for 571 yards and six touchdowns for the Titans last season with his biggest games coming during the second half. Now Walker will play in Ken Whisenhunt’s TE friendly offense. Even if the number of receptions stays in the same range, look for an improved yards per catch average. Walker is a mid-level TE2 on my list.”
– Ben Standig (CSN Washington)

Garrett Graham (TE) Texans

Overall ADP: #236

“My favorite late TE is Garrett Graham
, who’ll play the versatile role Aaron Hernandez
was in under Bill O’Brien. Graham’s no Hernandez on the field (and thankfully off), but this system paired with mid range bomber Ryan Fitzpatrick
should see him peppered with targets frequently. Delanie Walker
averaged two whole targets per game more with Fitzpatrick under center a season ago. Tight end is really top heavy this year, then has a pretty dynamic fall off. As much as I like guys like Dennis Pitta
and Kyle Rudolph
, they’re unlikely to run real far away from the later round TE options like Graham.”
– Rich Hribar (XN Sports)

Maurice Jones Drew Overrated for 2014-5

Mauric Jones Drew (MJD) signs with Oakland Raiders

Although MJD’s listed atop Oakland’s depth graph, their backfield will take a committee strategy in 2014. We’ve heard it from several neighborhood beat authors. And notably, we’ve heard it from HC Dennis Allen, that acknowledges that there are really few bell cow joggers in the NFL.

Besides  Darren McFadden, Oakland’s backfield consists of the skills of Marcel Reece and Latavius Murray. Reece– an established receiver– will swipe some passing-down work . Murray’s a size/speed freak who’s now healthy after battling injuries last season.

We currently have MJD forecasted for 156 carries.  This truly is among the NFL’s murkier backfields.

Besides, the talent aligning somewhere else on Oakland’s crime doesn’t influence self-confidence. Matt Schaub is coming off conveniently his worst professional season. WRs James Jones, Andre Holmes and Pole Streater will not disperse much defensive interest. And while the O-line included substantial physical bodies in Donald Penn and Austin Howard, they are still enigma at LG and RT.

We advise targeting upside players in the middle rounds of drafts. Now 29, stuck in a timeshare and on maybe the NFL’s worst team, MJD merely does not suit our defintion of upside!

Mauric Jones Drew (MJD) signs with Oakland Raiders